ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +30d
assessed
24
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3379
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0977
actual -0.4357
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004681 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004338 | -1.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004335 | -2.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004683 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004703 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004805 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004427 | -3.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004383 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004453 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004561 | -4.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004733 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004816 | -5.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004749 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.004902 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005259 | -8.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005276 | -9.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005305 | -9.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005366 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005457 | -11.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00524 | -12.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005148 | -12.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005502 | -11.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005518 | -12.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.005562 | -13.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.005573 | -14.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.005562 | -13.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.005555 | -13.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.005653 | -13.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005341 | -14.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.005766 | -15.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.005777 | -15.78% | 0.004775 | -30.39% | 0.2268 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.005818 | -14.45% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.2532 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006183 | -11.92% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.3238 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006172 | -10.88% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.2559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006195 | -9.30% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.3014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006137 | -9.08% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.2698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007062 | -11.34% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.5127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005408 | -8.11% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005628 | -8.11% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.2731 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.005808 | -8.17% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006085 | -8.29% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.2799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.00636 | -8.36% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.2988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006429 | -8.81% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.2934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007221 | -9.51% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.3574 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007315 | -8.67% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.2976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.00726 | -8.62% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.2855 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007505 | -8.43% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.3163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.007669 | -7.49% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.3286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.007662 | -7.69% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.2626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.008518 | -8.12% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.4461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009005 | -7.79% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.009724 | -7.87% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.009914 | -7.69% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010125 | -8.37% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.5179 | ✓ | 1.00 |