AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0586
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0349
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018627 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019004 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019903 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018728 | -3.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.01966 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021169 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019643 | -4.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017844 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018548 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017964 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019684 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021288 | -5.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018911 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.0188 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.020837 | -6.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020261 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.020666 | -8.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.020723 | -9.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.020893 | -8.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.020621 | -9.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021181 | -7.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.02182 | -7.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.020908 | -7.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020024 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.022617 | -9.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023232 | -8.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.022609 | -8.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022242 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021464 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.023101 | -6.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.0219 | -6.10% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019674 | -6.92% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.02012 | -5.85% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020628 | -4.50% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.01948 | -4.57% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019702 | -4.25% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020436 | -4.08% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019719 | -3.54% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019598 | -3.28% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.02091 | -3.06% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1618 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019857 | -2.89% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.0181 | -2.88% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1363 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019649 | -2.34% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.020123 | -1.85% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020522 | -1.21% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020507 | -0.46% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020546 | -0.22% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 1.00 |