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2022-08-03 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1965
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.5%
in alpha space · 36.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.4807-2.32%9.2-14.26%0.1181✓1.38334k2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.9526-2.03%1.918-3.76%0.0005✓1.972.4M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.7158-0.95%34.8-3.49%0.0136✓1.409.4M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.3323-0.76%3.3721+0.43%0.0197✗0.891.3M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.8189-0.73%21.62-1.64%0.0016✓0.852.2M2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076763-0.69%0.0733-5.17%0.0364✓1.11952k2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.995784-0.69%1.0192+1.65%0.0384✗1.72211k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2429-0.69%3.1416-3.79%0.0250✓0.761.1M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.3314-0.66%15.86-3.53%0.0169✓1.412.3M2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.4633-0.64%27.99+1.27%0.0310✗1.36773k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,700.55-0.63%22,495.20-1.53%0.0004✓0.9814k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0114-0.62%1.967-2.82%0.0098✓1.41255k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4547-0.62%2.48+0.40%0.0198✗1.08398k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080715-0.61%0.0809-0.38%0.0155✗1.49786k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037267-0.59%0.03497-6.72%0.0509✓1.4413.9M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.347211-0.58%0.36281+3.89%0.0555✗1.3113k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.5960.592578-0.57%0.5813-2.47%0.0087✓1.181.5M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3948-0.55%5.59-13.06%0.1291✓0.611.4M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.316565-0.55%0.302-5.12%0.0373✓1.11294k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000099428-0.54%0.00009925-0.72%0.0162✗2.04536k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,666.89-0.54%10,646.82-0.73%0.0107✗1.424.4M2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.462-0.52%2.415-2.42%0.0114✓0.89110k2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0289-0.52%1.1853+14.60%0.1493✗0.883.9M2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.956-0.50%5.156+3.51%0.0442✗0.532.2M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6914-0.50%3.777+1.81%0.0383✗1.745.0M2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.5042-0.48%8.75-8.38%0.0784✓0.491.7M2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0488-0.47%8.092+0.06%0.0146✗1.042.4M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7927-0.47%5.54-4.81%0.0394✓0.59873k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041109-0.46%0.0421+1.94%0.0347✗1.2376k2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.776461-0.45%0.786+0.77%0.0251✗1.453,6872022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7259-0.45%3.1854+16.34%0.1696✗1.5612k2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022955-0.44%0.022448-2.64%0.0138✓0.9611k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0327-0.44%1.0505+1.28%0.0264✗1.0513k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1201-0.43%1.214+7.91%0.0862✗0.651.8M2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.514776-0.43%0.558+7.93%0.0908✗1.1513k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206115-0.43%0.2175+5.07%0.0653✗1.311,6972022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.53879-0.43%0.5776+6.75%0.0820✗1.40222k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067909-0.43%0.0667-2.20%0.0097✓0.94229k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5136-0.42%1.58+3.95%0.0456✗0.30221k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.087345-0.42%0.08615-1.78%0.0017✓1.3629k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum35.335.1536-0.41%46.01+30.34%0.2861✗1.92251k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001697-0.41%0.001657-2.76%0.0147✓1.039,4962022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.1387-0.41%7.437+3.75%0.0563✗1.7312.2M2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0595-0.40%4.83-4.92%0.0402✓0.701.3M2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.646377-0.40%0.66591+2.61%0.0431✗1.5188k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077972-0.39%0.07693-1.72%0.0070✓0.731,0202022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.792-0.39%1.814+0.83%0.0178✗0.64189k2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8731-0.38%8.819-0.99%0.0062✗1.399.8M2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9633-0.37%3.83-3.72%0.0281✓0.691.5M2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030689-0.36%0.03038-1.36%0.0014✓1.301,3502022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8123-0.36%3.844+0.47%0.0135✗0.591.9M2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.199188-0.36%0.1995-0.20%0.0139✗1.401,1742022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.463987-0.36%0.45707-1.84%0.0083✓0.7668k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.813172-0.35%0.846+3.68%0.0550✗1.744.8M2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0143-0.34%1.0339+1.58%0.0293✗1.151.1M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.5694-0.34%56+0.43%0.0200✗1.3934k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134439-0.34%0.1347-0.15%0.0132✗1.2761k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049123-0.34%0.05021+1.86%0.0325✗1.2035k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043304-0.34%0.04386+0.94%0.0211✗0.942,3002022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.102-0.33%1.1129+0.66%0.0197✗1.1111k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8391-0.33%2.9175+2.42%0.0359✗0.981.2M2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.18742-0.33%0.18887+0.44%0.0282✗2.311,1512022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0798-0.33%1.1273+4.05%0.0552✗1.371.4M2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8923-0.32%3.982+1.97%0.0304✗0.86922k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.902068-0.32%0.909+0.44%0.0233✗1.77513k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4636-0.32%4.616+3.08%0.0386✗0.561.3M2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019887-0.31%0.020525+2.89%0.0353✗0.42165k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.764658-0.31%0.799+4.17%0.0529✗1.02377k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1604-0.30%3.09-2.52%0.0182✓0.49102k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009731-0.30%0.00979+0.31%0.0139✗0.885.0M2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5952-0.30%1.7+6.25%0.0753✗1.32122k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4258-0.30%1.47+2.80%0.0430✗1.411.1M2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9723-0.29%5.82-2.84%0.0198✓0.68725k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9553-0.29%2.982+0.61%0.0188✗1.11597k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.054441-0.29%0.0537-1.65%0.0024✓1.28284k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162567-0.29%0.16-1.86%0.0023✓1.53212k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9913-0.29%2.223+11.32%0.1213✗1.27626k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.2124-0.28%0.218+2.35%0.0394✗1.51786k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1699-0.28%2.1899+0.64%0.0198✗1.2032k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.787805-0.28%0.782-1.01%0.0032✗1.20225k2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.888-0.28%103.74-1.37%0.0022✓0.994.2M2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3303-0.28%1.3286-0.40%0.0120✗1.506.4M2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011797-0.28%0.00001185+0.17%0.0155✗1.25986k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6877-0.27%2.728+1.22%0.0275✗1.4349k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.631279-0.27%0.686+8.37%0.0955✗1.4088k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.085866-0.27%0.0854-0.81%0.0047✗1.15128k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021243-0.27%0.02113-0.80%0.0037✗1.02159k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.8025-0.27%3.12+11.03%0.1208✗1.52198k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.230491-0.26%0.2263-2.08%0.0053✓1.4789k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048213-0.26%0.0491+1.57%0.0261✗0.8915k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.5837-0.26%14.6359+0.09%0.0137✗1.1563k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393185-0.26%0.40433+2.56%0.0385✗1.19118k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.158388-0.26%0.1642+3.40%0.0470✗1.24508k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.8407-0.26%7.98+1.51%0.0284✗1.227.0M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031189-0.26%0.03231+3.33%0.0462✗1.2314k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.144432-0.25%0.1392-3.87%0.0285✓0.953.6M2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096955-0.25%0.0975+0.31%0.0163✗1.206,5342022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.7933-0.25%11.07+2.31%0.0359✗1.20259k2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.1624-0.25%60.269-0.07%0.0091✗0.83330k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006682-0.25%0.0067+0.03%0.0073✗0.5239k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128485-0.24%0.1269-1.48%0.0036✓1.004,9522022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.170385-0.24%0.1729+1.23%0.0255✗1.223.5M2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004549-0.24%0.00454-0.44%0.0096✗1.31112k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.317431-0.24%0.329+3.39%0.0458✗1.1377k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055599-0.24%0.054264-2.63%0.0192✓0.5824k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133491-0.23%0.1447+8.15%0.0902✗1.09779k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058366-0.23%0.063+7.69%0.0878✗1.28799k2022-08-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.00225-0.23%0.002189-2.93%0.0186✓1.001.5M2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.46630.465241-0.23%0.4737+1.59%0.0290✗1.24892k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.1311-0.23%17.75+3.38%0.0471✗1.311.3M2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.331251-0.23%0.333+0.30%0.0144✗1.041.1M2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.43892-0.22%0.4388-0.25%0.0128✗1.48278k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.004-0.22%5-0.30%0.0007✓0.17219k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042347-0.22%0.00004294+1.18%0.0241✗1.161.9M2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001084-0.21%0.001089+0.19%0.0150✗1.241.3M2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.401345-0.21%0.4162+3.48%0.0480✗1.32127k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015752-0.21%0.015595-1.20%0.0021✓0.892.1M2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248974-0.21%0.2522+1.08%0.0232✗1.17768k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2413-0.21%2.252+0.27%0.0170✗1.38177k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.7813-0.21%159.25+1.36%0.0254✗1.101.2M2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008662-0.20%0.009+3.69%0.0496✗1.28375k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.117763-0.20%0.1202+1.86%0.0326✗1.372.9M2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110678-0.20%0.1096-1.17%0.0013✓1.25505k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6667-0.20%2.596-2.84%0.0114✓1.75109k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.841.8365-0.19%2.6+41.30%0.3590✗1.28430k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6858-0.19%1.755+3.91%0.0529✗1.43341k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006197-0.19%0.006146-1.00%0.0008✓0.848,9962022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.7938-0.19%96.34+1.44%0.0308✗1.6610.2M2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260722-0.18%0.2611-0.04%0.0016✓0.0129k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4563-0.18%1.502+2.95%0.0433✗1.40675k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4184-0.18%6.43+0.00%0.0141✗1.391.2M2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.335289-0.18%0.340211+1.29%0.0258✗1.271.1M2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045719-0.18%0.0482+5.24%0.0644✗1.309,0132022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5014-0.18%4.55+0.90%0.0173✗0.75920k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.473567-0.18%0.5677+19.67%0.1912✗1.1246k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.01765-0.17%0.01758-0.57%0.0033✗0.82207k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058202-0.17%0.0593+1.72%0.0310✗1.39167k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0423.0014-0.17%23.37+1.43%0.0299✗1.5827.5M2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9898-0.17%8.092+1.11%0.0235✗1.2211.0M2022-08-04
DASHDashDash48.7748.6895-0.17%49.4+1.29%0.0242✗1.10574k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8923-0.16%3.9592+1.55%0.0267✗1.0945k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.259385-0.16%0.2606+0.31%0.0146✗1.1265k2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1367-0.16%1.1502+1.03%0.0211✗1.0547k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.78e-7-0.16%9.50e-7-3.06%0.0207✓1.0025k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.1237-0.15%17.32+0.99%0.0235✗1.37116k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154975-0.14%0.1561+0.58%0.0181✗1.23102k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.49e-7-0.14%3.56e-7+2.01%0.0301✗0.99170k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066107-0.14%0.067353+1.74%0.0290✗1.171.7M2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.602754-0.14%0.5965-1.18%0.0003✓1.14690k2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.958665-0.14%0.99245+3.38%0.0461✗1.30532k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067708-0.13%0.068981+1.74%0.0247✗0.69364k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.7671-0.13%64.38+4.09%0.0525✗1.251.5M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.308896-0.13%0.31338+1.32%0.0244✗1.13398k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.405379-0.13%0.41954+3.36%0.0466✗1.38583k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245776-0.13%0.2485+0.98%0.0218✗1.22110k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.1519-0.13%10.359+1.91%0.0322✗1.3514.4M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3573-0.13%1.399+2.94%0.0416✗1.282.5M2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115855-0.12%0.1168+0.69%0.0176✗1.07370k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.023-0.12%1.0151-0.90%0.0006✓0.9460k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.7107-0.12%59.65+3.24%0.0433✗1.1513.7M2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003137-0.12%0.003069-2.29%0.0133✓0.991.0M2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087908-0.12%0.08541-2.95%0.0265✓0.261.1M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.319631-0.12%0.3306+3.31%0.0441✗1.173.5M2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.743148-0.11%0.738-0.81%0.0038✗1.22895k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0166-0.11%10.035+0.07%0.0116✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326348-0.11%0.3361+2.88%0.0394✗1.138.1M2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.0719-0.10%29.14+0.14%0.0107✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003730.003727-0.09%0.00377+1.07%0.0230✗1.29551k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration61.3161.2596-0.08%61.12-0.31%0.0081✗1.17379k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.279-0.08%7.364+1.08%0.0227✗1.2518.3M2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.719-0.08%1.8249+6.07%0.0710✗1.27530k2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.500516-0.08%0.4997-0.24%0.0090✗1.2041.9M2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2582-0.06%1.297+3.02%0.0413✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.06%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0080✗0.846.4M2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739595-0.05%0.74+0.00%0.0058✗0.5983k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,813.71-0.05%22,623.94-0.88%0.0005✓1.00427.9M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.5323-0.05%38.82+0.70%0.0195✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061974-0.04%0.0731+17.90%0.1716✗0.74159k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.545088-0.04%0.5454+0.02%0.0106✗1.14335k2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008187-0.04%0.00822+0.37%0.0120✗0.901.6M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.6644-0.03%134.34+0.48%0.0156✗1.204.5M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.68588-0.02%0.727+5.98%0.0713✗1.47106k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114183-0.00%0.113921-0.23%0.0065✗0.997.0M2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058721+0.04%0.0616+4.94%0.0605✓1.43350k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,619.43+0.04%1,608.16-0.66%0.0043✓1.28404.0M2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.