DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
77.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2120
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0290
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001262 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000908461 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001356 | -2.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001791 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001978 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002716 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002345 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002268 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.00233 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002466 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.00254 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002796 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003078 | -2.37% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.00299 | -2.08% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0699 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002879 | -2.31% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002958 | -2.54% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.0920 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002988 | -2.54% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.0966 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003147 | -2.65% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003223 | -2.60% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003103 | -2.78% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002724 | -2.62% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002672 | -2.52% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0961 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002778 | -2.57% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.1020 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002865 | -2.49% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0979 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.00292 | -2.62% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0973 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.00287 | -2.59% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0666 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002638 | -2.08% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2764 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002831 | -2.29% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0524 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003014 | -2.72% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1106 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003247 | -3.29% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1459 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002905 | -3.21% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1038 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002639 | -3.13% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1435 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002502 | -2.93% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1647 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.00257 | -2.82% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.3812 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002722 | -3.28% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3042 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002587 | -2.62% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1639 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002533 | -2.03% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002687 | -2.42% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1299 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002812 | -2.53% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1241 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002574 | +0.05% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1258 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003176 | -3.10% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2253 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003084 | -2.64% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002935 | -0.76% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1339 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003419 | -2.95% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3147 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003844 | -4.22% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4329 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003869 | -4.13% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3509 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004078 | -4.43% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4436 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004179 | -4.32% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3121 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003944 | -1.49% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5215 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003939 | -1.09% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.5021 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004322 | -2.77% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3606 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004702 | -4.26% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2549 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004858 | -4.49% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.2869 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004842 | -3.95% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.00503 | -4.76% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0809 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005571 | -5.84% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1299 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005829 | -6.24% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2376 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004888 | -2.48% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005145 | -3.00% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006193 | -6.64% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005619 | -4.67% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1472 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.00582 | -4.56% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0558 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005782 | -2.49% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005883 | -1.90% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.00585 | -0.70% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2372 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005335 | +1.85% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2069 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006286 | -0.38% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1325 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007449 | -2.89% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4590 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007043 | -1.29% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3509 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007311 | -1.17% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2137 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006757 | +0.92% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1661 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006708 | +1.83% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1475 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007906 | -0.17% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2190 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009146 | -3.32% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2281 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010266 | -6.08% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1295 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010641 | -6.82% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2360 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010541 | -6.53% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.1992 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011199 | -7.32% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3665 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011436 | -7.72% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.3960 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.013956 | -9.34% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2743 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011535 | -7.15% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011112 | -5.50% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1136 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.01148 | -5.32% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.1849 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011129 | -4.58% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011025 | -3.14% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011275 | -3.16% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0581 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.011784 | -3.67% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.012947 | -5.05% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.015491 | -6.87% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.017624 | -6.52% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016464 | -5.92% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.015913 | -5.14% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013078 | -2.55% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015337 | -3.05% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011061 | +0.08% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014064 | -0.61% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0952 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015804 | -1.20% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0947 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016793 | -1.52% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.01676 | -1.59% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022595 | -2.55% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5816 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.01592 | -2.33% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0737 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019693 | -3.28% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.02359 | -3.01% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.024865 | -3.32% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.029775 | -2.66% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033481 | -2.73% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6885 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009694 | +7.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016304 | +3.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015711 | +5.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016893 | +4.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000024809 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000023779 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025134 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032077 | -4.16% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3638 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000027384 | -4.45% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.6835 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000027641 | -4.19% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.6975 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000031058 | -4.76% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.6904 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030061 | -4.87% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2063 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000030551 | -4.53% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1266 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032193 | -3.87% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0553 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.00003243 | -3.77% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0753 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000030598 | -3.35% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0440 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000030882 | -2.49% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0096 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000030955 | -2.29% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1387 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.00003676 | -3.21% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0513 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.00003694 | -3.04% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0674 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029111 | -0.61% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1161 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038001 | -2.64% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0400 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044733 | -1.84% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3200 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.00005054 | -1.77% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4973 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046565 | -1.49% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4461 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037156 | -1.31% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041294 | -1.19% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044623 | -0.88% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049445 | -1.11% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2424 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055424 | -1.03% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050405 | -1.11% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044919 | -0.18% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047809 | -1.18% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2873 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043371 | +0.21% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045604 | -0.60% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000059623 | -2.08% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.1949 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000059783 | -2.14% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.0992 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061006 | -1.01% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056536 | -0.85% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057362 | -0.26% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059609 | -0.80% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057589 | -0.54% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055388 | -0.52% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059164 | -1.41% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000068707 | -1.81% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.1997 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000062717 | -1.82% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.1973 | ✓ | 1.00 |