HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3792
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0986
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006314 | -7.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006456 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.00645 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.006966 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007794 | -7.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.00815 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007891 | -8.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008247 | -8.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008057 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007982 | -8.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008299 | -9.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009889 | -10.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009011 | -9.94% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007723 | -9.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009601 | -11.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010547 | -13.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.010197 | -14.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.01167 | -15.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012584 | -14.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.011073 | -15.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012587 | -15.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010041 | -15.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010843 | -15.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.00916 | -15.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009765 | -16.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.011918 | -16.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011384 | -16.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008572 | -13.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007849 | -12.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008121 | -14.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.010374 | -16.50% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.2619 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009281 | -14.62% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3704 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.00997 | -15.66% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3934 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013751 | -15.24% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6595 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010486 | -12.56% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4247 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011363 | -12.53% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4668 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010185 | -10.78% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4365 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008788 | -9.27% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1392 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007452 | -6.89% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1291 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009251 | -7.92% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2679 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011032 | -8.52% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4852 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009682 | -7.05% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009003 | -6.21% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011226 | -6.65% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.01194 | -6.66% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014298 | -8.79% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020588 | -9.99% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.016147 | -12.11% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.02217 | -9.68% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.016734 | -12.56% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.018536 | -11.79% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022797 | -9.76% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024502 | -9.23% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020387 | -8.03% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.012207 | -14.53% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.1268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.014887 | -10.64% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.0901 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021315 | -6.72% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018612 | -5.58% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.01812 | -4.21% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015614 | -3.32% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013359 | -2.63% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013152 | -1.33% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2262 | ✓ | 1.00 |