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2022-08-04 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2043
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.2%
in alpha space · 5.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067389+0.05%0.069799+3.63%0.0004✓1.171.7M2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0377+0.03%10.44+4.04%0.0058✓1.102.0M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55+0.00%4.9519-0.96%0.0150✗0.17219k2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008219-0.01%0.00843+2.55%0.0021✓0.901.6M2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.545344-0.01%0.5836+7.00%0.0333✗1.14333k2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113908-0.01%0.118541+4.06%0.0098✗0.996.9M2022-08-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024896-0.01%0.0252+1.20%0.0047✓0.5540k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001088-0.02%0.001125+3.36%0.0044✓1.241.3M2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,616.50-0.03%23,320.81+3.08%0.0003✓1.00427.9M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.226217-0.04%0.2419+6.89%0.0225✗1.4787k2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068955-0.04%0.069837+1.24%0.0084✓0.69345k2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159935-0.04%0.17777+11.11%0.0592✗1.53212k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.3703-0.06%52.4+6.07%0.0263✗1.10574k2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.1196-0.07%30.76+5.56%0.0260✗0.9510.0M2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.737452-0.07%0.753+2.03%0.0159✓1.21968k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.2364-0.08%141.93+5.65%0.0194✗1.204.6M2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.7889-0.08%40.54+4.43%0.0027✗1.3781.1M2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.08%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0040✓0.846.4M2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001655-0.09%0.001677+1.21%0.0184✓1.039,0682022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1491-0.09%1.196+3.98%0.0081✗1.0543k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739284-0.10%0.74+0.00%0.0172✓0.6079k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.473231-0.10%0.4918+3.82%0.0009✓1.24808k2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.3028-0.10%18.43+6.41%0.0211✗1.38116k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.31-0.11%69.15+7.41%0.0347✗1.251.6M2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.49e-7-0.11%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0120✗1.0025k2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085301-0.12%0.0907+6.21%0.0265✗1.15126k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403844-0.12%0.42676+5.55%0.0191✗1.19107k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5927-0.13%2.752+6.01%0.0065✗1.75109k2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002186-0.13%0.002227+1.74%0.0118✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0137-0.14%1.0527+3.70%0.0092✗0.9460k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.5645-0.14%62.49+4.76%0.0129✗1.1513.6M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042878-0.14%0.00004553+6.03%0.0249✗1.161.9M2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061509-0.15%0.0624+1.30%0.0290✓1.43350k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,605.79-0.15%1,736.79+8.00%0.0397✗1.28407.7M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.312917-0.15%0.32566+3.92%0.0058✗1.12396k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138992-0.15%0.1507+8.26%0.0521✗0.953.6M2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006137-0.15%0.006334+3.06%0.0059✗0.857,1222022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.725901-0.15%0.758+4.26%0.0014✓1.47121k2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9531-0.15%4.0794+3.04%0.0015✓1.0945k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.554.5426-0.16%4.7375+4.12%0.0194✗0.75920k2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498851-0.17%0.5176+3.58%0.0004✓1.2040.5M2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.339622-0.17%0.358859+5.48%0.0166✗1.271.0M2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048112-0.18%0.0495+2.70%0.0110✓1.307,5232022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.335485-0.18%0.3589+6.78%0.0331✗1.138.2M2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.9419-0.19%161.87+1.65%0.0153✓1.111.2M2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109388-0.19%0.1139+3.92%0.0024✗1.25505k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3496-0.20%7.878+6.98%0.0315✗1.2516.9M2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260084-0.20%0.2713+4.11%0.0084✗1.1165k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,450.14-0.20%23,205.30+3.16%0.0034✗0.9813k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116559-0.21%0.1255+7.45%0.0413✗1.08370k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059175-0.21%0.061+2.87%0.0119✓1.39172k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.247974-0.21%0.2612+5.11%0.0149✗1.22101k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006686-0.21%0.006749+0.73%0.0062✓0.5140k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021085-0.21%0.02241+6.06%0.0302✗1.02159k2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0744-0.22%8.81+8.87%0.0502✗1.2211.0M2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043764-0.22%0.04533+3.35%0.0066✗0.942,0262022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.415285-0.22%0.438+5.24%0.0134✗1.31127k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003761-0.23%0.00385+2.12%0.0160✓1.30551k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072931-0.23%0.0739+1.09%0.0089✓0.73159k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.050092-0.24%0.052815+5.19%0.0166✗1.2035k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066543-0.24%0.0689+3.30%0.0063✗0.94183k2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217483-0.24%0.228+4.59%0.0013✓1.51782k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.797103-0.24%0.833+4.26%0.0131✗1.02377k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004529-0.24%0.0047+3.52%0.0026✓1.31112k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.126589-0.25%0.1296+2.13%0.0067✓1.004,7012022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085199-0.25%0.08643+1.19%0.0061✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015556-0.25%0.016324+4.67%0.0211✗0.892.1M2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0822-0.25%3.17+2.59%0.0131✗0.49109k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017535-0.26%0.01819+3.47%0.0118✗0.82193k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155694-0.26%0.164+5.06%0.0147✗1.23107k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251529-0.27%0.2623+4.00%0.0067✗1.16768k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.418416-0.27%0.42795+2.00%0.0193✓1.38583k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.1055-0.27%62.05+2.96%0.0066✗0.83321k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.779856-0.27%0.848+8.44%0.0472✗1.20225k2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.595-0.28%15.3166+4.65%0.0134✗1.1558k2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4081-0.29%2.47+2.28%0.0017✓0.89110k2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.437545-0.29%0.4587+4.54%0.0024✓1.48278k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.3026-0.29%24.97+6.85%0.0212✗1.5826.1M2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054107-0.29%0.055256+1.83%0.0034✗0.5825k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.455738-0.29%0.47865+4.72%0.0259✗0.7668k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.328041-0.29%0.4379+33.10%0.2547✗1.1377k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119847-0.29%0.131+8.99%0.0474✗1.372.9M2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.0562-0.29%103.27+7.19%0.0222✗1.6610.2M2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1834-0.30%2.3513+7.37%0.0377✗1.2032k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.331996-0.30%0.337+1.20%0.0165✓1.041.1M2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7197-0.30%2.845+4.29%0.0017✓1.4349k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198891-0.31%0.2201+10.33%0.0589✗1.401,2762022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4974-0.31%1.6+6.52%0.0239✗1.40594k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.00306-0.31%0.003213+4.69%0.0189✗0.991.0M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0307-0.31%1.0748+3.96%0.0071✗1.151.0M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9726-0.32%3.047+2.18%0.0092✓1.12591k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3251-0.33%10.966+5.86%0.0191✗1.3513.7M2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.989197-0.33%1.0756+8.38%0.0444✗1.30532k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134253-0.33%0.1383+2.67%0.0088✓1.2761k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2926-0.34%1.35+4.09%0.0058✗1.241.1M2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.04893-0.35%0.05101+3.89%0.0147✗0.8915k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4077-0.35%6.65+3.42%0.0051✓1.391.2M2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022369-0.35%0.023038+2.63%0.0002✓0.9611k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073039-0.36%0.0745+1.64%0.0138✓1.111.1M2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076655-0.36%0.07814+1.57%0.0030✓0.739772022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.6864-0.36%18.43+3.83%0.0016✓1.311.3M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.905735-0.36%0.939+3.30%0.0174✓1.76496k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.594357-0.36%0.6718+12.62%0.0878✗1.14690k2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0467-0.36%1.0569+0.61%0.0221✓1.0513k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3939-0.36%1.432+2.36%0.0117✓1.282.6M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329393-0.37%0.3403+2.93%0.0028✓1.173.5M2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.7948-0.37%61.31+9.48%0.0521✗1.3935k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.663465-0.37%0.69514+4.39%0.0008✓1.5188k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009754-0.37%0.0103+5.21%0.0278✗0.885.1M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7978-0.38%6.06+4.12%0.0237✗0.68746k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011804-0.39%0.00001212+2.28%0.0114✓1.25951k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.8822-0.39%63.5+3.89%0.0065✗1.17379k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.05349-0.39%0.0559+4.10%0.0052✗1.28284k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097118-0.39%0.1005+3.08%0.0023✓1.207,1482022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.300811-0.39%0.3054+1.13%0.0187✓1.11300k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8149-0.40%3.946+3.03%0.0127✗0.691.5M2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.243-0.40%2.333+3.60%0.0028✓1.39172k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9483-0.40%8.382+5.04%0.0161✗1.227.0M2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032181-0.40%0.03358+3.93%0.0052✗1.2314k2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030258-0.40%0.03111+2.40%0.0117✓1.301,4012022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062746-0.40%0.0674+6.98%0.0326✗1.28802k2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098831-0.42%0.00010097+1.73%0.0405✓2.04516k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216577-0.42%0.2306+6.02%0.0231✗1.311,5612022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.817-0.43%1.8665+2.28%0.0116✓1.27530k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.17213-0.45%0.1844+6.65%0.0318✗1.223.5M2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7472-0.45%1.831+4.33%0.0035✓1.43341k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4634-0.45%1.51+2.72%0.0114✓1.411.2M2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.54e-7-0.45%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0490✓0.99164k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1079-0.45%1.1532+3.62%0.0066✗1.1111k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7791-0.45%8.972+1.73%0.0205✓1.399.9M2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041909-0.45%0.0451+7.13%0.0362✗1.2376k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5727-0.46%1.58+0.00%0.0044✓0.30242k2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020429-0.47%0.020288-1.15%0.0197✓0.42167k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085743-0.47%0.0866+0.52%0.0314✓1.3629k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.555353-0.47%0.57+2.15%0.0087✓1.1414k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9577-0.47%2.025+2.95%0.0090✓1.41266k2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578454-0.49%0.5908+1.63%0.0148✓1.181.8M2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.361026-0.49%0.3677+1.35%0.0212✓1.3013k2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1217-0.50%1.1864+5.24%0.0145✗1.371.4M2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163364-0.51%0.1787+8.83%0.0521✗1.24518k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034792-0.51%0.03628+3.75%0.0019✓1.4413.9M2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.259769-0.51%0.2615+0.15%0.0063✗0.0129k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8046-0.52%3.073+69.40%0.5132✗0.63206k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7039-0.53%8.9+1.71%0.0075✗0.491.8M2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3216-0.53%1.4417+8.51%0.0417✗1.495.6M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008952-0.53%0.00904+0.44%0.0290✓1.28387k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.178-0.54%107.26+3.39%0.0088✗0.994.2M2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.96-0.55%4.154+4.32%0.0219✗0.86922k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5903-0.56%4.72+2.25%0.0108✗0.561.4M2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.841177-0.57%0.875+3.43%0.0134✓1.744.6M2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8022-0.58%5.02+3.93%0.0231✗0.701.3M2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.187768-0.58%0.19602+3.79%0.0272✓2.311,1512022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5074-0.59%5.7+2.89%0.0164✗0.59873k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8212-0.59%3.911+1.74%0.0055✓0.581.9M2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4651-0.60%2.51+1.21%0.0146✓1.08507k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7539-0.61%4.061+7.52%0.0258✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.2092-0.62%2.195-1.26%0.0450✓1.27626k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8982-0.66%3.0096+3.16%0.0080✗0.981.2M2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1213-0.67%5.341+3.59%0.0260✗0.532.4M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6886-0.67%1.77+4.12%0.0071✗1.32122k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7516-0.68%17.22+8.58%0.0465✗1.412.5M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.681235-0.69%0.708+3.21%0.0039✓1.4088k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.9927-0.70%12.03+8.67%0.0538✗1.20263k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.012-0.71%0.9869-3.17%0.0771✓1.71241k2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.573491-0.71%0.5694-1.42%0.0489✓1.38234k2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.78039-0.71%0.824+4.83%0.0102✗1.463,1392022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.55-0.72%5.69+1.79%0.0063✓0.611.4M2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.382-0.74%7.573+1.83%0.0270✓1.7313.1M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080292-0.75%0.08336+3.04%0.0076✓1.49871k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.7707-0.78%32.59+16.43%0.1189✗1.36946k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143541-0.80%0.1459+0.83%0.0166✓1.08907k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,560.16-0.81%12,281.30+15.35%0.1078✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0192-0.90%8.341+3.08%0.0077✓1.042.5M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3402-0.94%3.4602+2.61%0.0083✓0.891.4M2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.4141-0.95%21.35-1.25%0.0286✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.4684-0.95%38.27+9.97%0.0620✗1.4011.4M2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0902-0.95%3.17+1.60%0.0205✓1.52211k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1539-0.99%3.1425-1.35%0.0510✓1.5612k2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1727-1.06%1.1895+0.35%0.0122✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.0953-1.14%10.63+15.54%0.1139✗1.39334k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1057-1.14%3.2379+3.07%0.0185✗0.761.1M2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1981-1.31%1.159-4.53%0.0529✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8858-1.68%1.946+1.46%0.0284✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.556039-2.05%0.5966+5.09%0.0366✗1.1146k2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.9693-2.26%47.65+3.56%0.0026✓1.82266k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.5364-2.45%2.732+5.08%0.0360✗1.26448k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.