8=======>

2022-07-27 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0165
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 5.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.063271-0.05%0.0629-0.63%0.0600✓1.43337k2022-07-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.112606-0.05%0.116688+3.57%0.0025✓1.006.8M2022-07-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.515107-0.06%0.5466+6.05%0.0164✗1.13350k2022-07-28
XVGVergenative0.003560.003558-0.06%0.00369+3.65%0.0136✓1.32505k2022-07-28
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779545-0.06%0.8+2.56%0.0024✗0.6279k2022-07-28
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.6424-0.06%1.7166+4.45%0.0037✓1.26492k2022-07-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.08554-0.07%0.0836-2.34%0.0553✓0.85153k2022-07-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.080837-0.08%0.0849+4.94%0.0031✗1.215,6912022-07-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.8573-0.10%7.22+5.19%0.0033✗1.2716.2M2022-07-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.707293-0.10%0.723+2.12%0.0240✓1.21776k2022-07-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.96274-0.10%0.996543+3.40%0.0028✓0.9851k2022-07-28
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.11%9.50e-7+3.26%0.0013✗0.845.9M2022-07-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.711226-0.11%0.749+5.20%0.0059✓1.5280k2022-07-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.55e-7-0.11%3.64e-7+2.40%0.0111✓0.95212k2022-07-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.6485-0.12%5.93+4.86%0.0068✗1.101.9M2022-07-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.3036-0.12%5.6+5.46%0.0007✓1.41939k2022-07-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39127.2341-0.12%155.69+22.22%0.1582✗1.153.9M2022-07-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144317-0.13%0.1498+3.67%0.0102✓1.2587k2022-07-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.237199-0.13%0.2442+2.82%0.0182✓1.24117k2022-07-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.402577-0.13%0.42547+5.55%0.0013✓1.42592k2022-07-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003095-0.13%0.003107+0.26%0.0341✓1.001.0M2022-07-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008529-0.13%0.00895+4.80%0.0136✗0.911.6M2022-07-28
SOLSolanaSolana40.2440.1861-0.13%42.93+6.68%0.0141✗1.3781.8M2022-07-28
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.5209-0.14%1.756+15.30%0.0891✗1.44316k2022-07-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.018025-0.14%0.01883+4.32%0.0150✗0.76284k2022-07-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.307411-0.14%0.330968+7.51%0.0249✗1.291.0M2022-07-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.297671-0.14%0.3136+5.20%0.0067✗1.202.7M2022-07-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.328223-0.15%0.3363+2.31%0.0198✓1.167.7M2022-07-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.353-0.15%1.374+1.40%0.0340✓1.302.4M2022-07-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.043236-0.15%0.0443+2.31%0.0270✓1.357,1312022-07-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.7869-0.15%12.01+36.48%0.2690✗1.14241k2022-07-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.314-0.16%1.357+3.12%0.0152✓1.251.2M2022-07-28
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.510485-0.16%0.5129+0.31%0.0435✓1.2743.2M2022-07-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.051317-0.16%0.0532+3.50%0.0197✓1.47109k2022-07-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5922,925.40-0.16%23,851.70+3.87%0.0016✗1.00414.2M2022-07-28
GTGateEthereum4.19394.187-0.16%4.2964+2.44%0.0014✓0.72930k2022-07-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001484-0.17%0.001524+2.56%0.0125✓1.0420k2022-07-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.114005-0.17%0.1207+5.69%0.0148✗1.11617k2022-07-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.05201-0.17%0.0547+4.99%0.0001✓1.33765k2022-07-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.469777-0.17%0.4994+6.12%0.0188✗1.1142k2022-07-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.206-0.18%10.343+1.16%0.0285✓1.102.1M2022-07-28
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0514-0.18%18.46+14.80%0.0880✗1.3697k2022-07-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.261126-0.18%0.262+0.15%0.0030✗0.0131k2022-07-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.18e-7-0.18%9.60e-7+4.35%0.0064✗1.0025k2022-07-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.1054-0.19%1.1356+2.54%0.0141✓1.0843k2022-07-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.119473-0.19%0.1216+1.59%0.0205✓1.015,4502022-07-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,633.29-0.19%1,725.19+5.43%0.0069✗1.26371.8M2022-07-28
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.152307-0.19%0.1638+7.34%0.0242✗1.282.8M2022-07-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.717616-0.19%0.753+4.73%0.0007✓1.25149k2022-07-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.028614-0.19%0.02993+4.39%0.0028✓1.2614k2022-07-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035631-0.19%0.0387+8.40%0.0360✗1.2368k2022-07-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.102698-0.20%0.106+3.01%0.0188✓1.33491k2022-07-28
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.1891-0.20%14.2863+8.10%0.0347✗1.1970k2022-07-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.113567-0.20%0.117+2.81%0.0112✓1.08362k2022-07-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.901-0.21%3.991+2.10%0.0002✓0.611.1M2022-07-28
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.068605-0.21%0.069762+1.47%0.0133✓0.79376k2022-07-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.833233-0.21%0.884+5.87%0.0321✗0.711.2M2022-07-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014566-0.21%0.015429+5.70%0.0238✗0.891.2M2022-07-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.29337-0.21%0.304+3.40%0.0042✓1.05620k2022-07-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.095303-0.22%0.09434-1.23%0.0481✓1.00785k2022-07-28
KSMKusamaHydration62.362.1633-0.22%65.44+5.04%0.0059✗1.20244k2022-07-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.574336-0.22%0.5764+0.14%0.0415✓1.19624k2022-07-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.066988-0.22%0.069104+2.93%0.0127✓1.151.7M2022-07-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.050088-0.22%0.0524+4.38%0.0010✓1.21256k2022-07-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.336895-0.22%0.32569-3.54%0.0795✓1.20407k2022-07-28
STXStacksnative0.41350.412571-0.22%0.4344+5.05%0.0038✗1.26606k2022-07-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.147,153.98-0.23%9,140.60+27.48%0.1945✗1.334.0M2022-07-28
ZECZcashZcash61.7561.6098-0.23%63.64+3.06%0.0167✓1.291.4M2022-07-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.052898-0.23%0.07211+36.01%0.2546✗1.45766k2022-07-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4966-0.23%1.59+6.00%0.0076✗1.39114k2022-07-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001064-0.23%0.001098+2.94%0.0184✓1.311.6M2022-07-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0458.9038-0.23%63.43+7.44%0.0303✗1.1513.5M2022-07-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.887846-0.23%0.9528+7.07%0.0162✗1.431.4M2022-07-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4392-0.23%1.5+3.98%0.0130✓1.43561k2022-07-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.244321-0.24%0.2505+2.29%0.0193✓1.17701k2022-07-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.00425-0.24%0.00442+3.76%0.0113✓1.33106k2022-07-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.953674-0.24%0.98039+2.55%0.0238✓1.35392k2022-07-28
FTTFTXEthereum29.4329.3583-0.24%30.24+2.75%0.0068✓0.9610.5M2022-07-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.006747-0.25%0.006901+2.03%0.0021✓0.5442k2022-07-28
DASHDashDash48.0647.941-0.25%52.48+9.20%0.0483✗1.11570k2022-07-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.157308-0.25%0.1645+4.31%0.0034✓1.27395k2022-07-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.24788-0.25%0.2547+2.49%0.0144✓1.0962k2022-07-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.693266-0.25%0.773+11.22%0.0716✗0.98360k2022-07-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.589-0.25%1.709+7.28%0.0499✗0.60229k2022-07-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.185-0.25%5.3229+2.40%0.0186✗0.20214k2022-07-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.7486-0.25%1.828+4.28%0.0047✓1.29626k2022-07-28
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000041793-0.25%0.00004428+5.68%0.0131✗1.181.7M2022-07-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.225121-0.26%0.2406+6.60%0.0100✗1.4999k2022-07-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.092-0.26%3.27+5.48%0.0377✗0.4877k2022-07-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009076-0.26%0.00923+1.43%0.0206✓0.984.4M2022-07-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97357.8216-0.26%63.13+8.90%0.0560✗0.84369k2022-07-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.128959-0.26%0.1359+5.10%0.0140✗1.013.1M2022-07-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.5432-0.27%2.87+12.55%0.0630✗1.52192k2022-07-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.31610.2883-0.27%10.858+5.25%0.0016✓1.3813.7M2022-07-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.394737-0.27%0.431+8.89%0.0367✗1.3586k2022-07-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.082078-0.27%0.0846+2.79%0.0159✓1.22157k2022-07-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.020235-0.27%0.02099+3.45%0.0025✓1.03136k2022-07-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.6661-0.27%7.856+2.20%0.0236✓1.279.0M2022-07-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.423.3363-0.27%24.23+3.55%0.0236✓1.6127.5M2022-07-28
FLOWFlownative1.7761.7711-0.28%1.876+5.63%0.0093✗1.27413k2022-07-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.593351-0.28%0.612+2.86%0.0231✓1.4283k2022-07-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.184185-0.28%0.1986+7.53%0.0230✗1.381,5612022-07-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125643-0.28%0.1306+3.65%0.0109✓1.3054k2022-07-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7332-0.29%2.864+4.49%0.0047✗1.11597k2022-07-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.3005-0.29%3.357+1.42%0.0062✓0.611.5M2022-07-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1517.1304-0.29%7.265+1.59%0.0298✓1.285.5M2022-07-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.054001-0.29%0.055041+1.63%0.0044✓0.6220k2022-07-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011507-0.29%0.00001185+2.69%0.0181✓1.25986k2022-07-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00571.9999-0.29%2.3099+15.17%0.0977✗1.2222k2022-07-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.376-0.29%1.57+13.77%0.0771✗1.44966k2022-07-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.206389-0.30%0.216+4.35%0.0123✓1.52803k2022-07-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.4233-0.30%2.5021+2.94%0.0055✓0.99806k2022-07-28
QNTQuantEthereum97.196.8078-0.30%103.78+6.88%0.0310✗1.014.0M2022-07-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.04608-0.30%0.04744+2.64%0.0056✓0.9115k2022-07-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.040884-0.31%0.04319+5.32%0.0182✗0.971,9372022-07-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.72575-0.31%0.845+16.07%0.0866✗1.735.2M2022-07-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.110856-0.31%0.1148+3.24%0.0177✓1.392.5M2022-07-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.886038-0.31%0.9416+5.94%0.0158✗1.191.2M2022-07-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.073088-0.32%0.07534+2.76%0.0024✓0.741,4882022-07-28
XMRMoneroMonero161.72161.2043-0.32%162.51+0.49%0.0340✓1.111.3M2022-07-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.3366-0.32%2.4295+3.64%0.0093✗0.78884k2022-07-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.055.0337-0.32%5.36+6.14%0.0382✗0.65514k2022-07-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.454506-0.33%0.4829+5.90%0.0226✗1.00222k2022-07-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.5849-0.33%4.77+3.70%0.0161✗0.62579k2022-07-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.026811-0.33%0.0273+1.49%0.0414✓1.5611.5M2022-07-28
AAVEAaveEthereum94.794.3839-0.33%100.41+6.03%0.0017✓1.678.3M2022-07-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.4104-0.34%3.498+2.22%0.0012✓0.70488k2022-07-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.7327-0.34%17.18+2.32%0.0263✓1.391.3M2022-07-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4326-0.34%2.634+7.91%0.0444✗0.9293k2022-07-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4151-0.34%1.58+11.27%0.1009✗0.24283k2022-07-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.6333-0.35%1.853+13.06%0.0721✗1.42212k2022-07-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.152849-0.35%0.16001+4.32%0.0134✓1.56191k2022-07-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.247-0.37%8.22+31.10%0.2251✗1.30248k2022-07-28
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.394334-0.37%0.4352+9.95%0.0660✗0.863902022-07-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.963369-0.38%1.012+4.65%0.0174✓1.75551k2022-07-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.8982-0.38%4.116+5.19%0.0336✗0.552.0M2022-07-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.00591-0.38%0.006179+4.15%0.0109✗0.883,8542022-07-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019919-0.39%0.020938+4.71%0.0307✗0.51163k2022-07-28
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.431133-0.39%0.44641+3.14%0.0055✗0.7752k2022-07-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5391-0.39%2.783+9.18%0.0372✗1.4343k2022-07-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.184.1638-0.39%4.3+2.87%0.0048✗0.72612k2022-07-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.7164-0.39%2.858+4.80%0.0161✓1.7692k2022-07-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.188862-0.39%0.2192+15.61%0.0976✗1.351,0652022-07-28
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9254.7041-0.39%57.97+5.55%0.0048✗1.4032k2022-07-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.447331-0.39%0.4654+3.63%0.0168✓1.48220k2022-07-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.392019-0.39%0.40886+3.88%0.0045✓1.23118k2022-07-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.7146-0.41%3.724-0.16%0.0312✓0.89711k2022-07-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.306925-0.41%0.31751+3.02%0.0164✓1.3210k2022-07-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.312097-0.42%0.3014-3.83%0.0795✓1.1773k2022-07-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.021185-0.42%0.021876+2.83%0.0055✓0.997,5982022-07-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.2359-0.42%2.3202+3.34%0.0032✓0.89971k2022-07-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.485958-0.42%0.5+2.46%0.0154✓1.1612k2022-07-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.5308-0.42%2.8436+11.89%0.0568✗1.579,9702022-07-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5022,794.50-0.42%23,875.30+4.30%0.0092✗0.9819k2022-07-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.0191.0146-0.42%1.044+2.46%0.0139✓1.129,1202022-07-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.3194-0.43%1.5448+16.58%0.1011✗1.495.2M2022-07-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.647388-0.45%0.67138+3.24%0.0221✓1.5479k2022-07-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.174706-0.45%0.18356+4.59%0.0396✓2.341,1272022-07-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.2755-0.46%2.407+5.29%0.0015✓1.44144k2022-07-28
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.047965-0.48%0.049289+2.27%0.0181✓1.1926k2022-07-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8516.7683-0.48%17.43+3.44%0.0053✗0.882.4M2022-07-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.029835-0.52%0.03057+1.93%0.0259✓1.321,3002022-07-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.970024-0.52%0.978+0.30%0.0269✓0.923.6M2022-07-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.7899-0.53%6.924+1.44%0.0456✓1.7111.5M2022-07-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.297801-0.53%0.2951-1.44%0.0531✓1.16331k2022-07-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.065049-0.54%0.0655+0.15%0.0304✓0.98183k2022-07-28
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.99-0.56%9.275+15.43%0.0962✗1.396.2M2022-07-28
HIVEHivenative0.53420.531119-0.58%0.5527+3.46%0.0048✓1.171.5M2022-07-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2621.1368-0.58%18.56-12.70%0.1853✓1.46482k2022-07-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.076039-0.59%0.08406+9.90%0.0501✗1.3227k2022-07-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000098287-0.64%0.00010026+1.35%0.0525✓1.90692k2022-07-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.068412-0.71%0.0701+1.74%0.0162✓1.07284k2022-07-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.12694.0975-0.71%4.4845+8.66%0.0487✗1.0926k2022-07-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.809128-0.72%0.846+3.80%0.0129✓1.513,1392022-07-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03091.0227-0.79%1.1173+8.39%0.0495✗1.0211k2022-07-28
METISMetisEthereum33.6433.3581-0.84%36.3+7.91%0.0465✗1.00172k2022-07-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.997.9215-0.86%9.02+12.89%0.1104✗0.51808k2022-07-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.3456-0.87%15.1-2.45%0.0714✓1.461.4M2022-07-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.7132-0.98%4.135+10.27%0.0411✗1.753.8M2022-07-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.135.0769-1.03%5.27+2.73%0.0135✗0.63713k2022-07-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.960425-1.48%0.9764+0.15%0.0461✓1.65209k2022-07-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0511.0353-1.49%1.448+37.77%0.2646✗1.871.1M2022-07-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9432.2017-2.24%40.83+23.95%0.1847✗1.391.3M2022-07-28
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.9709-2.27%2.79-8.22%0.1054✓1.12175k2022-07-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.010767-2.91%0.01146+3.34%0.0140✓1.27352k2022-07-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.