8=======>

2022-07-16 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0398
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 75.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.654411-3.48%0.511-24.63%0.2247✓1.2011k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.1276-1.55%3.268+2.86%0.0656✗1.15539k2022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.0845-1.32%2.043-3.29%0.0033✓0.89845k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.3631-1.26%3.223-5.37%0.0279✓0.77488k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum102.74101.6391-1.07%98.86-3.78%0.0084✓1.022.6M2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.74657-1.05%0.78631+4.22%0.0683✗0.873642022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.163129-1.01%0.1532-7.04%0.0378✓1.322.8M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.02092-0.96%0.021277+0.73%0.0360✗1.001,2172022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.826315-0.95%0.8755+4.95%0.0883✗1.61204k2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.3988-0.93%2.5474+5.21%0.0909✗1.625,4022022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.4886-0.89%3.47-1.42%0.0084✓0.72572k2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.02571.0168-0.88%0.9894-3.54%0.0056✓1.144,5462022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.8671-0.84%3.91+0.26%0.0230✗0.63672k2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7654-0.82%1.71-3.93%0.0107✓1.12125k2022-07-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.182348-0.82%0.18476+0.49%0.0651✗2.748962022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.7552-0.80%6.82+0.15%0.0190✗0.50657k2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.2775-0.78%2.2375-2.53%0.0025✓0.80922k2022-07-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.279763-0.76%0.2865+1.63%0.0510✗1.43439k2022-07-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2456-0.75%3.54+8.26%0.0956✗0.4778k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.424507-0.73%0.43709+2.21%0.0437✗0.7654k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.63236-0.73%0.64+0.47%0.0403✗1.493,6872022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.045937-0.72%0.04502-2.70%0.0027✓0.925,7282022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.132.115-0.71%2.018-5.26%0.0186✓1.49112k2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7814.6764-0.70%14.48-2.03%0.0051✓0.981.7M2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000104957-0.69%0.0001015-3.96%0.0039✓1.97682k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1123.091-0.68%3.087-0.80%0.0107✗0.632.1M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.226376-0.67%0.2071-9.13%0.0608✓1.49117k2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.5373-0.65%2.355-7.79%0.0570✓0.9288k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.3628-0.62%4.32-1.59%0.0022✓0.64555k2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5702-0.62%1.64+3.80%0.0485✗0.26447k2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3757.3302-0.61%6.943-5.86%0.0279✓1.395.6M2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.5386-0.60%2.5042-1.94%0.0054✓1.001.1M2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.292446-0.59%0.28874-1.85%0.0129✗1.353,2792022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.784483-0.57%0.776-1.65%0.0241✗1.847.4M2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.130268-0.56%0.126-3.82%0.0080✓1.3434k2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.442-0.55%1.4-3.45%0.0005✓1.53843k2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.9354-0.55%3.872-2.15%0.0043✓0.631.6M2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.4367-0.54%2.52+2.86%0.0632✗1.56205k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071717-0.53%0.0706-2.08%0.0033✓1.00224k2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7516.662-0.53%17.39+3.82%0.0741✗1.65421k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.52-0.52%1.537+0.59%0.0393✗1.49182k2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.938652-0.51%0.9377-0.61%0.0225✗1.24933k2022-07-17
METISMetisEthereum24.5924.4645-0.51%23.77-3.33%0.0098✓1.00128k2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.7191-0.50%3.597-3.77%0.0231✓0.542.2M2022-07-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.399776-0.50%0.3873-3.61%0.0127✓1.00224k2022-07-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.09351-0.49%0.09082-3.35%0.0102✓1.00408k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.218347-0.48%0.2123-3.24%0.0051✓1.21705k2022-07-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5486-0.48%1.529-1.74%0.0062✗1.00183k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum55.154.8454-0.46%54.86-0.44%0.0264✗1.3831k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.1683-0.46%1.0786-8.09%0.0526✓1.444.2M2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.687991-0.44%0.66332-4.01%0.0056✓1.63117k2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.339518-0.43%0.32185-5.61%0.0293✓1.27411k2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.158118-0.43%0.1663+4.72%0.0758✗1.34349k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.072985-0.43%0.071-3.14%0.0004✓1.43299k2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.7924-0.41%2.653-5.39%0.0181✓1.753.7M2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.18628-0.38%0.1784-4.60%0.0169✓1.392,2022022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8392.4789-0.38%88.27-4.91%0.0147✓1.6810.8M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.928499-0.38%0.896-3.86%0.0016✓1.79528k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.1954-0.37%19.22+11.36%0.1340✗1.201.2M2022-07-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.37%9.00e-7-1.10%0.0116✗1.0025k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration56.3956.1804-0.37%54.43-3.48%0.0092✓1.18235k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.074115-0.36%0.0772+3.79%0.0563✗0.821,9712022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1167.091-0.35%7.225+1.53%0.0439✗1.335.2M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.478062-0.34%0.4817+0.42%0.0285✗1.1052k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.060224-0.34%0.06269+3.74%0.0663✗1.3824k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.110224-0.34%0.1055-4.61%0.0228✓1.11558k2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.017313-0.34%0.017915+3.13%0.0440✗0.52177k2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.4016-0.34%1.3548-3.66%0.0070✓1.42684k2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.3016-0.33%1.244-4.75%0.0199✓1.342.5M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.258853-0.33%0.2537-2.31%0.0017✓1.1536k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2489-0.32%1.182-5.67%0.0328✓1.171.4M2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.048743-0.32%0.0496+1.43%0.0411✗1.25264k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.5956-0.32%1.5731-1.72%0.0100✗1.27535k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.45430.452862-0.32%0.4404-3.06%0.0039✓1.261.2M2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.7542-0.31%4.969+4.19%0.0774✗1.7511.7M2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.052163-0.31%0.051428-1.71%0.0024✓0.6214k2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.463943-0.30%0.44441-4.50%0.0144✓1.51862k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.7435-0.30%9.05+3.19%0.0570✗1.19272k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.290126-0.30%0.282-3.09%0.0088✓1.03599k2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.051447-0.30%0.0505-2.13%0.0073✗1.36837k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.8316-0.29%1.778-3.21%0.0051✓1.30729k2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.520.518513-0.29%0.582+11.92%0.1480✗1.711.1M2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000011009-0.28%0.0000107-3.08%0.0049✓1.241.1M2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.8626-0.28%16.55-2.13%0.0082✗1.4281k2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.811106-0.27%0.8024-1.34%0.0087✗1.034.1M2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.8175-0.26%4.78-1.04%0.0049✗0.67609k2022-07-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.026691-0.26%0.0273+2.02%0.0502✗1.461,5542022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2379.2133-0.26%8.915-3.49%0.0073✓1.3512.5M2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2421.1857-0.26%20.62-2.92%0.0024✓1.5525.2M2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002852-0.25%0.002791-2.38%0.0017✓1.041.2M2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.036707-0.25%0.0363-1.36%0.0126✗1.2595k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.018245-0.25%0.01857+1.53%0.0323✗0.77381k2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.100854-0.24%0.1027+1.58%0.0440✗1.36526k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009218-0.24%0.0091-1.52%0.0066✗1.024.9M2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.213507-0.23%0.203-5.14%0.0205✓1.58964k2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.023787-0.22%0.02299-3.57%0.0030✓1.6415.8M2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.003720.003712-0.22%0.00353-5.11%0.0244✓1.36650k2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.785245-0.22%0.777-1.27%0.0042✗0.781.2M2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.408815-0.22%0.3946-3.69%0.0056✓1.57191k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.6584-0.21%2.624-1.50%0.0083✗1.13772k2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.111169-0.21%0.1096-1.62%0.0044✗0.986,1432022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.467-0.20%1.46-0.68%0.0230✗1.47150k2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.56e-7-0.20%3.57e-7+0.30%0.0255✗1.08350k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.810.808349-0.20%0.81+0.00%0.0160✗0.74111k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.238015-0.20%0.2316-2.89%0.0034✓1.26166k2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.278244-0.20%0.273-2.08%0.0036✗1.192.9M2022-07-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.261185-0.20%0.2616-0.04%0.0205✗1.0045k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.041711-0.20%0.040555-2.96%0.0063✓1.1516k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.241126-0.20%0.2371-1.86%0.0040✗1.1060k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29954.1937-0.19%53.662-1.17%0.0061✗0.84398k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.108591-0.19%0.1105+1.56%0.0383✗1.10362k2022-07-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.178658-0.19%0.187+4.47%0.0734✗1.462,5392022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.339749-0.19%0.3365-1.15%0.0128✗1.188.2M2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.020541-0.19%0.02009-2.38%0.0020✓1.06112k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.518428-0.19%0.5072-2.35%0.0011✓1.21491k2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.682-0.19%9.37-3.40%0.0051✓1.461.1M2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.7993-0.18%5.95+2.41%0.0516✗1.37263k2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.457065-0.18%0.4477-2.23%0.0034✗1.2745.0M2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.865411-0.18%0.83755-3.39%0.0074✓1.34399k2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,250.81-0.18%6,069.87-3.07%0.0040✓1.344.2M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.068792-0.17%0.067437-2.14%0.0044✓0.82433k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.685833-0.17%0.667-2.91%0.0039✓1.27120k2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.512129-0.17%0.497-3.12%0.0036✓1.3984k2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,353.40-0.17%1,338.20-1.29%0.0116✗1.21326.5M2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.4186-0.17%1.382-2.74%0.0015✓1.46383k2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.090853-0.16%0.0857-5.82%0.0344✓1.27167k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.027676-0.16%0.02736-1.30%0.0127✗1.2820k2022-07-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026358-0.16%0.0255-3.41%0.0239✓0.4859k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum28.0127.9659-0.16%27.61-1.43%0.0052✗0.9510.6M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.39714-0.15%0.38262-3.80%0.0137✓1.24128k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.00668-0.15%0.00645-3.59%0.0162✓1.00387k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero139.03138.8264-0.15%135.99-2.19%0.0009✓1.131.3M2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056714.0361-0.15%13.2428-5.79%0.0353✓1.21242k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.926485-0.14%0.9124-1.66%0.0122✗1.451.4M2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081989-0.14%0.0796-3.05%0.0060✓1.246,9262022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.6011.5989-0.13%1.564-2.31%0.0010✓1.22287k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.1827-0.13%6.919-3.80%0.0140✓1.249.6M2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000040239-0.13%0.00004004-0.62%0.0180✗1.211.9M2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.1735-0.13%5.15-0.58%0.0231✗1.461.2M2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.101174-0.12%0.0979-3.36%0.0073✓1.352.5M2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.99e-7-0.12%9.00e-7+0.00%0.0173✗0.855.7M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005793-0.12%0.005648-2.62%0.0080✓0.923,0112022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2645-0.11%2.164-4.54%0.0133✓1.6984k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.141942-0.11%0.1386-2.46%0.0001✓1.2588k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003996-0.11%0.00394-1.50%0.0116✗1.35131k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006923-0.11%0.006838-1.33%0.0013✓0.5870k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash63.2463.1724-0.11%59.43-6.02%0.0358✓1.331.6M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.589-0.11%6.345-3.81%0.0139✓1.2618.8M2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0955.0336-0.10%55.74+1.18%0.0351✗1.1815.0M2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009041-0.10%0.00892-1.44%0.0039✗0.921.2M2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.052-0.10%0.05194-0.21%0.0268✗1.47773k2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.096012-0.09%0.0943-1.87%0.0024✓0.82144k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum4.12774.1239-0.09%4.0915-0.88%0.0057✗0.72954k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.639.5639-0.09%38.63-2.45%0.0014✗1.3381.1M2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.3472-0.09%14.51+1.04%0.0371✗1.361.3M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.0127-0.09%0.012404-2.42%0.0080✓0.821.2M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.8302-0.08%1.8014-1.65%0.0077✗1.2431k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3933-0.07%5.689+5.41%0.0748✗1.131.8M2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.0754-0.06%1.0511-2.32%0.0021✓1.0948k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.3969-0.06%5.2307-3.14%0.0277✓0.19335k2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8021,062.85-0.05%21,043.20-0.14%0.0178✗0.9941k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.053675-0.05%0.054+0.56%0.0209✗0.78204k2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.494186-0.04%0.4787-3.18%0.0104✓1.13311k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.387054-0.04%0.3774-2.53%0.0000✓1.3382k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.109523-0.03%0.106625-2.68%0.0078✓1.017.3M2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.119764-0.03%0.1168-2.50%0.0059✓1.013.8M2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.2294-0.03%2.171-2.65%0.0004✗1.4244k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.3950.394902-0.02%0.3859-2.30%0.0010✗1.27405k2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.307818-0.01%0.294596-4.31%0.0199✓1.271.5M2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.666936-0.01%0.644-3.45%0.0170✓0.95405k2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.042898-0.00%0.0416-3.03%0.0051✓1.357,6872022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.137864+0.01%0.13279-3.67%0.0068✗1.62168k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash44.8344.8372+0.02%45.92+2.43%0.0449✓1.11619k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,194.01+0.02%20,791.74-1.88%0.0002✗1.00429.5M2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050914+0.03%0.0507-0.39%0.0238✓1.48102k2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.922704+0.03%0.90356-2.04%0.0016✗1.0264k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001022+0.07%0.0009901-3.07%0.0074✗1.291.8M2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.064365+0.09%0.062984-2.06%0.0013✓1.222.0M2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.3015+0.12%9.07-2.37%0.0041✗1.112.2M2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.8903+0.12%2.9505+2.21%0.0414✓1.1025k2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45109.5942+0.13%109.99+0.49%0.0249✓1.124.0M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.616999+0.16%0.621+0.81%0.0353✓1.52112k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.593047+0.18%0.602+1.69%0.0379✓1.21858k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.