ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
87.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1030
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0372
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004665 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004332 | -1.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004356 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004733 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004776 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.00489 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004518 | -1.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004484 | -1.66% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0714 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004558 | -1.67% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0353 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004694 | -1.90% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0561 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004881 | -2.10% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0206 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004993 | -2.29% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004936 | -2.35% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0073 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005117 | -2.72% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1041 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005528 | -3.36% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2076 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005588 | -3.83% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2085 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005636 | -4.07% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.1992 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005728 | -4.45% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1636 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005851 | -4.78% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1520 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005651 | -5.19% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1291 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005583 | -5.61% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.0878 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0360 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005969 | -5.40% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006054 | -5.92% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006102 | -6.41% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0003 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006045 | -5.78% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0193 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006037 | -5.75% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0093 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006142 | -5.80% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0337 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.00584 | -6.26% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0562 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006353 | -6.98% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0309 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006372 | -7.11% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0193 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006372 | -6.30% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0688 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006668 | -5.01% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0054 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006621 | -4.39% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006618 | -3.11% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006569 | -2.68% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1557 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007586 | -4.76% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2364 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005822 | -1.07% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006063 | -1.01% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006248 | -1.22% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006536 | -1.49% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006822 | -1.69% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006899 | -2.15% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007755 | -2.82% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007819 | -2.38% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2725 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007738 | -2.60% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.1887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007982 | -2.60% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008108 | -2.19% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1691 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008094 | -2.48% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.0939 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009007 | -2.84% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009493 | -2.78% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010244 | -2.94% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010425 | -2.93% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010678 | -3.37% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.2849 | ✓ | 1.00 |