HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007192	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007158	-0.31%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0015	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006925	-0.14%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0074	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006909	-0.03%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0410	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007463	-0.18%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0699	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.00841	-0.45%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1434	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008843	-0.55%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0408	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008577	-0.47%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0620	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008982	-0.57%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0646	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008799	-0.55%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0912	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008687	-0.44%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0390	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009069	-0.60%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0443	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010886	-0.94%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2095	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009926	-0.80%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0860	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008461	-0.32%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1310	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010766	-0.82%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1720	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012039	-0.97%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0114	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011782	-0.95%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0398	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.0136	-1.22%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1039	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014576	-1.49%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1286	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012932	-1.25%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1249	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014644	-1.77%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0976	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011679	-1.15%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1922	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012622	-1.52%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0627	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010674	-0.96%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1755	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011529	-1.19%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0268	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014049	-1.80%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1875	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013298	-1.89%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0602	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009872	-0.82%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3292	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008972	-0.36%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1035	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009415	-0.53%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0325	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012265	-1.28%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2430	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01081	-0.55%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0972	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011738	-0.71%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0735	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015913	-1.92%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3132	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011947	-0.37%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1178	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012913	-0.61%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0827	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011425	+0.08%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1045	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009748	+0.64%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2903	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008083	+0.99%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1132	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010128	+0.80%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2131	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012124	+0.54%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1905	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010503	+0.83%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009676	+0.79%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012094	+0.57%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2289	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012839	+0.37%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0573	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015671	-0.03%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1873	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022679	-0.85%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3756	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018307	-0.35%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2207	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024323	-0.91%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2609	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019036	-0.53%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2043	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020868	-0.70%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0853	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024963	-1.18%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1573	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026452	-2.01%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021813	-1.60%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2204	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014235	-0.34%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4379	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016598	-0.38%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1194	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022541	-1.35%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3180	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019506	-1.04%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1519	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018708	-1.10%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0580	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016007	-0.89%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1510	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013637	-0.60%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1604	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.01325	-0.59%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0511	✗	1.00