BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
0.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0911
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0489
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.8465 | -12.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.8 | -11.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.7265 | -12.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.1266 | -11.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.1418 | -12.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6989 | -11.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.5992 | -11.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.0926 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.8284 | -12.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5305 | -12.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4143 | -13.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3738 | -13.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3694 | -13.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.222 | -12.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1427 | -11.94% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0685 | -11.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0861 | -11.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0941 | -12.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.897377 | -13.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2048 | -12.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.2468 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1763 | -11.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2318 | -11.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0037 | -10.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0967 | -10.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.910236 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1724 | -10.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.874374 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.943864 | -9.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.833402 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.753929 | -5.84% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.692633 | -7.28% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.55326 | -6.27% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.589176 | -6.51% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3969 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.665931 | -7.50% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.693006 | -7.62% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.652748 | -7.42% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.555012 | -4.74% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.677184 | -7.80% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.523014 | -4.96% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.486195 | -4.44% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.476052 | -4.80% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.435706 | -3.41% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.424231 | -3.09% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1483 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.438874 | -2.70% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.438795 | -1.92% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.443043 | -2.02% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.447625 | -1.95% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.45025 | -0.91% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7930 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.47098 | -3.80% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9871 | ✗ | 1.00 |