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2022-08-15 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0010
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.5%
in alpha space · 67.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.3847+0.00%5.2507-2.49%0.0239✗0.13233k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.044986-0.03%0.0445-1.11%0.0012✓0.9611k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008202-0.09%0.00828+0.85%0.0158✗0.641.6M2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.068897-0.10%0.069764+1.16%0.0185✗0.60182k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.5129-0.12%10.39-1.29%0.0021✓0.972.0M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.083391-0.13%0.0811-2.87%0.0187✓0.91134k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.962.9559-0.14%2.94-0.68%0.0001✓0.52100k2022-08-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.267408-0.15%0.2636-1.57%0.0043✓1.00110k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.579418-0.17%0.5677-2.19%0.0092✓1.12376k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.48590.485058-0.17%0.4762-2.00%0.0071✓1.13808k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.5848-0.17%61.33+1.05%0.0226✗1.0413.7M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.12331-0.18%0.12178-1.42%0.0034✓0.907.5M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0153-0.18%1.0226+0.54%0.0148✗0.7677k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.36068-0.18%0.35527-1.68%0.0042✓1.0913k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.8530.791-0.19%30.67-0.58%0.0054✗0.949.2M2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.98e-7-0.20%0.000001+0.00%0.0096✗0.7721k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.441941-0.21%0.42922-3.08%0.0191✓1.0196k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.175234-0.21%0.16955-3.45%0.0203✓1.27246k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323323-0.21%0.316-2.47%0.0151✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2866-0.21%5.96-5.40%0.0428✓1.061.4M2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,045.58-0.22%23,857.93-1.00%0.0022✓1.00482.6M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.88e-7-0.22%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0104✓0.785.4M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.006748-0.22%0.006767+0.07%0.0100✗0.713,2222022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34137.0356-0.22%136.34-0.73%0.0061✗1.125.1M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.076524-0.22%0.087041+13.49%0.1391✗1.031.8M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.944879-0.22%0.967+2.11%0.0283✗0.514.4M2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2727-0.22%1.2535-1.72%0.0061✓0.9056k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash53.1753.0485-0.23%52.46-1.34%0.0014✓0.98574k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.449216-0.24%0.4464-0.87%0.0067✗1.29255k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0424.032-0.25%4.0127-0.72%0.0052✗0.9953k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006704-0.25%0.006937+3.21%0.0386✗0.4555k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.028756-0.26%0.02789-3.26%0.0207✓0.9914.3M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana43.7243.6065-0.26%43.09-1.44%0.0002✓1.2181.1M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash73.8473.6463-0.26%75.95+2.86%0.0422✗1.142.1M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4661-0.26%1.47+0.00%0.0027✗0.00124k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.7178-0.26%2.651-2.72%0.0074✓1.75144k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.128654-0.27%0.123-4.65%0.0371✓0.783,9702022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.052922-0.27%0.051969-2.07%0.0089✓0.9343k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.042383-0.28%0.0426+0.24%0.0151✗1.0076k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.409993-0.28%0.40858-0.62%0.0061✗0.96457k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.069003-0.28%0.0688-0.58%0.0054✗0.84119k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045878-0.29%0.00004498-2.24%0.0108✓0.902.0M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.816654-0.29%0.818-0.12%0.0109✗0.93370k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.225342-0.29%0.244+7.96%0.0915✗1.19657k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1386-0.29%1.1489+0.61%0.0157✗0.673.9M2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025119-0.29%0.024604-2.34%0.0123✓0.8413k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.717876-0.29%0.7-2.78%0.0124✓1.28135k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.1965-0.30%6.197-0.29%0.0135✗1.3412.8M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.54845-0.30%0.5571+1.27%0.0262✗1.0643.6M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.470075-0.30%0.4559-3.31%0.0194✓1.12190k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.98224.9671-0.30%4.8932-1.79%0.0078✓0.72912k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.0467-0.31%20.12+0.05%0.0154✗1.17121k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.210726-0.32%0.2113-0.05%0.0170✗1.421,3972022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero163.5162.9747-0.32%169.61+3.74%0.0498✗0.991.2M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.370333-0.32%0.362039-2.56%0.0119✓1.07962k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.047475-0.32%0.04681-1.72%0.0060✓0.812,5642022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.002098-0.33%0.00202-4.04%0.0280✓1.00950k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.29653-0.33%0.3019+1.48%0.0288✗1.08178k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.083894-0.33%0.08578+1.91%0.0246✗0.241.1M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008472-0.33%0.00854+0.47%0.0191✗1.12463k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.0359-0.33%1.0221-1.65%0.0012✓1.222.3M2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260433-0.33%0.2612-0.04%0.0031✓0.0155k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.517265-0.33%0.545+5.01%0.0623✗1.0112k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.2104-0.34%61.168-0.41%0.0066✗0.73365k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055675-0.34%0.054802-1.90%0.0108✓0.5036k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.7206-0.34%2.752+0.81%0.0230✗1.1564k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.594452-0.34%0.5897-1.14%0.0004✓0.76784k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.114405-0.34%0.1138-0.87%0.0050✗1.03478k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015951-0.35%0.015966-0.25%0.0074✗0.642.1M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017359-0.35%0.01753+0.63%0.0169✗0.72153k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.031011-0.35%0.03136+0.77%0.0241✗1.303,2032022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.473083-0.35%0.47192-0.59%0.0022✓0.4770k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.356544-0.35%0.3526-1.45%0.0015✓0.968.3M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054209-0.35%0.0539-0.92%0.0042✗0.99228k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7488-0.36%8.89+1.25%0.0169✗0.091.7M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.7554-0.36%8.839+0.59%0.0201✗1.0614.4M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.4444-0.36%8.346-1.52%0.0014✓1.3110.0M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.070441-0.37%0.0734+3.82%0.0534✗1.23339k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156321-0.37%0.1546-1.47%0.0044✓0.674.4M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.6764-0.37%3.62-1.90%0.0085✓0.701.1M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004862-0.37%0.00476-2.46%0.0107✓1.05158k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.7046-0.37%1.675-2.10%0.0044✓1.32485k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.125627-0.38%0.1265+0.32%0.0161✗0.91328k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.126.0966-0.38%6.14+0.33%0.0102✗0.311.0M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.678379-0.38%0.672-1.32%0.0026✓1.20115k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.85368-0.39%0.84-1.98%0.0066✓0.96280k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.219645-0.39%0.207-6.12%0.0484✓1.091,7402022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.066735-0.40%0.0696+3.88%0.0527✗1.07237k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.7925-0.40%15.0779-4.91%0.0365✓0.9858k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.866491-0.40%0.87+0.00%0.0186✗1.454.4M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.284146-0.40%0.3001+5.19%0.0638✗0.9275k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.343402-0.41%0.3392-1.62%0.0022✓1.013.6M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.7624-0.41%7.773-0.27%0.0115✗1.025.5M2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.000096516-0.41%0.0000971+0.20%0.0163✗1.03336k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.10029-0.41%0.1069+6.16%0.0742✗1.049,7202022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.18798-0.41%0.1883-0.24%0.0241✗2.236672022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8853-0.41%1.924+1.64%0.0318✗1.14194k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.256232-0.41%0.2556-0.66%0.0108✗1.33131k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.1138-0.42%4.19+1.43%0.0213✗0.301.7M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.1102-0.42%2.016-4.86%0.0343✓1.14157k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.088228-0.42%0.09121+2.95%0.0446✗1.1329k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.065623-0.42%0.0642-2.58%0.0112✓1.08877k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.324-0.42%2.2701-2.73%0.0128✓1.0738k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3055-0.42%1.271-3.05%0.0144✓1.231.2M2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.167291-0.42%0.1676-0.24%0.0118✗0.992.4M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.114013-0.43%0.1024-10.57%0.0989✓0.86220k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.179127-0.43%0.1798-0.06%0.0147✗1.09616k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4338-0.43%1.41-2.08%0.0039✓1.281.2M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010683-0.43%0.01154+7.55%0.0855✗0.845.6M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.356081-0.44%0.35342-1.18%0.0013✓0.88432k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1818.1005-0.44%17.95-1.27%0.0035✓1.181.7M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.948-0.44%4.95-0.40%0.0043✓0.391.2M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1788-0.44%1.1561-2.36%0.0098✓0.9712k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4157-0.45%5.44+0.00%0.0070✗0.251.6M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0487-0.45%1.0299-2.23%0.0081✓0.99623k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4489-0.45%2.36-4.07%0.0277✓0.93520k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020321-0.45%0.025638+25.60%0.2339✗0.14230k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40811.3563-0.45%11.396-0.11%0.0152✗1.1713.2M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.521176-0.46%0.5047-3.61%0.0208✓1.1360k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.273919-0.47%0.27-1.89%0.0052✓0.92551k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.985374-0.47%0.959-3.13%0.0150✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053535-0.47%0.05205-3.23%0.0209✓0.7316k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001781-0.47%0.001761-1.57%0.0035✓0.759,2532022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.820.81611-0.47%0.81-1.22%0.0035✓0.40105k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.271304-0.48%0.2645-2.97%0.0154✓1.0091k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.207-0.48%1.1875-2.08%0.0051✓1.1113k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.133551-0.48%0.1301-3.06%0.0150✓1.113.9M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.819-0.49%1.8887+3.33%0.0489✗1.13488k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.6065-0.49%8.453-2.27%0.0069✓1.1120.0M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.496747-0.49%0.4749-4.87%0.0316✓1.34211k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7114-0.50%1.75+1.74%0.0326✗1.03190k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.88-0.50%12.36+3.52%0.0510✗1.14305k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration57.7157.4199-0.50%56.07-2.84%0.0136✓1.02590k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2883-0.51%3.334+0.88%0.0223✗0.85658k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,889.74-0.51%1,876.57-1.20%0.0063✗1.32528.6M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.62510.621862-0.52%0.6115-2.18%0.0070✓0.982.1M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14106.5717-0.53%109.79+2.47%0.0453✗1.556.7M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.026715-0.54%0.02539-5.47%0.0423✓0.86244k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.6739-0.54%3.68-0.38%0.0175✗1.595.3M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.0797-0.54%3.1212+0.79%0.0183✗0.491.3M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.011.999-0.55%2.061+2.54%0.0405✗1.00181k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.47112.8511-0.55%116.11+2.33%0.0371✗0.873.6M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.9689-0.55%4.038+1.18%0.0194✗0.222.1M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.146563-0.57%0.1437-2.51%0.0088✓1.0946k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.3691-0.57%8.426+0.11%0.0154✗0.869.1M2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.711186-0.57%0.69252-3.18%0.0134✓1.3151k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0361.6753-0.57%61.09-1.52%0.0031✓1.2727k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.083645-0.58%0.08258-1.84%0.0051✓0.778802022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4614-0.58%1.425-3.06%0.0153✓1.002.6M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3023,700.67-0.59%23,861.50+0.09%0.0165✗0.977,5932022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0313-0.59%15-0.79%0.0100✗1.212.6M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.6673-0.59%1.635-2.52%0.0073✓1.23540k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.9876-0.59%6.018-0.08%0.0059✗0.083.4M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3422-0.59%6.29-1.41%0.0051✓0.321.4M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.3261-0.60%1.2853-3.66%0.0170✓1.436.4M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7302-0.61%27.11-2.83%0.0089✓1.3730.5M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.713383-0.64%0.71-1.11%0.0076✗1.242,7912022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5611,021.98-0.65%11,010.19-0.75%0.0123✗1.336.5M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum40.940.6342-0.65%38.9-4.89%0.0239✓1.97408k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.99464-0.66%0.967-3.42%0.0124✓1.58276k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078283-0.66%0.0784-0.51%0.0130✗1.151.4M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.398151-0.69%0.3985-0.60%0.0119✗1.1095k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.8506-0.70%10.19+2.72%0.0450✗1.11638k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4378-0.70%2.409-1.87%0.0022✓0.97641k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.2778-0.72%3.3012-0.01%0.0202✗1.3113k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.004030.003999-0.78%0.00401-0.50%0.0135✗1.06528k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.5955-0.78%3.7239+2.76%0.0393✗0.431.9M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.712.6885-0.79%2.685-0.92%0.0115✗1.28810k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.397-0.81%3.514+2.61%0.0368✗0.301.6M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.004203-0.84%0.004101-3.23%0.0164✓0.811.0M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5558-0.84%1.454-7.33%0.0485✓1.913.7M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0439-0.86%1.072+1.80%0.0409✗1.44433k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5820.3917-0.91%20.32-1.26%0.0034✓0.692.2M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.5811-0.93%39.88-4.98%0.0280✓1.3816.5M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.094131-0.97%0.08996-5.36%0.0333✓1.202.4M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.4029-0.97%5.889+7.94%0.0873✗0.121.1M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4039.5775-1.06%40.61+1.53%0.0367✗1.101.8M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.2843-1.08%3.26-1.81%0.0051✓1.25269k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.000015082-1.10%0.00001581+3.67%0.0567✗0.96744k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.194602-1.12%0.2097+6.55%0.0832✗0.851.1M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4499-1.16%1.4706+0.25%0.0240✗0.981.0M2022-08-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.826-1.19%5.0987+4.39%0.0650✗1.00100k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.487521-1.23%0.4514-8.55%0.0685✓0.851542022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.8472-1.25%3.876-0.51%0.0161✗0.86124k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001616-1.25%0.001587-3.08%0.0103✓0.841.5M2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.047926-1.89%0.05113+4.67%0.0748✗1.0121k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.195379-2.02%0.1861-6.67%0.0385✓1.02134k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-77.10e-7-4.41%7.44e-7+0.19%0.0536✗0.65155k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.