AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019407	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019629	-0.32%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0044	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020558	-0.58%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0586	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019375	-0.36%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0675	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020462	-0.41%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0602	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022001	-0.78%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0666	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.02035	-0.94%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0952	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018608	-0.21%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0908	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019327	-0.25%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0136	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018785	-0.17%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0116	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020583	-0.39%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0641	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022304	-0.74%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0869	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019881	-0.31%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1175	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019869	-0.33%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0077	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022211	-0.55%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0889	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021623	-0.58%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0623	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022349	-0.74%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0245	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022686	-0.87%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0022	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022653	-0.79%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0131	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02259	-0.86%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0075	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022798	-0.67%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023479	-0.69%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0406	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022396	-0.60%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0553	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021701	-0.68%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0351	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024709	-0.86%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1102	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025288	-0.88%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0151	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024576	-0.86%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023912	-0.77%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023103	-0.76%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.02442	-0.74%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023156	-0.71%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0652	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021	-0.65%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.02125	-0.56%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.0215	-0.47%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.02035	-0.31%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02052	-0.27%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021236	-0.32%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020409	-0.16%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0767	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020229	-0.16%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021456	-0.52%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020421	-0.13%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018659	+0.12%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020132	+0.06%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0546	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020522	+0.09%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020804	+0.15%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0064	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020647	+0.22%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020631	+0.19%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0077	✗	1.00