DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001297	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000943027	-0.63%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3293	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001391	-0.44%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3957	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001835	-0.50%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2708	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002026	-0.55%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1014	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.00278	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002383	-0.25%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1347	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002301	-0.16%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0130	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002369	-0.20%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0064	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.00251	-0.23%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0221	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002586	-0.22%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0368	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002851	-0.31%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0924	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.00314	-0.41%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0895	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003044	-0.34%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0757	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002937	-0.34%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0031	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003023	-0.39%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0351	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003054	-0.40%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0155	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003217	-0.48%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0367	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003291	-0.53%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0159	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003173	-0.60%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0306	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002785	-0.44%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1322	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.00273	-0.39%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0447	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002839	-0.42%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0314	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002925	-0.44%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0173	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002983	-0.53%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0353	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002931	-0.51%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0077	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002686	-0.28%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1654	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002886	-0.39%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0944	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003081	-0.55%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1206	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.00333	-0.84%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0682	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.00298	-0.74%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0642	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002708	-0.60%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0730	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002565	-0.50%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0288	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002632	-0.46%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0474	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002796	-0.64%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0191	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002646	-0.42%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0241	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002581	-0.19%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0205	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002745	-0.32%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0026	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002874	-0.36%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0716	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002582	+0.36%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0137	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003262	-0.50%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1808	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003155	-0.37%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0852	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002964	+0.23%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0263	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003512	-0.31%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1813	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.003984	-0.73%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1261	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004009	-0.68%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0155	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004232	-0.82%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.0968	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004333	-0.79%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0440	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004006	+0.04%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0967	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.00399	+0.17%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0533	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004435	-0.23%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0586	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004879	-0.64%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0368	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005051	-0.69%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0180	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005016	-0.51%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0005	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005243	-0.72%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0560	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.00585	-1.13%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1555	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006132	-1.37%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0414	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005007	-0.09%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2449	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005293	-0.20%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0718	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006541	-1.38%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0841	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005855	-0.67%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1965	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006058	-0.65%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0274	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005921	-0.13%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1824	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005996	-0.01%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0192	✓	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005906	+0.26%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0436	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005281	+0.83%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0286	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006334	+0.38%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0334	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.00765	-0.26%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1595	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007145	+0.14%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0929	✓	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007409	+0.15%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0477	✗	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006738	+0.63%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0429	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006641	+0.82%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0214	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007953	+0.42%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1152	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009433	-0.29%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0705	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010818	-1.03%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0815	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011277	-1.25%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0091	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011153	-1.10%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0048	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.011926	-1.31%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1136	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012219	-1.40%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0326	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015	-2.55%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0161	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012244	-1.44%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1376	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011646	-0.95%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0657	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.01201	-0.95%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0810	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011575	-0.75%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0886	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011343	-0.35%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1425	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011604	-0.34%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012182	-0.43%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013535	-0.73%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016406	-1.36%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018552	-1.60%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1220	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017258	-1.38%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.1013	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016556	-1.30%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013372	-0.36%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2091	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015695	-0.79%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011082	+0.27%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2940	✓	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014154	+0.03%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2496	✗	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015972	-0.15%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.017008	-0.26%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0663	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016984	-0.27%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.022973	-0.92%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2882	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016242	-0.36%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3518	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020251	-0.54%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2416	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024196	-0.52%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1717	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025569	-0.58%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030403	-0.61%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1807	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.03409	-0.96%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009162	+1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015875	+1.12%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5513	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000015112	+1.42%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0595	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016421	+1.24%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1300	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025592	-0.42%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4541	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024844	-0.78%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0792	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.00002644	-1.09%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0644	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033151	-0.95%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.1991	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028448	-0.74%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1390	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.1012	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032309	-0.92%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1147	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031253	-1.10%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0358	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031726	-0.86%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0042	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.00003323	-0.78%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0093	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033444	-0.76%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0819	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031482	-0.56%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0984	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031575	-0.30%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0927	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031607	-0.23%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0090	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037743	-0.63%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1714	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000037894	-0.54%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0228	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029346	+0.19%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2258	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000038872	-0.41%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2512	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045415	-0.34%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1961	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051206	-0.47%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0940	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000047078	-0.41%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0621	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037605	-0.12%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2353	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041733	-0.14%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1061	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.00004497	-0.11%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0779	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049888	-0.22%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055788	-0.38%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050827	-0.28%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044997	-0.01%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1459	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048081	-0.62%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0734	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043361	+0.19%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1353	✓	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.00004589	+0.02%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060622	-0.44%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3120	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060776	-0.51%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061426	-0.33%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0548	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000056886	-0.24%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0785	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057416	-0.16%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0038	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000059852	-0.40%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0608	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057753	-0.25%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0508	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055587	-0.17%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059833	-0.29%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.00006961	-0.51%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1973	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063634	-0.38%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0822	✗	1.00