AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

57.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0571

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0233

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.01908	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01936	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020273	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019109	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.02014	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021653	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020051	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018348	-1.61%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0433	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019053	-1.66%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0354	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.01853	-1.52%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1083	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.02025	-1.99%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0186	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021902	-2.53%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0427	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019538	-2.04%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1407	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019488	-2.24%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0469	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021664	-3.00%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1291	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021066	-3.15%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0514	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021647	-3.86%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.0871	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.021856	-4.49%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0193	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.021917	-4.01%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0495	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.021763	-4.49%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0609	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.02212	-3.63%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0614	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022788	-3.61%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0162	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021777	-3.35%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0276	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.020997	-3.90%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0381	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.023819	-4.43%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0656	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024414	-4.31%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0710	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.02374	-4.23%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023197	-3.74%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022399	-3.78%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0638	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.02383	-3.14%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.02259	-3.14%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020448	-3.26%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1581	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020778	-2.77%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1669	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021134	-2.16%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020047	-1.79%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020253	-1.57%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020981	-1.52%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020232	-1.03%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020117	-0.72%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021316	-1.17%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020337	-0.54%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0139	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018661	+0.13%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0922	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020114	-0.03%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020544	+0.20%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0736	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020881	+0.52%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0096	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020791	+0.92%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020778	+0.91%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0701	✓	1.00