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2022-08-15 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0028
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 67.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.945811-0.13%0.967+2.11%0.0273✗0.514.4M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0156-0.16%1.0226+0.54%0.0146✗0.7677k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.579421-0.17%0.5677-2.19%0.0092✓1.12376k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008195-0.18%0.00828+0.85%0.0167✗0.641.6M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.2034-0.19%6.197-0.29%0.0124✗1.3412.8M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.123284-0.20%0.12178-1.42%0.0032✓0.907.5M2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.028773-0.20%0.02789-3.26%0.0213✓0.9914.3M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.128734-0.21%0.123-4.65%0.0378✓0.783,9702022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.98e-7-0.21%0.000001+0.00%0.0098✗0.7721k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.068819-0.21%0.069764+1.16%0.0197✗0.60182k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2867-0.21%5.96-5.40%0.0428✓1.061.4M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323291-0.22%0.316-2.47%0.0150✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017381-0.23%0.01753+0.63%0.0157✗0.72153k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.88e-7-0.23%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0104✓0.785.4M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana43.7243.6193-0.23%43.09-1.44%0.0001✓1.2181.1M2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3079-0.23%1.271-3.05%0.0163✓1.231.2M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.04489-0.24%0.0445-1.11%0.0009✓0.9611k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.48590.48471-0.24%0.4762-2.00%0.0064✓1.13808k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260647-0.25%0.2612-0.04%0.0023✓0.0155k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.7066-0.26%1.675-2.10%0.0055✓1.32485k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.4984-0.26%10.39-1.29%0.0007✓0.972.0M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.7176-0.27%2.651-2.72%0.0073✓1.75144k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.4516-0.28%8.346-1.52%0.0005✓1.3110.0M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.031034-0.28%0.03136+0.77%0.0234✗1.303,2032022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.5201-0.28%61.33+1.05%0.0237✗1.0413.7M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.548491-0.29%0.5571+1.27%0.0262✗1.0643.6M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.820.817593-0.29%0.81-1.22%0.0053✓0.40105k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.083254-0.30%0.0811-2.87%0.0171✓0.91134k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,893.72-0.30%1,876.57-1.20%0.0042✗1.32528.6M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054237-0.30%0.0539-0.92%0.0036✗0.99228k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.083917-0.30%0.08578+1.91%0.0244✗0.241.1M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.6789-0.30%3.62-1.90%0.0092✓0.701.1M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.8223-0.31%1.8887+3.33%0.0471✗1.13488k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.594662-0.31%0.5897-1.14%0.0008✓0.76784k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash53.1753.0061-0.31%52.46-1.34%0.0006✓0.98574k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.448904-0.31%0.4464-0.87%0.0074✗1.29255k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.47113.1178-0.31%116.11+2.33%0.0348✗0.873.6M2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.125708-0.31%0.1265+0.32%0.0154✗0.91328k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.8530.7539-0.31%30.67-0.58%0.0066✗0.949.2M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.006742-0.31%0.006767+0.07%0.0109✗0.713,2222022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.521965-0.31%0.5047-3.61%0.0223✓1.1360k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.167472-0.31%0.1676-0.24%0.0107✗0.992.4M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.343706-0.32%0.3392-1.62%0.0031✓1.013.6M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.0359-0.32%1.0221-1.65%0.0013✓1.222.3M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration57.7157.5218-0.33%56.07-2.84%0.0153✓1.02590k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34136.8876-0.33%136.34-0.73%0.0072✗1.125.1M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.962.9502-0.33%2.94-0.68%0.0018✓0.52100k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4651-0.33%1.47+0.00%0.0033✗0.00124k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.1119-0.33%2.016-4.86%0.0351✓1.14157k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.28434-0.34%0.3001+5.19%0.0631✗0.9275k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.114412-0.34%0.1138-0.87%0.0050✗1.03478k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.271667-0.34%0.2645-2.97%0.0168✓1.0091k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero163.5162.9406-0.34%169.61+3.74%0.0500✗0.991.2M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.409733-0.34%0.40858-0.62%0.0067✗0.96457k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,014.89-0.34%23,857.93-1.00%0.0034✓1.00482.6M2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.042354-0.34%0.0426+0.24%0.0158✗1.0076k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006698-0.35%0.006937+3.21%0.0396✗0.4555k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4209-0.35%5.44+0.00%0.0060✗0.251.6M2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0424.0277-0.35%4.0127-0.72%0.0062✗0.9953k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.9524-0.35%4.95-0.40%0.0034✓0.391.2M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.07045-0.35%0.0734+3.82%0.0533✗1.23339k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.0386-0.36%20.12+0.05%0.0158✗1.17121k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.356529-0.36%0.3526-1.45%0.0015✓0.968.3M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.012.0028-0.36%2.061+2.54%0.0386✗1.00181k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.717418-0.36%0.7-2.78%0.0118✓1.28135k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.066759-0.36%0.0696+3.88%0.0524✗1.07237k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.98224.9642-0.36%4.8932-1.79%0.0072✓0.72912k2022-08-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.266829-0.36%0.2636-1.57%0.0022✓1.00110k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.441254-0.36%0.42922-3.08%0.0176✓1.0196k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.100335-0.36%0.1069+6.16%0.0738✗1.049,7202022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055663-0.36%0.054802-1.90%0.0106✓0.5036k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0495-0.37%1.0299-2.23%0.0089✓0.99623k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.088271-0.37%0.09121+2.95%0.0441✗1.1329k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1796-0.37%1.1561-2.36%0.0105✓0.9712k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.7542-0.37%8.839+0.59%0.0203✗1.0614.4M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008467-0.38%0.00854+0.47%0.0197✗1.12463k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516999-0.39%0.545+5.01%0.0628✗1.0112k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015944-0.39%0.015966-0.25%0.0078✗0.642.1M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156292-0.39%0.1546-1.47%0.0042✓0.674.4M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.715201-0.39%0.71-1.11%0.0051✗1.242,7912022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4344-0.39%1.41-2.08%0.0043✓1.281.2M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.1776-0.39%61.168-0.41%0.0071✗0.73365k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40811.3631-0.39%11.396-0.11%0.0146✗1.1713.2M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.866561-0.40%0.87+0.00%0.0185✗1.454.4M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053577-0.40%0.05205-3.23%0.0216✓0.7316k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.179179-0.40%0.1798-0.06%0.0144✗1.09616k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1373-0.40%1.1489+0.61%0.0168✗0.673.9M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.126.0954-0.40%6.14+0.33%0.0104✗0.311.0M2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025092-0.40%0.024604-2.34%0.0112✓0.8413k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.678264-0.40%0.672-1.32%0.0027✓1.20115k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.002096-0.40%0.00202-4.04%0.0272✓1.00950k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.6139-0.41%8.453-2.27%0.0078✓1.1120.0M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.076384-0.41%0.087041+13.49%0.1409✗1.031.8M2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.27408-0.41%0.27-1.89%0.0058✓0.92551k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.00486-0.41%0.00476-2.46%0.0102✓1.05158k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.187967-0.41%0.1883-0.24%0.0241✗2.236672022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045819-0.41%0.00004498-2.24%0.0095✓0.902.0M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.3621-0.42%5.2507-2.49%0.0197✓0.13233k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum40.940.7288-0.42%38.9-4.89%0.0263✓1.97408k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash73.8473.531-0.42%75.95+2.86%0.0437✗1.142.1M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.815568-0.42%0.818-0.12%0.0123✗0.93370k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0561-0.42%15-0.79%0.0083✗1.212.6M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5624-0.42%1.454-7.33%0.0528✓1.913.7M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14106.6841-0.43%109.79+2.47%0.0442✗1.556.7M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.356103-0.43%0.35342-1.18%0.0012✓0.88432k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2701-0.43%1.2535-1.72%0.0040✓0.9056k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.22502-0.43%0.244+7.96%0.0929✗1.19657k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0361.7611-0.43%61.09-1.52%0.0017✓1.2727k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.7181-0.44%2.752+0.81%0.0240✗1.1564k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.469435-0.44%0.4559-3.31%0.0180✓1.12190k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.052833-0.44%0.051969-2.07%0.0072✓0.9343k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.219526-0.44%0.207-6.12%0.0479✓1.091,7402022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.7595-0.44%7.773-0.27%0.0119✗1.025.5M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.369893-0.44%0.362039-2.56%0.0107✓1.07962k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.1336-0.45%0.1301-3.06%0.0154✓1.113.9M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.210446-0.45%0.2113-0.05%0.0183✗1.421,3972022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.9729-0.45%4.038+1.18%0.0184✗0.222.1M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1818.0978-0.45%17.95-1.27%0.0036✓1.181.7M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7735-0.45%27.11-2.83%0.0105✓1.3730.5M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.7836-0.46%15.0779-4.91%0.0359✓0.9858k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.985374-0.47%0.959-3.13%0.0150✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.026734-0.47%0.02539-5.47%0.0430✓0.86244k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.047406-0.47%0.04681-1.72%0.0045✓0.812,5642022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020317-0.47%0.025638+25.60%0.2341✗0.14230k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.3278-0.47%1.2853-3.66%0.0182✓1.436.4M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.8834-0.47%12.36+3.52%0.0507✗1.14305k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.47249-0.47%0.47192-0.59%0.0035✓0.4770k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8839-0.48%1.924+1.64%0.0325✗1.14194k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5611,039.97-0.48%11,010.19-0.75%0.0106✗1.336.5M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.004218-0.48%0.004101-3.23%0.0199✓0.811.0M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2889-0.49%3.334+0.88%0.0222✗0.85658k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.113942-0.49%0.1024-10.57%0.0982✓0.86220k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7116-0.49%1.75+1.74%0.0325✗1.03190k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.669-0.49%1.635-2.52%0.0083✓1.23540k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.398934-0.49%0.3985-0.60%0.0099✗1.1095k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.065576-0.49%0.0642-2.58%0.0105✓1.08877k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7368-0.49%8.89+1.25%0.0183✗0.091.7M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.496726-0.50%0.4749-4.87%0.0315✓1.34211k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.1105-0.50%4.19+1.43%0.0221✗0.301.7M2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.256023-0.50%0.2556-0.66%0.0116✗1.33131k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.6756-0.50%3.68-0.38%0.0171✗1.595.3M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.174715-0.50%0.16955-3.45%0.0173✓1.27246k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.29599-0.51%0.3019+1.48%0.0306✗1.08178k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4475-0.51%2.36-4.07%0.0271✓0.93520k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4625-0.51%1.425-3.06%0.0160✓1.002.6M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.068846-0.51%0.0688-0.58%0.0077✗0.84119k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010675-0.51%0.01154+7.55%0.0863✗0.845.6M2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.004030.004009-0.51%0.00401-0.50%0.0108✗1.06528k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.852558-0.52%0.84-1.98%0.0053✓0.96280k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.3729-0.52%8.426+0.11%0.0149✗0.869.1M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.359424-0.53%0.35527-1.68%0.0007✓1.0913k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.991-0.53%6.018-0.08%0.0053✗0.083.4M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.2062-0.54%1.1875-2.08%0.0045✓1.1113k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.3212-0.54%2.2701-2.73%0.0116✓1.0738k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.000096384-0.54%0.0000971+0.20%0.0177✗1.03336k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5820.4671-0.55%20.32-1.26%0.0003✓0.692.2M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.146582-0.56%0.1437-2.51%0.0090✓1.0946k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4411-0.57%2.409-1.87%0.0036✓0.97641k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3432-0.58%6.29-1.41%0.0052✓0.321.4M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.4044-0.59%3.514+2.61%0.0347✗0.301.6M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.62510.621396-0.59%0.6115-2.18%0.0063✓0.982.1M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.995185-0.60%0.967-3.42%0.0129✓1.58276k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.083614-0.61%0.08258-1.84%0.0048✓0.778802022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078309-0.62%0.0784-0.51%0.0126✗1.151.4M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001777-0.66%0.001761-1.57%0.0016✓0.759,2532022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.8522-0.68%10.19+2.72%0.0448✗1.11638k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.094394-0.69%0.08996-5.36%0.0361✓1.202.4M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.712.6912-0.69%2.685-0.92%0.0105✗1.28810k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3023,666.68-0.73%23,861.50+0.09%0.0179✗0.977,5932022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.6589-0.74%39.88-4.98%0.0298✓1.3816.5M2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.277-0.75%3.3012-0.01%0.0205✗1.3113k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.295-0.75%3.26-1.81%0.0019✓1.25269k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.0733-0.75%3.1212+0.79%0.0204✗0.491.3M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.5963-0.76%3.7239+2.76%0.0391✗0.431.9M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0445-0.81%1.072+1.80%0.0404✗1.44433k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.709331-0.83%0.69252-3.18%0.0108✓1.3151k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4039.6545-0.86%40.61+1.53%0.0348✗1.101.8M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4531-0.94%1.4706+0.25%0.0218✗0.981.0M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.4047-0.94%5.889+7.94%0.0870✗0.121.1M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.0000151-0.99%0.00001581+3.67%0.0556✗0.96744k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.194709-1.06%0.2097+6.55%0.0826✗0.851.1M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.8501-1.18%3.876-0.51%0.0153✗0.86124k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001617-1.22%0.001587-3.08%0.0106✓0.841.5M2022-08-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.8177-1.36%5.0987+4.39%0.0667✗1.00100k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.486819-1.37%0.4514-8.55%0.0670✓0.851542022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.048128-1.48%0.05113+4.67%0.0706✗1.0121k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.196152-1.63%0.1861-6.67%0.0424✓1.02134k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-77.13e-7-3.93%7.44e-7+0.19%0.0485✗0.65155k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.