8=======>

2022-08-20 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1764
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.2%
in alpha space · 57.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.7721+0.95%3.111+13.29%0.0876✓1.565.1M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021713+0.90%0.02263+5.16%0.0253✓0.9013.9M2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1407+0.86%1.176+3.98%0.0000✓1.723.7M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,608.58+0.81%8,749.39+2.46%0.0080✓1.367.3M2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.2967+0.76%6.413+2.62%0.0032✓0.8510.1M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.312811+0.74%0.3366+8.41%0.0531✓1.14110k2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.0726+0.73%5.19+3.06%0.0011✓1.3510.9M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068754+0.68%0.06849+0.29%0.0237✗1.122.4M2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.848702+0.68%0.876+3.91%0.0237✓0.454.4M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.006+0.65%1.0248+2.53%0.0073✗1.455.0M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.6573+0.64%34.76+7.12%0.0293✓1.86383k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.1242.1374+0.63%2.163+1.84%0.0114✗1.311.2M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6055+0.60%1.724+8.02%0.0498✓1.20126k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.103498+0.58%0.108+4.96%0.0236✓1.073.8M2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0743+0.57%3.174+3.83%0.0206✓0.64803k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.385913+0.55%0.3841+0.08%0.0276✗1.28190k2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5328+0.51%1.562+2.43%0.0026✓1.21156k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.866012+0.50%0.8737+1.39%0.0104✗1.082.2M2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.336+0.49%6.459+2.44%0.0026✓0.935.3M2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3623+0.49%3.4692+3.68%0.0139✓0.9848k2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.9857+0.47%33.76+2.83%0.0021✓1.4216.5M2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.7399+0.47%13.18+3.94%0.0142✓1.112.6M2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.037+0.47%7.211+2.96%0.0017✓1.2810.7M2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.371+0.47%2.48+5.08%0.0231✓1.23259k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.3049+0.45%1.352+4.08%0.0134✓1.24518k2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.131593+0.45%0.1393+6.34%0.0394✓0.992.1M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.123146+0.45%0.1381+12.64%0.1045✓0.574.1M2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1749+0.42%1.21+3.42%0.0077✓1.221.1M2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.00728+0.42%0.00947+30.62%0.2439✓1.07435k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.1877+0.41%14.47+2.41%0.0020✓1.221.4M2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.412053+0.40%0.4286+4.43%0.0197✓1.1074k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.38960.391131+0.39%0.395+1.39%0.0099✗1.11493k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.2562+0.39%7.434+2.85%0.0061✓1.0214.0M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050493+0.38%0.0514+2.19%0.0005✓0.97827k2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.067053+0.38%0.0675+1.05%0.0149✗1.211.3M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.9279+0.37%7.08+2.58%0.0027✓1.0719.5M2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78115.2046+0.37%119.67+4.26%0.0184✓1.105.0M2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.1487+0.35%8.2+0.99%0.0136✗1.12638k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1032+0.34%2.17+3.53%0.0009✓1.71122k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.518956+0.34%0.5133-0.75%0.0257✗0.83713k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.570649+0.29%0.611+7.38%0.0464✓1.232,9182022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.834228+0.29%0.85255+2.49%0.0052✓0.93560k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.13949+0.29%0.14385+3.42%0.0090✓1.22250k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,580.22+0.28%1,617.84+2.67%0.0001✓1.33534.1M2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.284981+0.27%0.2949+3.76%0.0173✓0.953.6M2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1579+0.27%2.229+3.58%0.0119✓1.1660k2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.202851+0.27%0.2119+4.75%0.0259✓1.00146k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7983.006+0.26%85.89+3.74%0.0072✓1.526.4M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0425+0.24%1.072+3.08%0.0064✓1.211.1M2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3193+0.23%2.478+7.09%0.0445✓1.2213k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.709619+0.23%0.728+2.82%0.0098✓0.88271k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.052418+0.22%0.054+3.25%0.0119✓1.00253k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.370711+0.22%0.3918+5.92%0.0329✓1.26223k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.8716+0.20%16.73+5.62%0.0331✓1.10125k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3426+0.19%1.39+3.73%0.0174✓0.97182k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.943251+0.19%0.96387+2.38%0.0044✓0.9712k2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.3572+0.19%36.48+3.37%0.0106✓1.1675.2M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0110.0289+0.19%10.41+4.00%0.0163✓1.18318k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.6286+0.18%50.64+4.33%0.0233✓0.97560k2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.862734+0.18%0.8569-0.50%0.0333✗1.49224k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.475006+0.17%0.4896+3.25%0.0106✓1.11386k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.452064+0.17%0.4624+2.46%0.0040✓1.0542.0M2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.557912+0.16%0.572+2.69%0.0048✓1.1390k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.8887+0.15%5.91+0.51%0.0116✗0.851.6M2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.077155+0.15%0.07522-2.36%0.0465✗1.1929k2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8597+0.15%1.876+1.02%0.0083✗0.96156k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.676968+0.14%0.7+3.55%0.0171✓0.92333k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.168534+0.14%0.1768+5.05%0.0299✓1.011,7442022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8672+0.14%1.9484+4.50%0.0238✓1.0636k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.02247+0.13%0.02257+0.58%0.0110✗0.87444k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.371789+0.13%0.3848+3.64%0.0153✓1.07175k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.3293+0.13%22.97+3.00%0.0051✓1.3024.7M2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8624+0.13%1.914+2.90%0.0110✓0.92657k2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045858+0.13%0.0473+3.28%0.0137✓0.97201k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.09572+0.13%0.1011+5.75%0.0381✓0.93430k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0613+0.12%1.0512-0.83%0.0293✗1.1112k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.302009+0.11%0.308829+2.37%0.0030✓1.09884k2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.9857+0.10%64.62+2.70%0.0056✓1.132.0M2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.290234+0.08%0.288-0.69%0.0207✗0.73878k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.71e-7+0.08%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0189✓0.803.3M2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.149409+0.07%0.1556+4.22%0.0229✓0.99616k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.109089+0.06%0.110977+1.80%0.0017✓0.877.4M2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.897081+0.06%0.927762+3.49%0.0198✓0.7877k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.147089+0.06%0.1499+1.97%0.0009✓1.01149k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.54280.543071+0.05%0.5638+3.87%0.0216✓0.891.9M2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040317+0.04%0.0412+2.23%0.0056✓0.9111k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2205+0.04%1.243+1.89%0.0008✓0.982.2M2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5635+0.04%1.6327+4.47%0.0235✓1.11494k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.4155+0.03%18.97+3.04%0.0171✓0.701.8M2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,145.44+0.03%21,518.62+1.79%0.0003✗1.00469.5M2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084921+0.03%0.0898+5.77%0.0386✓0.979,9252022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003393+0.01%0.003742+10.29%0.0830✓0.831.0M2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.6913+0.00%27.72+3.86%0.0209✓0.958.6M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.2365+0.00%10.644+3.99%0.0195✓1.1010.8M2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.106401+0.00%0.109+2.44%0.0114✓0.713,9702022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.154.1006+0.00%55.68+2.92%0.0111✓0.9913.1M2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.300299-0.00%0.3062+1.96%0.0030✗0.938.2M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001726-0.00%0.001778+3.01%0.0143✗0.87806k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005866-0.01%0.005915+0.83%0.0039✓0.692,6422022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.045152-0.02%0.04674+3.50%0.0220✗0.7116k2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.399736-0.02%0.41334+3.38%0.0167✗0.9470k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.297164-0.03%0.30199+1.60%0.0026✓1.0513k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007128-0.03%0.00718+0.70%0.0042✓0.651.3M2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0648-0.03%1.0779+1.19%0.0024✗0.554.3M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.156797-0.04%0.16409+4.61%0.0078✗2.126672022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0704-0.04%1.0912+1.90%0.0038✗0.8756k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009236-0.04%0.00945+2.27%0.0096✗0.756.2M2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.232984-0.05%0.2375+1.89%0.0031✗0.90550k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.167212-0.05%0.1759+5.14%0.0268✗1.341,3642022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2349.2019-0.06%50.91+3.41%0.0123✗1.2316k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.3658-0.07%9.628+2.73%0.0108✗0.951.9M2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.109626-0.07%0.1115+1.64%0.0017✗0.86274k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.355779-0.07%0.37086+4.17%0.0243✗0.9795k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.220543-0.07%0.224+1.50%0.0024✓1.0172k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash45.7545.7174-0.07%46.8+2.30%0.0061✗0.97521k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.180867-0.07%0.187+3.31%0.0144✗1.06608k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.065851-0.08%0.0696+5.61%0.0389✗0.93126k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum104.84104.7598-0.08%110.77+5.66%0.0409✗0.843.4M2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021543-0.08%0.02191+1.62%0.0023✗0.8213k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.798292-0.09%0.804+0.63%0.0182✓1.42398k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.045043-0.09%0.046233+2.55%0.0110✗0.8534k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.254669-0.09%0.2628+3.10%0.0146✗0.9583k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.9904-0.09%54.958+3.62%0.0234✗0.74349k2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.122181-0.10%0.1243+1.64%0.0010✓1.0239k2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038948-0.11%0.00003955+1.44%0.0003✓0.881.8M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.4071-0.12%2.38-1.24%0.0266✓0.86833k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003280.003276-0.13%0.00326-0.61%0.0234✓1.04520k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.721053-0.13%0.722+0.00%0.0232✓1.384.8M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.462362-0.14%0.47+1.51%0.0015✓1.019,8012022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.566625-0.15%0.58884+3.77%0.0156✗1.2946k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.61004-0.16%0.636+4.09%0.0217✗1.12103k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.9822-0.16%154.56+3.58%0.0191✗0.991.2M2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.16%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0427✗0.8018k2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004143-0.17%0.00421+1.45%0.0018✓1.00152k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.8098-0.18%5.94+2.06%0.0158✗0.362.9M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.683-0.18%14.1071+2.92%0.0136✗0.9544k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.30458-0.18%0.32001+4.87%0.0333✗0.90366k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8728-0.19%8.93+0.45%0.0014✓0.442.2M2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4268-0.20%4.5693+3.02%0.0180✗0.77836k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0601-0.20%5.04-0.59%0.0114✓0.421.1M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.103195-0.20%0.1006-2.71%0.0382✓0.72220k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065724-0.20%0.065924+0.10%0.0075✓0.59179k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.8181-0.21%2.914+3.19%0.0187✗0.83749k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061572-0.21%0.0654+6.00%0.0404✗1.12303k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.069282-0.21%0.069279-0.21%0.0182✓1.021.9M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026364-0.21%0.0271+2.57%0.0050✗1.273,2032022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.049019-0.21%0.051048+3.92%0.0312✗0.5330k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.3157-0.23%6.35+0.32%0.0013✓0.381.9M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728266-0.24%0.73+0.00%0.0046✓0.39105k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.068716-0.24%0.07057+2.45%0.0121✗0.819772022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.266944-0.25%0.2705+1.08%0.0042✓0.98145k2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.182723-0.26%0.1872+2.18%0.0096✗0.821.3M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.86667-0.27%0.919+5.75%0.0372✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001442-0.27%0.001501+3.80%0.0274✗0.719,7092022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060032-0.28%0.0597-0.83%0.0227✓0.96112k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3861-0.28%1.38-0.72%0.0037✓-0.04105k2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014644-0.30%0.014659-0.20%0.0096✓0.601.9M2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7316-0.31%2.76+0.73%0.0015✓0.5093k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.369035-0.31%0.37078+0.16%0.0149✓1.10426k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.4971-0.35%6.56+0.61%0.0027✓0.391.3M2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012861-0.38%0.00001348+4.42%0.0308✗0.91827k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260305-0.38%0.2611-0.08%0.0029✓0.0181k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000087731-0.38%0.00009038+2.62%0.0142✗0.88327k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.3832-0.39%6.594+2.90%0.0302✗0.134.5M2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6641.4826-0.43%44.36+6.48%0.0505✗0.931.8M2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.365003-0.44%0.3715+1.34%0.0014✓0.911922022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3589-0.44%1.3019-4.62%0.0602✓0.981.2M2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0534-0.46%5.1185+0.82%0.0103✗0.14171k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006823-0.47%0.006771-1.23%0.0159✓0.4757k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.037264-0.50%0.03818+1.95%0.0066✗1.0023k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.4646-0.50%4.479-0.18%0.0031✓0.361.6M2022-08-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.792-0.51%4.1353+8.50%0.0689✗1.00169k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.039357-0.51%0.0402+1.62%0.0065✗0.832,6252022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2021,019.53-0.52%21,631.30+2.38%0.0118✗0.957,5932022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7777-0.53%1.7908+0.21%0.0124✓1.11667k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039189-0.53%0.0377-4.31%0.0560✓0.9777k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.091067-0.55%0.09106-0.56%0.0016✓0.09959k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017597-0.58%0.01736-1.92%0.0250✓0.64155k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4643-0.62%3.6812+5.60%0.0513✗0.531.5M2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.022358-0.62%0.023427+4.12%0.0444✗0.13240k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001497-0.63%0.001518+0.74%0.0001✓0.781.6M2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.23704-0.82%0.2298-3.85%0.0553✓1.36110k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.323-0.86%4.9686+13.94%0.1366✗0.142.1M2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.8705-1.24%5.094+29.98%0.2582✗0.92127k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.986-1.29%5.101+0.99%0.0218✗0.062.1M2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.6128-1.39%5.9198+4.00%0.0504✗0.162.1M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.6879-1.89%12.738+16.93%0.1681✗0.421.4M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.90e-7-2.35%7.12e-7+0.88%0.0190✓0.76164k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.