ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
62.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0436
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0063
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004724 | -1.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004381 | -0.55% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0843 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.00441 | -0.56% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0074 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004802 | -0.88% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0810 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004849 | -0.73% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0042 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004968 | -0.93% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0179 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004584 | -0.24% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0852 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.00455 | -0.21% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0140 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004626 | -0.20% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0260 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004772 | -0.27% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0188 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004969 | -0.31% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0532 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005093 | -0.33% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0153 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005037 | -0.36% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0174 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005232 | -0.52% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0276 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005683 | -0.65% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0914 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005776 | -0.58% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005838 | -0.63% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0066 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005952 | -0.72% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0195 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006094 | -0.83% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005908 | -0.87% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0414 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00586 | -0.93% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0139 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006167 | -0.85% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0305 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.00625 | -0.95% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006366 | -1.07% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0072 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006445 | -1.14% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.00635 | -1.01% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0268 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006341 | -1.00% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0144 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00645 | -1.08% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0094 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006164 | -1.06% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0562 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006739 | -1.33% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.0956 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006764 | -1.41% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006719 | -1.19% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0952 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.00695 | -1.00% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0228 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006862 | -0.91% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006793 | -0.55% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006715 | -0.52% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007813 | -1.91% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005885 | -0.00% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006128 | +0.05% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006328 | +0.05% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006634 | -0.02% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006933 | -0.10% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007038 | -0.17% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.00795 | -0.37% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007982 | -0.35% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007908 | -0.47% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008163 | -0.39% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008262 | -0.33% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008268 | -0.39% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009228 | -0.45% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009721 | -0.45% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010501 | -0.51% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010685 | -0.51% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010984 | -0.60% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.00 |