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2022-08-18 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0576
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.9%
in alpha space · 91.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25712.5704-5.18%13.488+1.74%0.1201✗0.461.3M2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.97e-7-2.99%6.08e-7-15.38%0.0677✓0.64164k2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.9351-2.29%5.0422+25.20%0.2857✗0.352.0M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.4501-2.24%6.7571+48.45%0.4724✗0.512.0M2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4417.2749-2.23%6.927-6.91%0.0407✓0.083.9M2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.7937-2.22%3.7255-3.98%0.0390✗0.531.3M2022-08-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49495.4118-1.51%4.0954-25.47%0.1716✓1.00169k2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5378-1.46%5.39-4.09%0.0153✗0.401.1M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.3513-1.42%4.972+12.64%0.1533✗0.192.1M2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.6851-1.37%9.57-2.55%0.0344✗0.431.9M2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0165-1.37%6.23+2.13%0.0766✗0.392.6M2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.5831-1.35%4.701+1.18%0.0609✗0.331.5M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8583-1.32%6.87-1.15%0.0441✗0.401.8M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.7782-1.05%7.02+2.48%0.0767✗0.391.1M2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.7458-0.97%1.7825+1.12%0.1504✗1.21598k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.206803-0.86%0.1961-5.99%0.0378✗0.851.2M2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1440.7862-0.86%41.75+1.48%0.1330✗1.021.8M2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.6113-0.81%3.13-14.03%0.0523✓0.85127k2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.639.2806-0.81%32.98-16.72%0.0265✓1.3916.0M2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.8276-0.79%2.75-3.51%0.0280✗0.5296k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.044148-0.77%0.0386-13.24%0.0295✓0.9821k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001525-0.67%0.001441-6.18%0.0279✗0.791.6M2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3919.2617-0.66%17.46-9.95%0.0265✓0.672.2M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.387-0.65%1.2326-11.70%0.0168✓0.951.0M2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.113096-0.62%0.1096-3.69%0.0511✗0.77215k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003725-0.61%0.003321-11.39%0.0296✓0.801.0M2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.022914-0.60%0.025967+12.64%0.1503✗0.24232k2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.5282.5132-0.59%2.121-16.10%0.0331✓1.281.0M2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4023,021.96-0.56%21,334.30-7.85%0.0280✗0.977,5932022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.075679-0.55%0.0657-13.67%0.0144✓1.191.4M2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0432.032-0.54%1.87-8.47%0.0230✗0.99170k2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013408-0.54%0.00001317-2.30%0.0858✗0.97827k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017637-0.53%0.01707-3.72%0.0351✗0.63153k2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,837.18-0.47%1,608.72-12.85%0.0098✗1.33528.6M2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum108.5107.9902-0.47%99.28-8.50%0.0042✓0.823.4M2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.166019-0.47%0.1502-9.95%0.0100✗1.03140k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3837.8252-0.46%32.4-14.74%0.0552✗1.96391k2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.007032-0.46%0.006691-5.28%0.0000✓0.4655k2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.18051-0.45%0.16055-11.46%0.1220✗2.236712022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.7407-0.45%7.67-12.64%0.0146✓1.08523k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.1232-0.44%2.82-10.11%0.0137✓0.83719k2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6881-0.44%2.3-14.81%0.0285✓1.19259k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7817-0.44%1.5782-11.81%0.0009✓1.12470k2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.076526-0.43%0.07173-6.67%0.0598✗1.162.3M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.93314-0.43%0.8698-7.19%0.0961✗1.55244k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44611.3971-0.43%10.759-6.00%0.0657✗1.1511.4M2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.2049-0.42%1.1177-7.63%0.0479✗1.1512k2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.58580.583338-0.42%0.5569-4.93%0.0549✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.288003-0.41%0.2516-13.00%0.0366✓0.9281k2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.397376-0.41%0.3599-9.80%0.0019✓0.911922022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.918292-0.40%0.834-9.54%0.0350✗1.231.0M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.082657-0.40%0.08741+5.33%0.0825✗0.25959k2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.332627-0.40%0.29551-11.51%0.0241✓0.88383k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.010131-0.38%0.00905-11.01%0.0358✓0.725.8M2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000092826-0.38%0.00008591-7.80%0.0293✗1.00336k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.087587-0.38%0.07429-15.50%0.0431✓1.1429k2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0555.8424-0.37%49.91-10.95%0.0210✗1.2517k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.3912-0.37%2.29-4.58%0.0516✗0.89726k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.068051-0.37%0.0635-7.03%0.0551✗1.16329k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1924.1021-0.36%22.44-7.23%0.0750✗1.3725.9M2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.910715-0.36%0.776-15.10%0.0085✓1.42433k2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.135611-0.36%0.1221-10.29%0.0064✗1.0441k2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497614.4456-0.36%12.9755-10.50%0.0056✓0.9551k2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.9906-0.36%9.77-11.42%0.0082✗1.18305k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.074676-0.35%0.06643-11.36%0.0338✓0.788802022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.050173-0.35%0.04452-11.58%0.0422✓0.7216k2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.094073-0.35%0.0848-10.17%0.0004✓0.9712k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.263685-0.35%0.2304-12.93%0.0412✓0.88550k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004634-0.34%0.00412-11.40%0.0103✓1.00152k2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.6191-0.34%6.899-9.76%0.0164✗1.0820.0M2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.028503-0.34%0.02581-9.76%0.0399✗1.302,9402022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.247768-0.33%0.2209-11.14%0.0064✓1.0177k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration51.6951.5196-0.33%48.63-5.92%0.0503✗1.01543k2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.84824.8322-0.33%4.373-9.80%0.0205✓0.74847k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50257.313-0.33%51.302-10.78%0.0357✓0.70354k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.023401-0.33%0.021066-10.27%0.0183✓0.8112k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.770.767499-0.32%0.74-3.90%0.0070✗0.4186k2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001695-0.32%0.001479-13.00%0.0640✓0.679,7092022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003660.003648-0.32%0.0032-12.57%0.0215✓1.02508k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero160.98160.4623-0.32%142.31-11.60%0.0152✓0.981.2M2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.4454-0.32%1.32-8.97%0.0139✗0.98182k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.052845-0.32%0.04825-8.99%0.0376✓0.5030k2022-08-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.02920.029107-0.32%0.0264-9.59%0.0313✓0.6236k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0965-0.31%0.94175-14.38%0.0508✓0.9512k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.663933-0.31%0.574-13.81%0.0161✓1.212,9182022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.9110,184.65-0.31%8,613.21-15.69%0.0245✓1.346.8M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260402-0.31%0.2612+0.00%0.0044✗0.0174k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.366182-0.30%0.3103-15.52%0.0460✓1.12105k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4357-0.30%1.38-4.17%0.0479✓-0.08115k2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.118841-0.30%0.1085-8.98%0.0007✓0.86300k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0838.0592-0.29%7.303-9.65%0.0115✗1.0314.0M2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.1068-0.29%1.914-9.42%0.0023✓0.92680k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.114564-0.29%0.1055-8.18%0.0357✗1.103.7M2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038687-0.29%0.0347-10.57%0.0077✓0.9476k2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.288976-0.28%0.2715-6.31%0.0522✗1.07151k2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.6813-0.28%2.3044-14.30%0.0233✓1.2013k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.332665-0.28%0.303-9.17%0.0060✗0.938.2M2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.4573-0.28%6.466-13.53%0.0556✓0.819.9M2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.436293-0.28%0.4043-7.59%0.0465✗1.1564k2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.5985-0.28%83.37-12.11%0.0388✗1.546.4M2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.156078-0.27%0.1513-3.32%0.0828✗1.06586k2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.8121-0.27%1.506-17.12%0.0629✓1.14150k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.2632-0.27%5.8-7.64%0.0150✗0.861.6M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1414.1021-0.27%12.8-9.48%0.0223✗1.112.6M2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.450924-0.26%0.38673-14.46%0.0581✓0.8970k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023937-0.26%0.02251-6.21%0.0340✗0.89369k2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1316.0877-0.26%14.23-11.78%0.0089✗1.231.5M2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.510763-0.26%0.4497-12.19%0.0169✓1.0342.0M2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.739109-0.26%0.676-8.77%0.0624✗1.424.6M2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.634428-0.25%0.5697-10.43%0.0335✗1.3246k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.619456-0.25%0.562-9.50%0.0267✗1.1695k2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.233521-0.25%0.2125-9.23%0.0539✗1.38110k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.9877-0.25%0.884025-10.72%0.0304✓0.7577k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1482-0.24%1.045-9.21%0.0386✗1.241.1M2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash70.0969.924-0.24%62.23-11.21%0.0038✗1.122.0M2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.229764-0.23%0.2054-10.81%0.0050✓1.00111k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.640507-0.23%0.609-5.14%0.0772✗1.19114k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000042752-0.23%0.00003843-10.32%0.0135✓0.871.9M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.297-0.23%1.18-9.23%0.0398✗1.261.1M2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.1275-0.22%1.8825-11.72%0.0097✓1.0533k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.741346-0.22%0.708-4.71%0.0530✗0.92274k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.304831-0.22%0.2828-7.43%0.0301✗0.983.6M2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.371158-0.22%0.33831-9.05%0.0258✗1.11426k2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4623,139.15-0.22%20,834.94-10.15%0.0022✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.21%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0117✓0.794.6M2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.333619-0.21%0.302298-9.58%0.0192✗1.10884k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.538581-0.21%0.4967-7.97%0.0067✗0.82750k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.044807-0.21%0.03963-11.74%0.0365✓0.812,5822022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202582-0.21%0.186-8.37%0.0311✗1.09657k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash50.3650.2566-0.21%44.86-10.92%0.0096✓0.97521k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.921351-0.20%0.84451-8.53%0.0131✗0.94574k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6059.8792-0.20%54.02-9.97%0.0038✗1.0013.1M2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.3154-0.20%1.206-8.50%0.0203✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.8547-0.20%16.17-9.61%0.0209✗1.12130k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.119265-0.20%0.1065-10.88%0.0395✓0.694,2082022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.8555-0.20%6.409-6.70%0.0360✗0.975.3M2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.074486-0.20%0.067937-8.97%0.0183✗1.031.9M2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.103398-0.19%0.0975-5.89%0.0464✗0.98430k2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001916-0.19%0.001717-10.57%0.0027✓1.00901k2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.898454-0.19%0.879-2.36%0.1041✗1.182.2M2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014672-0.19%0.01381-6.05%0.0038✗0.602.1M2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.9529.8943-0.19%26.41-11.82%0.0246✓0.938.9M2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.185357-0.18%0.1767-4.85%0.0661✗1.061,7402022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.58e-7-0.18%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0141✓0.7720k2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana39.5139.4395-0.18%35.82-9.34%0.0312✗1.1975.2M2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.062789-0.18%0.0562-10.65%0.0124✓0.92112k2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.477169-0.17%0.429-10.25%0.0004✓0.999,5622022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006277-0.17%0.005861-6.79%0.0065✗0.703,0362022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.182993-0.17%0.1722-6.06%0.0927✗1.431,3972022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12128.9037-0.17%114.49-11.33%0.0001✓1.115.1M2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.133877-0.17%0.1279-4.62%0.0186✗0.604.1M2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1876-0.16%1.068-10.21%0.0122✓0.8855k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.879709-0.15%0.847-3.86%0.0105✗0.454.4M2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.057916-0.14%0.0532-8.28%0.0245✗1.02253k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.115762-0.14%0.108067-6.78%0.0266✗0.897.5M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.145392-0.14%0.1293-11.20%0.0134✓0.972.0M2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.4689-0.14%1.325-9.93%0.0337✗1.28518k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.295587-0.14%0.272-8.11%0.0068✓0.71972k2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048620.048556-0.13%0.045265-6.90%0.0251✗0.8937k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.52883-0.13%0.4754-10.22%0.0141✗1.13376k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.1110.0982-0.12%9.359-7.43%0.0293✗0.981.9M2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.067343-0.11%0.063977-5.10%0.0141✗0.61179k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.05434-0.11%0.051-6.25%0.0461✗1.02877k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00661.0055-0.11%1.0221+1.54%0.0815✗0.613.9M2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.7649-0.10%5.106-11.52%0.0245✗1.3611.8M2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.3213-0.10%5.2071-2.25%0.0072✓0.14204k2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.4055-0.10%2.112-12.29%0.0580✗1.76132k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.398904-0.10%0.3724-6.74%0.0510✗1.12176k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.730295-0.10%0.678-7.25%0.0275✗0.95333k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.340517-0.09%0.29333-13.94%0.0370✓1.0513k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.392448-0.09%0.36149-7.97%0.0244✗1.0090k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.7639-0.08%3.3477-11.13%0.0128✓0.9848k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.073738-0.08%0.0618-16.26%0.0873✓0.83130k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007634-0.08%0.00703-7.98%0.0142✓0.641.4M2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.3453-0.08%3-10.39%0.0454✓0.59853k2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007815-0.07%0.00743-4.99%0.0699✗1.12420k2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.049366-0.07%0.0447-9.51%0.0041✗0.97207k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.44530.445017-0.06%0.3909-12.22%0.0108✓1.11628k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.408362-0.06%0.36-11.89%0.0092✗1.26223k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.15842-0.04%0.13844-12.65%0.0033✓1.23250k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042682-0.04%0.0398-6.79%0.0298✗0.9311k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.1142-0.04%1.0504-5.76%0.1072✗1.555.0M2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3882-0.03%2.151-9.96%0.0212✗1.1862k2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.574+0.00%6.895-8.96%0.0463✓1.3110.3M2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.2501+0.03%2.801-13.79%0.0199✓1.575.2M2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.420261+0.09%0.3796-9.60%0.0476✓1.39203k2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.023528+0.16%0.0224-4.64%0.0533✓0.9613.9M2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.774+0.17%1.661-6.21%0.0692✓1.26142k2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.1983+0.19%1.222+2.17%0.2262✓1.933.6M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.