DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +30d
assessed
87
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
95.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7865
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1084
actual -0.8949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001177 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000835431 | -11.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001276 | -8.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001707 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.00189 | -7.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002621 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002284 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002205 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002262 | -4.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002395 | -4.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002467 | -4.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002714 | -5.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.002988 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.002916 | -4.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002794 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002862 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002894 | -5.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003049 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003132 | -5.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003009 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.00264 | -5.63% | – | pending | – | – | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002592 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002696 | -5.44% | – | pending | – | – | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.00279 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002844 | -5.16% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002795 | -5.14% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002583 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002769 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.002932 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003146 | -6.32% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.00281 | -6.41% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002536 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002397 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002464 | -6.80% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.0026 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002475 | -6.84% | 0.002796 | +5.25% | 0.1344 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002416 | -6.57% | 0.00239 | -7.60% | 0.2455 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002566 | -6.81% | 0.002305 | -16.30% | 0.2187 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002674 | -7.32% | 0.002374 | -17.71% | 0.2856 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002425 | -5.74% | 0.002516 | -2.22% | 0.3453 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.002972 | -9.33% | 0.002592 | -20.93% | 0.5264 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.002867 | -9.47% | 0.00286 | -9.69% | 0.3558 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002721 | -7.98% | 0.003153 | +6.63% | 0.2491 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.00317 | -10.01% | 0.003054 | -13.31% | 0.4914 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003558 | -11.34% | 0.002947 | -26.56% | 0.5923 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003569 | -11.56% | 0.003035 | -24.80% | 0.5413 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003745 | -12.23% | 0.003066 | -28.15% | 0.6577 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.003839 | -12.12% | 0.003233 | -25.98% | 0.6726 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003617 | -9.66% | 0.003309 | -17.36% | 0.8276 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003607 | -9.43% | 0.003192 | -19.86% | 0.7271 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.00395 | -11.14% | 0.002797 | -37.08% | 0.8954 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004277 | -12.92% | 0.002741 | -44.19% | 0.9610 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004403 | -13.42% | 0.002851 | -43.94% | 0.9454 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004378 | -13.14% | 0.002938 | -41.72% | 0.9690 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.00452 | -14.41% | 0.002999 | -43.21% | 0.8776 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.004978 | -15.86% | 0.002946 | -50.21% | 1.0158 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005192 | -16.48% | 0.002694 | -56.67% | 1.2317 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004379 | -12.63% | 0.002897 | -42.20% | 0.9500 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.004587 | -13.52% | 0.003098 | -41.59% | 0.8815 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.005461 | -17.66% | 0.003358 | -49.37% | 0.8462 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.004981 | -15.49% | 0.003002 | -49.07% | 0.7501 | ✓ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005147 | -15.60% | 0.002724 | -55.33% | 0.6789 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005125 | -13.56% | 0.002578 | -56.52% | 0.8369 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.00521 | -13.12% | 0.002644 | -55.91% | 0.8040 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005184 | -12.00% | 0.002814 | -52.23% | 0.8397 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.004739 | -9.53% | 0.002657 | -49.27% | 0.8981 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005552 | -12.02% | 0.002586 | -59.02% | 0.9202 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.006543 | -14.69% | 0.002754 | -64.09% | 1.0597 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.006211 | -12.95% | 0.002885 | -59.57% | 0.9081 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.006457 | -12.72% | 0.002573 | -65.22% | 0.9208 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.00599 | -10.55% | 0.003278 | -51.05% | 0.7234 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.005954 | -9.61% | 0.003167 | -51.92% | 0.8382 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007007 | -11.52% | 0.002957 | -62.66% | 0.9460 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.008067 | -14.72% | 0.003523 | -62.76% | 0.7958 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.009005 | -17.62% | 0.004013 | -63.29% | 0.7194 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.00932 | -18.39% | 0.004036 | -64.66% | 0.7426 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.009222 | -18.22% | 0.004267 | -62.16% | 0.6366 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.009754 | -19.28% | 0.004368 | -63.85% | 0.6923 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.00992 | -19.95% | 0.004004 | -67.69% | 0.6039 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.012307 | -20.05% | 0.003983 | -74.12% | 0.6661 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.01015 | -18.30% | 0.004445 | -64.22% | 0.5263 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.009818 | -16.50% | 0.004911 | -58.23% | 0.5881 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.010177 | -16.06% | 0.005086 | -58.05% | 0.6603 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.009906 | -15.06% | 0.005041 | -56.78% | 0.5824 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.009851 | -13.46% | 0.005281 | -53.61% | 0.8129 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.01009 | -13.34% | 0.005917 | -49.18% | 0.5538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.010541 | -13.84% | 0.006217 | -49.18% | 0.5440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.011541 | -15.36% | 0.005012 | -63.24% | 0.8586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.01385 | -16.73% | 0.005304 | -68.11% | 0.9750 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.016041 | -14.92% | 0.006633 | -64.82% | 0.9386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.014984 | -14.37% | 0.005894 | -66.32% | 0.9906 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.014571 | -13.14% | 0.006098 | -63.65% | 0.9221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.01191 | -11.25% | 0.005929 | -55.82% | 0.7243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.014186 | -10.32% | 0.005997 | -62.09% | 0.8836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010164 | -8.03% | 0.005891 | -46.70% | 0.6183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.013089 | -7.50% | 0.005238 | -62.98% | 0.9635 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.014873 | -7.02% | 0.00631 | -60.55% | 0.9579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.015942 | -6.51% | 0.00767 | -55.02% | 0.8436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.015979 | -6.17% | 0.007135 | -58.10% | 0.9059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022042 | -4.94% | 0.007398 | -68.09% | 1.1783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015143 | -7.10% | 0.006696 | -58.92% | 0.8968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.018737 | -7.97% | 0.006587 | -67.65% | 1.1449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.022672 | -6.78% | 0.007919 | -67.44% | 1.1651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.023853 | -7.26% | 0.00946 | -63.22% | 1.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.028992 | -5.22% | 0.010931 | -64.26% | 1.1256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.032945 | -4.28% | 0.01142 | -66.82% | 1.2047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000008759 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000014887 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000014215 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000015208 | -6.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000022781 | -11.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000021647 | -13.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000022871 | -14.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000030425 | -9.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000025487 | -11.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000025395 | -11.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000028886 | -11.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000027906 | -11.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000028436 | -11.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000030205 | -9.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000030718 | -8.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000028784 | -9.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000028963 | -8.55% | – | pending | – | – | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000029047 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000035007 | -7.83% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000035253 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.00002737 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000036483 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000043831 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000049815 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.00004608 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000036175 | -3.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000040531 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044129 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000048814 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055282 | -1.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000049598 | -2.69% | 0.000009 | -82.34% | 1.7489 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000043959 | -2.31% | 0.0000157 | -65.11% | 1.0356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047089 | -2.67% | 0.0000149 | -69.20% | 1.1450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000041934 | -3.11% | 0.00001622 | -62.52% | 0.9455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000044268 | -3.51% | 0.0000257 | -43.98% | 0.5411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000058086 | -4.60% | 0.00002504 | -58.88% | 0.9524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000058356 | -4.48% | 0.00002673 | -56.24% | 0.9046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000060803 | -1.34% | 0.00003347 | -45.69% | 0.6488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056382 | -1.12% | 0.00002866 | -49.74% | 0.7488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000058378 | +1.51% | 0.00002885 | -49.83% | 0.6993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060618 | +0.88% | 0.00003261 | -45.73% | 0.6363 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000058638 | +1.27% | 0.0000316 | -45.42% | 0.6278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000056176 | +0.89% | 0.000032 | -42.53% | 0.5652 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058826 | -1.97% | 0.00003349 | -44.19% | 0.5840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000068187 | -2.55% | 0.0000337 | -51.84% | 0.8223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000061766 | -3.31% | 0.00003166 | -50.44% | 0.7817 | ✓ | 1.00 |