HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

67.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2608

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0396

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006647	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006792	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006793	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007323	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.00822	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008624	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008369	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008756	-3.07%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3009	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008574	-3.10%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2053	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008486	-2.74%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2094	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008833	-3.19%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0952	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010546	-4.04%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1552	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009634	-3.72%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0345	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008268	-2.59%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0227	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010373	-4.44%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0672	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011502	-5.39%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1630	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011207	-5.79%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0852	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012882	-6.43%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2316	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013845	-6.43%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1552	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.01225	-6.46%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1206	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01389	-6.82%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3616	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011098	-6.07%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0107	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011985	-6.49%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0614	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010156	-5.76%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0661	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010901	-6.57%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1523	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013275	-7.21%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0956	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012615	-6.93%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0210	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009449	-5.06%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4367	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008642	-4.02%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3474	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.008999	-4.92%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4625	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011589	-6.71%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0571	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010315	-5.10%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0222	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.01114	-5.77%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1105	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015157	-6.58%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2525	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01153	-3.85%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4742	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012455	-4.14%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6592	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011157	-2.26%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5910	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.00965	-0.37%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1491	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008179	+2.19%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0737	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010114	+0.67%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0302	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011987	-0.60%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1324	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010519	+0.99%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009756	+1.63%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3142	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.01203	+0.03%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012706	-0.67%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2598	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015229	-2.86%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.5983	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.021915	-4.19%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7472	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017464	-4.94%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3388	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023521	-4.18%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7546	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018135	-5.24%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6487	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.019973	-4.95%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5208	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024182	-4.28%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6435	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025782	-4.49%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5314	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021318	-3.83%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.013359	-6.47%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2954	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.015872	-4.73%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.4237	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022079	-3.37%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1210	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019154	-2.82%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1071	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018438	-2.53%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3202	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015808	-2.12%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5359	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013486	-1.70%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4818	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013128	-1.51%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0906	✗	1.00