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2022-08-21 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0927
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.8%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,789.97+0.46%8,930.03+2.06%0.0234✓1.367.3M2022-08-22
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1812+0.44%1.169-0.60%0.0007✓1.723.6M2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.385634+0.40%0.3755-2.24%0.0195✗1.28182k2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5678+0.37%1.515-3.01%0.0276✗1.19156k2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0274+0.26%1.0995+7.29%0.0761✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1815+0.23%3.083-2.87%0.0279✗0.63803k2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.4771+0.23%3.4703+0.03%0.0036✓0.9943k2022-08-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.022677+0.21%0.02253-0.44%0.0016✓0.8813.4M2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.3950.395814+0.21%0.387-2.03%0.0161✗1.15492k2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.7272+0.19%1.719-0.29%0.0019✓1.20121k2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.144107+0.18%0.1406-2.26%0.0177✗1.24246k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.4231+0.16%6.323-1.40%0.0109✗0.8510.1M2022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.068591+0.15%0.0684-0.13%0.0035✓1.122.4M2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.2215+0.15%6.983-3.16%0.0263✗1.2910.7M2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1813.1979+0.14%13.67+3.72%0.0415✓1.132.4M2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.1963+0.12%5.205+0.29%0.0093✓1.3510.9M2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1724+0.11%2.096-3.41%0.0262✗1.72115k2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0522+0.09%1.0344-1.59%0.0108✗1.1112k2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.1136+0.09%3.003-3.47%0.0274✗1.575.0M2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.336873+0.08%0.3507+4.19%0.0466✓1.15110k2022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7634.7856+0.07%32.76-5.75%0.0495✗1.87365k2022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.857436+0.06%0.8216-4.12%0.0344✗1.47214k2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.046257+0.05%0.045657-1.25%0.0084✗0.8333k2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047322+0.05%0.0461-2.54%0.0207✗0.98192k2022-08-22
FLOWFlownative2.1632.1631+0.01%2.13-1.53%0.0081✗1.311.2M2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.4587-0.00%6.382-1.19%0.0067✓0.935.3M2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.051394-0.01%0.0509-0.97%0.0042✓0.97798k2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.041186-0.03%0.0406-1.46%0.0093✓0.9011k2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.513108-0.04%0.5031-1.99%0.0151✓0.82694k2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.075188-0.04%0.07313-2.78%0.0211✓1.1929k2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.2094-0.05%1.19-1.65%0.0091✓1.251.0M2022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005912-0.05%0.005817-1.65%0.0123✓0.672,6422022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.699578-0.06%0.701+0.14%0.0072✗0.92324k2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.139214-0.06%0.137-1.65%0.0104✓1.002.1M2022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8985.8348-0.06%88.51+3.05%0.0394✗1.556.3M2022-08-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.301782-0.07%0.29531-2.21%0.0158✓1.0413k2022-08-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.211745-0.07%0.2125+0.28%0.0092✗1.00149k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.370569-0.08%0.36185-2.43%0.0184✓0.9690k2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.875293-0.08%0.855-2.40%0.0210✓0.434.4M2022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.6201-0.08%9.582-0.48%0.0014✗0.951.9M2022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.963027-0.09%0.93212-3.29%0.0272✓0.9712k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4563-0.09%14.28-1.31%0.0054✓1.231.4M2022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.8595-0.10%50.45-0.90%0.0012✓1.2315k2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.872778-0.11%0.85-2.71%0.0204✓1.082.2M2022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.2266-0.11%2.192-1.66%0.0092✓1.1560k2022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.108883-0.11%0.1051-3.58%0.0314✓0.713,8252022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.124166-0.11%0.1214-2.33%0.0169✓1.0139k2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.469484-0.11%0.439-6.60%0.0615✓1.009,5622022-08-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001776-0.11%0.001746-1.80%0.0121✓0.89790k2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007172-0.12%0.00698-2.79%0.0234✓0.651.3M2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.28.1903-0.12%7.79-5.00%0.0438✓1.12638k2022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.99e-7-0.12%8.90e-7-1.11%0.0055✓0.803.0M2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.7087-0.13%17.06+1.97%0.0270✗1.11125k2022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67119.5156-0.13%122.68+2.52%0.0324✗1.114.9M2022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.851429-0.13%0.83161-2.46%0.0184✓0.92524k2022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.065837-0.13%0.065631-0.44%0.0002✓0.59179k2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.287615-0.13%0.28-2.78%0.0227✓0.73878k2022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0898-0.13%1.1382+4.30%0.0483✗0.8655k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6816-0.14%27.72+0.00%0.0067✗0.958.5M2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana36.4836.4281-0.14%35.43-2.88%0.0213✓1.1675.2M2022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.35-0.15%1.347-0.37%0.0047✗1.23518k2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.384229-0.15%0.3773-1.95%0.0120✓1.10175k2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.069496-0.15%0.0685-1.58%0.0093✓0.91121k2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.3764-0.15%2.32-2.52%0.0193✓0.84833k2022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.873-0.16%1.818-3.09%0.0245✓0.95151k2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.308326-0.16%0.305622-1.04%0.0027✓1.08843k2022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.014635-0.16%0.01426-2.72%0.0223✓0.651.8M2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.110795-0.16%0.109492-1.34%0.0070✓0.867.4M2022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.412643-0.17%0.39068-5.48%0.0495✓0.9370k2022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.571025-0.17%0.552-3.50%0.0275✓1.1390k2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.107814-0.17%0.1111+2.87%0.0360✗1.073.7M2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.488753-0.17%0.4905+0.18%0.0098✗1.11400k2022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.92614-0.17%0.913455-1.54%0.0094✓0.7970k2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.163798-0.18%0.15772-3.88%0.0259✓2.126362022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021871-0.18%0.021328-2.66%0.0206✓0.8213k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.8994-0.18%5.66-4.23%0.0367✓0.841.6M2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.270012-0.18%0.2744+1.44%0.0216✗0.98132k2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.5785-0.18%57.22+2.77%0.0347✗1.0013.1M2022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7633.6978-0.18%34.05+0.86%0.0185✗1.4416.5M2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.726652-0.19%0.713-2.06%0.0140✓0.89263k2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000039477-0.19%0.00003884-1.80%0.0113✓0.891.8M2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.067373-0.19%0.0655-2.96%0.0214✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.1086-0.19%5.1079-0.21%0.0007✓0.14171k2022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.046649-0.19%0.0462-1.16%0.0059✓0.6816k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash46.846.7085-0.20%47.23+0.92%0.0166✗0.98493k2022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.305589-0.20%0.3032-0.98%0.0027✓0.928.2M2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.100895-0.20%0.0981-2.97%0.0228✓0.94414k2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,474.70-0.20%21,398.25-0.56%0.0020✓1.00463.8M2022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash64.6264.4877-0.20%65.09+0.73%0.0156✗1.122.0M2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.22354-0.21%0.2183-2.54%0.0181✓1.0067k2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.9223-0.21%22.56-1.78%0.0087✓1.2924.5M2022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.237005-0.21%0.2327-2.02%0.0133✓0.90528k2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.28e-7-0.21%8.90e-7-4.30%0.0373✓0.8218k2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111261-0.21%0.1106-0.81%0.0011✓0.86259k2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.461369-0.22%0.4615-0.19%0.0061✗1.0442.0M2022-08-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.025841-0.23%0.0253-2.32%0.0176✓0.6437k2022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.186566-0.23%0.184-1.60%0.0078✓1.07608k2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9439-0.23%1.918-1.56%0.0075✓1.0636k2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0754-0.23%1.0364-3.85%0.0338✓0.553.9M2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.053873-0.23%0.0533-1.30%0.0051✓1.00253k2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.4162-0.24%7.401-0.44%0.0037✗1.0214.0M2022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.022516-0.24%0.02224-1.46%0.0075✓0.87444k2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.176374-0.24%0.1683-4.81%0.0410✓1.051,7442022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.24-0.24%1.22-1.85%0.0108✓0.982.2M2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0694-0.24%1.053-1.77%0.0087✓1.211.1M2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.087.0629-0.24%7.045-0.49%0.0035✗1.0719.5M2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.069109-0.25%0.068381-1.30%0.0049✓1.021.9M2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7532-0.25%2.72-1.45%0.0093✓0.5093k2022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.050921-0.25%0.04966-2.72%0.0221✓0.5330k2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.294165-0.25%0.2905-1.49%0.0072✓0.953.5M2022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4718-0.25%2.4125-2.64%0.0175✓1.2113k2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001497-0.25%0.001778+18.45%0.1759✗0.729,7092022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.56380.56238-0.25%0.5535-1.83%0.0109✓0.891.9M2022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,613.58-0.26%1,624.78+0.43%0.0144✗1.33548.6M2022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.801841-0.27%0.784-2.49%0.0145✓1.43373k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.3814-0.27%10.09-3.07%0.0219✓1.17318k2022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.369757-0.28%0.40324+8.75%0.0924✗1.02418k2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.004198-0.28%0.0041-2.61%0.0181✓0.99152k2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.376-0.29%1.6+15.94%0.1505✗-0.05105k2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.6123-0.30%11.09+4.19%0.0502✗1.1110.4M2022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.9082-0.30%1.89-1.25%0.0045✓0.90657k2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.587036-0.31%0.5697-3.25%0.0228✓1.2945k2022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.9096-0.32%18.19-4.11%0.0349✓0.701.7M2022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.6275-0.32%1.589-2.68%0.0177✓1.11494k2022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5547-0.32%4.5685-0.02%0.0074✗0.77827k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95854.7791-0.33%55.291+0.61%0.0135✗0.75340k2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006748-0.33%0.006798+0.40%0.0098✗0.4555k2022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.633871-0.33%0.623-2.04%0.0110✓1.1296k2022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149398-0.33%0.1467-2.13%0.0126✓1.00149k2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.155075-0.34%0.1493-4.05%0.0325✓0.97616k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.261911-0.34%0.2541-3.31%0.0250✓0.9584k2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.56154.0362-0.34%153.73-0.54%0.0036✗1.001.1M2022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.040061-0.35%0.03992-0.70%0.0011✓0.832,6252022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100251-0.35%0.1-0.60%0.0014✓0.69234k2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003260.003249-0.35%0.00321-1.53%0.0061✓1.04537k2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727375-0.36%0.71-2.74%0.0220✓0.38105k2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.228963-0.36%0.217-5.57%0.0461✓1.35111k2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration50.6450.4508-0.37%50.58-0.12%0.0081✗0.99543k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.026999-0.37%0.02625-3.14%0.0210✓1.273,2032022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.390327-0.38%0.3834-2.14%0.0109✓1.25239k2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3847-0.38%1.38-0.72%0.0019✓0.95182k2022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.608645-0.39%0.595-2.62%0.0158✓1.223,1462022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.719209-0.39%0.704-2.49%0.0137✓1.364.8M2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.8949-0.39%9.64+7.95%0.0829✗0.432.4M2022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.426884-0.40%0.4022-6.16%0.0533✓1.1175k2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.089432-0.41%0.0891-0.78%0.0018✓0.989,9252022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260026-0.41%0.2612+0.04%0.0046✗0.0187k2022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.175175-0.41%0.1649-6.25%0.0529✓1.351,5232022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.06513-0.41%0.0641-1.99%0.0095✓1.15289k2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,541.34-0.42%21,122.20-2.35%0.0143✓0.957,5932022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.318647-0.43%0.32171+0.53%0.0147✗0.92353k2022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.000089995-0.43%0.00009153+1.27%0.0216✗0.83327k2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.9015-0.43%2.876-1.30%0.0041✓0.84749k2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.009408-0.44%0.00929-1.69%0.0084✓0.756.4M2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4688-0.45%2.41-2.82%0.0173✓1.22281k2022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.070249-0.45%0.07069+0.17%0.0108✗0.829772022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.296-0.46%1.3574+4.26%0.0517✗0.951.2M2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.05942-0.47%0.0597+0.00%0.0099✗0.92112k2022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.914676-0.47%0.9-2.07%0.0094✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.045.0151-0.49%5.41+7.34%0.0782✗0.431.3M2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.369657-0.50%–pending––0.911922022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037508-0.51%0.0372-1.33%0.0029✓0.9581k2022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107114.0328-0.53%13.4763-4.47%0.0351✓0.9644k2022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.3164-0.53%7.03+10.71%0.1092✗0.382.1M2022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.01726-0.58%0.01775+2.25%0.0318✗0.67159k2022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.09053-0.58%0.0872-4.24%0.0370✓0.09972k2022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.5215-0.59%6.95+5.95%0.0658✗0.381.5M2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.4523-0.60%4.978+11.14%0.1134✗0.321.6M2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.77110.1064-0.60%107.36-3.08%0.0205✓0.843.4M2022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.186052-0.61%0.2228+19.02%0.1848✗0.821.5M2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.9031-0.62%6.52+9.76%0.1015✗0.373.1M2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001509-0.62%0.001485-2.20%0.0117✓0.771.6M2022-08-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.1094-0.63%4.3949+6.28%0.0728✗1.00171k2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.5515-0.64%7.119+7.96%0.0846✗0.274.9M2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.023275-0.65%0.023564+0.58%0.0130✗0.11240k2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037931-0.65%0.03687-3.43%0.0228✓0.9923k2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.00001339-0.67%0.00001316-2.37%0.0122✓0.91827k2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003711-0.82%0.003502-6.41%0.0533✓0.851.0M2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.7755-0.85%1.9268+7.59%0.0878✗1.07698k2022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3643.9713-0.88%45.2+1.89%0.0326✗0.891.8M2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.136777-0.96%0.1283-7.10%0.0608✓0.584.4M2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.6425-1.05%4.4842+21.81%0.2109✗0.551.8M2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1015.0398-1.20%5.285+3.61%0.0479✗0.082.2M2022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.8155-1.76%6.4198+8.45%0.0998✗0.172.4M2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.00927-2.11%0.00844-10.88%0.0874✓1.14456k2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.8603-2.18%6.1535+23.85%0.2370✗0.192.1M2022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.97e-7-2.19%6.81e-7-4.37%0.0184✓0.76170k2022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.9344-3.13%4.77-6.36%0.0285✓0.97133k2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73812.2954-3.48%14.607+14.67%0.1747✗0.441.6M2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.