BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
25.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2773
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0349
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9947 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9412 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8667 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2899 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3051 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8306 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7276 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2491 | -5.51% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0473 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9686 | -5.74% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0346 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6546 | -5.43% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1744 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.534 | -5.64% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4245 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4933 | -5.74% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4631 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4856 | -5.69% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2420 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3212 | -5.14% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3264 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2336 | -4.93% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6262 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1543 | -4.88% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5496 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1727 | -4.94% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3277 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1821 | -5.11% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2672 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.980478 | -5.51% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4410 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3063 | -5.44% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1461 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.345 | -5.17% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0325 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2645 | -4.85% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0196 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3205 | -4.92% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0430 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0714 | -4.27% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1912 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1681 | -4.31% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1118 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.965097 | -3.64% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0801 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2456 | -5.30% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1129 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.920217 | -3.58% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4426 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.993333 | -4.28% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2731 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.868463 | -3.27% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.777667 | -2.88% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.722284 | -3.32% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.575881 | -2.44% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.613928 | -2.58% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.697667 | -3.09% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.725141 | -3.34% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2558 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.682049 | -3.26% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.571132 | -1.97% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.702712 | -4.32% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.539328 | -1.99% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.50126 | -1.48% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.49161 | -1.69% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3839 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.449069 | -0.45% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5409 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.437258 | -0.11% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450554 | -0.11% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.449058 | +0.37% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.453145 | +0.21% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.456957 | +0.09% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.455884 | +0.33% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.483519 | -1.24% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0820 | ✓ | 1.00 |