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2022-08-25 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1333
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.4%
in alpha space · 94.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0043.0074+0.11%2.681-10.75%0.0749✗0.63669k2022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1793+0.11%1.019-13.50%0.0372✗1.723.6M2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5422+0.08%1.386-10.06%0.0331✗1.16138k2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.380337+0.06%0.3983+4.79%0.1258✓1.26152k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.3589+0.05%5.671-10.78%0.0613✗0.8410.1M2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4778+0.02%3.1205-10.26%0.0459✗0.9930k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.143251-0.01%0.13148-8.22%0.0084✓1.22213k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.069765-0.04%0.06321-9.43%0.0288✓1.112.4M2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.81912-0.07%0.8001-2.39%0.0689✗1.46205k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative2.1372.1352-0.08%1.851-13.38%0.0607✓1.301.2M2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.39980.399465-0.08%0.3612-9.65%0.0277✓1.15470k2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040657-0.10%0.0378-7.13%0.0199✓0.8411k2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1872-0.13%1.942-11.32%0.0102✓1.72114k2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0237.0132-0.14%6.154-12.37%0.0493✓1.2910.3M2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.0485-0.14%7.32-9.18%0.0252✓1.10638k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046831-0.15%0.0433-7.68%0.0168✓0.97182k2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.374841-0.15%0.3397-9.51%0.0204✓1.23205k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0213.0164-0.15%2.723-9.86%0.0026✓1.584.0M2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.065389-0.17%0.061552-6.03%0.0238✓0.58151k2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.949756-0.17%0.86751-8.82%0.0297✓0.9613k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.285-0.18%2.035-11.10%0.0436✓1.1460k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.508899-0.18%0.4773-6.38%0.0126✓0.81625k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.3407-0.18%5.748-9.51%0.0401✓0.925.2M2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005846-0.18%0.005538-5.43%0.0117✓0.672,6192022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.665-0.19%2.49-6.74%0.0366✓0.5093k2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana35.2535.1843-0.19%31.74-9.96%0.0303✓1.1570.1M2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023865-0.19%0.02186-8.57%0.0336✓0.8613.4M2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.30353-0.19%0.28099-7.60%0.0113✓1.0413k2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6791-0.19%5.13-9.84%0.0488✓0.841.6M2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.838465-0.20%0.77813-7.39%0.0171✓0.91507k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.7431-0.20%9.232-5.44%0.0065✗0.951.8M2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.722502-0.21%0.647-10.64%0.0553✓0.87253k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.110172-0.21%0.103859-5.93%0.0050✓0.857.8M2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.1632-0.21%5.1494-0.48%0.0065✗0.14158k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum35.2335.1551-0.21%31.1-11.72%0.0045✓1.87365k2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0058-0.22%0.9592-4.84%0.0127✓0.553.6M2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.863827-0.23%0.7751-10.48%0.0403✓1.082.2M2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.873-0.24%25.97-7.05%0.0106✓0.957.5M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.373225-0.25%0.33605-10.18%0.0443✓0.9687k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.047697-0.25%0.043805-8.39%0.0320✓0.8432k2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014446-0.25%0.01333-7.95%0.0407✓0.631.4M2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.409986-0.25%0.36828-10.40%0.0476✓0.9462k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.075691-0.25%0.07015-7.55%0.0009✓1.1929k2022-08-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.025435-0.26%0.0259+1.57%0.0586✗0.6442k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1313-0.26%1.0508-7.35%0.0201✓0.8553k2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172057-0.26%0.1562-9.45%0.0295✓1.061,7802022-08-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.217336-0.26%0.1973-9.45%0.0335✓1.00149k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039367-0.26%0.00003668-7.07%0.0146✓0.891.7M2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8511-0.26%1.773-4.47%0.0175✗0.96146k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.4692-0.27%52.71-6.91%0.0063✓0.9913.5M2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.27%8.60e-7-5.49%0.0022✓0.8217k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.268479-0.27%0.2645-1.75%0.0471✗0.98109k2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4851.3421-0.27%45.92-10.80%0.0345✓1.2215k2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.3707-0.27%17.22-6.51%0.0206✓0.701.4M2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,504.08-0.27%20,240.72-6.13%0.0027✓1.00485.5M2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.364124-0.27%0.33161-9.18%0.0319✓0.98435k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.067417-0.27%0.0626-7.40%0.0030✗1.221.0M2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.5629-0.27%12.27-9.78%0.0298✓1.111.9M2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.598352-0.27%0.546-9.00%0.0227✓1.09102k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.569422-0.28%0.509-10.86%0.0412✓1.1288k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.039819-0.28%0.03783-5.26%0.0003✓0.822,7072022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.320742-0.28%0.289082-10.12%0.0359✓1.08743k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.098621-0.28%0.0887-10.31%0.0470✓0.93430k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.17e-7-0.29%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0028✓0.792.4M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3133-0.29%2.25-3.02%0.0226✗0.80520k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.0689-0.29%0.0634-8.25%0.0263✓0.90116k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.060124-0.29%0.0574-4.81%0.0111✗0.91112k2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6768-0.29%13.3-9.65%0.0214✓1.221.3M2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.456654-0.29%0.431-5.90%0.0050✗0.998,8922022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.109476-0.30%0.1012-7.83%0.0343✓0.703,6712022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash67.7567.5493-0.30%61.1-9.82%0.0298✓1.122.0M2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.306489-0.30%0.2831-7.91%0.0215✓0.927.8M2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.140382-0.30%0.1273-9.59%0.0378✓0.951.9M2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.068966-0.30%0.063531-8.16%0.0170✓1.031.7M2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022444-0.30%0.020726-7.93%0.0282✓0.8113k2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2582-0.30%1.151-8.80%0.0272✓0.982.1M2022-08-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001757-0.30%0.001566-11.12%0.0581✓0.90590k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.007019-0.30%0.00657-6.68%0.0257✓0.641.2M2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.741742-0.30%0.662-11.02%0.0558✓0.92322k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.3623-0.31%4.774-11.25%0.0308✓1.3510.1M2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.4196-0.31%12.1201-9.96%0.0419✓0.9539k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.047239-0.31%0.045497-3.99%0.0045✓0.5233k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.054628-0.31%0.0498-9.12%0.0300✓0.99256k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase17.1917.1359-0.31%15.52-9.71%0.0295✓1.10130k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.111246-0.32%0.1029-7.80%0.0236✓0.86255k2022-08-26
DASHDashDash49.1849.0238-0.32%44.3-9.92%0.0405✓0.96504k2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3786-0.32%1.223-11.57%0.0427✓1.22534k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.8042-0.32%1.632-9.83%0.0250✓1.19103k2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.393718-0.32%0.3556-9.97%0.0328✓1.09174k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.46269-0.33%0.4317-7.00%0.0037✓1.0440.7M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004186-0.33%0.00391-6.90%0.0057✓0.99152k2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.468-0.34%2.1662-12.53%0.0546✓1.2013k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.56910.56717-0.34%0.5343-6.11%0.0037✓0.881.7M2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.5573-0.34%6.922-8.72%0.0232✓1.0214.0M2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1055-0.34%6.504-8.78%0.0214✓1.0619.5M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.9006-0.35%20.68-10.01%0.0206✓1.2924.1M2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006776-0.35%0.006665-1.99%0.0113✗0.4457k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047754-0.35%0.04458-6.97%0.0259✓0.6816k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0448-0.35%0.9578-8.65%0.0107✓1.211.0M2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.29496-0.35%0.274-7.43%0.0283✓0.72826k2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9362-0.35%1.683-13.38%0.0828✓0.91782k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.5674.551-0.35%4.3799-4.10%0.0105✗0.77827k2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.95547-0.36%0.8801-8.22%0.0318✓0.8084k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.164737-0.36%0.15418-6.74%0.0674✗2.116042022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61555.4111-0.37%52.147-6.24%0.0141✓0.74332k2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.063365-0.37%0.0599-5.82%0.0166✗1.15258k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.370321-0.37%0.3323-10.60%0.0367✓1.13111k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.009105-0.38%0.00848-7.22%0.0232✓0.766.4M2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.731192-0.38%0.67-8.72%0.0030✓1.335.0M2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.2598-0.38%0.2611+0.12%0.0056✗0.0187k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.494186-0.39%0.4491-9.47%0.0253✓1.11400k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003280.003267-0.39%0.00303-7.62%0.0101✓1.03537k2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.227997-0.39%0.2082-9.04%0.0274✓1.0070k2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1958-0.40%1.0685-11.00%0.0344✓1.24981k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.787849-0.40%0.7053-10.83%0.0208✓1.42259k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.3459-0.40%44.52-8.28%0.0202✓0.98607k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.919245-0.41%0.928+0.54%0.0365✗0.434.2M2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052684-0.41%0.0472-10.78%0.0497✓0.95877k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726975-0.41%0.73+0.00%0.0272✗0.36105k2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038738-0.42%0.0358-7.97%0.0205✓0.9286k2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9826-0.42%1.7741-10.89%0.0440✓1.0633k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69130.141-0.42%116.16-11.12%0.0432✓1.114.9M2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.304314-0.42%0.2792-8.64%0.0263✓0.953.4M2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,754.25-0.42%8,981.54-8.31%0.0032✓1.367.3M2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.190195-0.42%0.17-10.99%0.0451✓1.06500k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137212-0.43%0.1246-9.58%0.0617✓0.553.9M2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.261468-0.43%0.2433-7.35%0.0119✓0.9583k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.182905-0.43%0.1619-11.87%0.0361✓1.362,2552022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.090506-0.43%0.0857-5.72%0.0059✗0.9613k2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.422831-0.44%0.3879-8.66%0.0158✓1.1189k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007975-0.44%0.00765-4.49%0.0303✗1.14513k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022927-0.45%0.02334+1.35%0.0687✗0.80419k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.115375-0.45%0.1024-11.65%0.0517✓1.073.7M2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4234-0.46%1.29-9.79%0.0383✓0.95182k2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.240667-0.47%0.2213-8.48%0.0272✓0.90510k2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero153.94153.2168-0.47%142.81-7.23%0.0076✓0.991.2M2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,687.24-0.47%1,508.02-11.05%0.0282✓1.33608.4M2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.154264-0.48%0.1396-9.94%0.0389✓0.96668k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6608-0.49%1.4828-11.16%0.0445✓1.09355k2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.119.0649-0.50%8.31-8.78%0.0599✓0.432.4M2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0249-0.50%4.47-11.49%0.0908✓0.411.3M2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.083633-0.50%0.08526+1.44%0.0250✗0.09637k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.9312-0.50%2.7-8.35%0.0290✓0.84749k2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum106.79106.2517-0.50%98.23-8.02%0.0253✓0.843.5M2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1739-0.51%1.0529-10.77%0.0149✓1.484.9M2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3592.8661-0.52%82.72-11.39%0.0186✓1.546.7M2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4668-0.53%2.16-12.90%0.0563✓1.21299k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001588-0.54%0.001486-6.95%0.0217✓0.719,9742022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.605189-0.54%0.55641-8.55%0.0030✓1.2845k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8284-0.54%5.23-10.75%0.0845✓0.382.9M2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.13017-0.56%0.1207-7.79%0.0114✓1.0135k2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.237067-0.56%0.2245-5.83%0.0309✗1.35133k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003475-0.56%0.00312-10.73%0.0534✓0.861.1M2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.576744-0.56%0.517-10.86%0.0322✓1.222,3272022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.316-0.56%10.53-7.47%0.0027✓1.18439k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.992296-0.57%0.925-7.31%0.0070✗1.221.3M2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3814-0.58%1.2489-10.11%0.0428✓0.921.5M2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,477.82-0.59%20,587.80-4.71%0.0178✗0.9512k2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.5098-0.60%5.692-13.09%0.1142✓0.325.3M2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.6537-0.60%4.124-11.92%0.1007✓0.321.9M2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.7589-0.60%5.97-12.21%0.1005✓0.372.7M2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016559-0.61%0.01586-4.80%0.0009✓0.67173k2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001516-0.62%0.001375-9.87%0.0488✓0.772.0M2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4311-0.62%1.36-5.56%0.0548✓-0.06115k2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8937.6526-0.63%37.39-1.32%0.0486✗0.881.8M2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.7968-0.63%6.04-11.70%0.0943✓0.382.1M2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111668-0.65%0.1006-10.50%0.0602✓0.70250k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.02714-0.66%0.0246-9.96%0.0181✓1.273,4352022-08-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.279-0.67%4.3027-0.12%0.0687✗1.00171k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6761-0.74%4.149-11.93%0.1142✓0.092.4M2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1436.8639-0.74%33.91-8.70%0.0071✓1.4316.0M2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7967-0.76%1.7235-4.81%0.0252✗1.06980k2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.7489-0.76%11.554-10.06%0.0288✓1.1010.4M2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.023163-0.77%0.023198-0.62%0.0082✗0.11250k2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.069755-0.79%0.06625-5.77%0.0001✓0.819142022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.222578-0.86%0.2077-7.48%0.0183✓0.802.6M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.156108-0.88%0.143-9.21%0.0246✓1.00178k2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.040739-0.90%0.03689-10.27%0.0372✓0.9828k2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.2136-0.92%3.69-13.23%0.0988✓0.542.9M2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013798-0.95%0.00001243-10.77%0.0465✓0.92900k2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.6602-1.04%5.0866-11.07%0.0971✓0.155.0M2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.370387-1.09%0.34-9.21%0.0271✓0.93321k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.6459-1.59%4.225-10.51%0.0347✓0.95225k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.4874-1.60%4.7881-14.14%0.1249✓0.183.5M2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000128735-1.97%0.00012306-6.29%0.0065✓0.82340k2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.578-2.05%11.744-15.28%0.1186✓0.423.8M2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.87e-7-2.14%7.57e-7-5.85%0.0122✓0.80192k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.