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2022-06-30 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1926
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.7%
in alpha space · 63.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.001979+0.37%0.001956-0.81%0.0290✓1.097,2732022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.583481+0.25%0.562-3.44%0.0076✓1.211.0M2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.123443+0.22%0.12129-1.53%0.0448✓1.67203k2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.620253+0.20%0.644+4.04%0.1009✓1.70274k2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.9262+0.18%8.797-11.21%0.0787✗1.133.0M2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29103.4703+0.17%101.28-1.95%0.0222✓1.176.1M2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,071.81+0.16%1,057.57-1.17%0.0305✓1.17342.4M2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.8183+0.14%2.7326-2.91%0.0127✓1.1733k2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.5218+0.13%53.47-1.80%0.0311✓1.352.1M2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.038163+0.13%0.038066-0.12%0.0441✓1.2520k2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8634+0.13%1.802-3.17%0.0290✓1.67101k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.050465+0.13%0.0494-1.98%0.0081✓0.79233k2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.185021+0.12%0.1856+0.43%0.0577✓1.46167k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04765+0.10%0.0457-3.99%0.0108✓1.411.1M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074165+0.09%0.0761+2.70%0.0741✓1.297,0142022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044538+0.09%0.0421-5.39%0.0039✗1.4012k2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.1182+0.08%56.18-1.56%0.0454✓1.667.8M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.718983+0.08%0.76202+6.07%0.0905✓0.875002022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6219,999.34+0.07%19,252.76-3.67%0.0007✗1.00508.7M2022-07-01
DASHDashDash42.2342.2562+0.06%41.74-1.16%0.0305✓1.14766k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051525+0.05%0.0491-4.66%0.0036✗1.20100k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9716.9781+0.05%16.09-5.19%0.0032✓1.5232.6M2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.064740.06477+0.05%0.064879+0.21%0.0351✓0.89736k2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.7547+0.04%32.82-2.73%0.0221✓1.34101.1M2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095541+0.04%0.0921-3.56%0.0151✓1.383.7M2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.112348+0.04%0.1095-2.49%0.0124✓1.024.0M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3519+0.04%5.224-2.36%0.0264✓1.359.0M2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.238384+0.04%0.2384+0.04%0.0460✓1.2327k2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.614212+0.03%0.607-1.14%0.0387✓1.35207k2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero113113.0372+0.03%115.07+1.83%0.0620✓1.181.4M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.820456+0.03%0.812926-0.89%0.0317✓1.09100k2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.0036+0.02%14.61-2.60%0.0200✓1.252.0M2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054313+0.02%0.0516-4.97%0.0064✓1.54138k2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.8147+0.02%2.806-0.28%0.0270✓0.801.1M2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005635+0.02%0.00559-0.79%0.0307✓1.043,8152022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.00280.0028+0.01%0.00278-0.71%0.0449✓1.40650k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2629+0.01%1.2358-2.14%0.0266✓1.29849k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5081+0.01%1.453-3.65%0.0085✓1.22319k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.115209+0.01%0.105-8.85%0.0606✗0.86209k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.071+0.01%13.27+1.53%0.0686✓1.4359k2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.385814+0.00%0.3786-1.87%0.0350✓1.44115k2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.2771+0.00%6.069-3.31%0.0156✓1.3239.1M2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048746-0.01%0.04899+0.49%0.0619✗1.521.1M2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000952806-0.01%0.000932-2.19%0.0293✗1.372.9M2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.10e-7-0.01%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0317✗0.855.3M2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.116688-0.01%0.1191+2.06%0.0708✗1.353.6M2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.428-0.01%2.3996-1.18%0.0294✗1.101.7M2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.380597-0.01%0.36885-3.10%0.0046✓0.71113k2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133575-0.02%0.1357+1.57%0.0663✗1.35149k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5882-0.02%8.4-2.21%0.0343✗1.511.2M2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.693851-0.02%0.649-6.48%0.0304✓0.97520k2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3019,837.69-0.02%19,383.00-2.31%0.0136✗0.9843k2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019365-0.03%0.01951+0.72%0.0457✗1.02104k2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.113766-0.03%0.1119-1.67%0.0353✗1.3934k2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.357888-0.03%0.389+8.66%0.1274✗1.1811k2022-07-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.02880.028791-0.03%0.029+0.69%0.0248✗0.47130k2022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038276-0.04%0.0000375-2.06%0.0269✗1.272.6M2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006588-0.04%0.00657-0.30%0.0357✗1.03421k2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.112258-0.04%0.109884-2.16%0.0182✗1.0611.2M2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.686394-0.04%0.7454+8.55%0.1356✗1.423.7M2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.989554-0.05%0.97-2.02%0.0384✗1.56846k2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7326-0.05%1.6935-2.30%0.0092✗0.861.4M2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066393-0.05%0.066339-0.13%0.0469✗1.282.0M2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.3169-0.05%2.222-4.14%0.0122✗1.4477k2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0604-0.05%6.743-4.54%0.0016✗1.2813.5M2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3063-0.05%1.272-2.68%0.0296✗1.50430k2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2084-0.05%3.35+4.36%0.0806✗1.00143k2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.003688-0.05%0.00367-0.54%0.0487✗1.43176k2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059367-0.06%0.0578-2.69%0.0292✗1.50403k2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3939-0.06%5.342-1.02%0.0358✗1.222.3M2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.094042-0.06%0.0926-1.59%0.0391✗1.46791k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.9563-0.06%5.97+0.17%0.0213✗0.511.1M2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.7724-0.07%51.13-4.98%0.0051✓1.2118.4M2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.5696-0.07%14.02-3.84%0.0142✗1.411.6M2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.124.1171-0.07%4.0293-2.20%0.0070✗0.761.2M2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8385-0.07%1.8073-1.77%0.0317✗1.3162k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160284-0.07%0.1616+0.75%0.0592✗1.374,0222022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.057618-0.07%0.05579-3.24%0.0200✗1.4047k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.837-0.08%3.79-1.30%0.0124✗0.661.2M2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.5697-0.08%24.59+0.00%0.0363✗0.9511.3M2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.40770.407362-0.08%0.3884-4.73%0.0016✗1.32318k2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.31432-0.09%0.3061-2.70%0.0195✗1.2311.8M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9975-0.09%4.855-2.94%0.0225✗1.385.5M2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012431-0.09%0.012076-2.94%0.0032✗0.861.6M2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006484-0.09%0.00653+0.62%0.0324✗0.68134k2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.8218-0.10%11.9157+10.00%0.1445✗1.29276k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.39e-7-0.10%3.27e-7-3.47%0.0029✗1.00647k2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3954-0.10%4.37-0.68%0.0195✗0.681.2M2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.328508-0.11%0.305237-7.18%0.0237✓1.332.6M2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5142-0.11%3.475-1.22%0.0141✗0.682.5M2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.2848.2272-0.11%48.36+0.17%0.0476✗1.20722k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0829-0.11%1.0163-6.25%0.0208✓1.1456k2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.459293-0.11%0.4479-2.59%0.0252✗1.3573.7M2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,406.22-0.11%5,458.52+0.85%0.0594✗1.334.1M2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.471126-0.12%0.45108-4.37%0.0174✗1.632.4M2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.097376-0.13%0.0949-2.67%0.0185✗1.18647k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.227398-0.13%0.2313+1.58%0.0617✗1.2087k2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.312653-0.14%0.30204-3.53%0.0195✗1.455,5012022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0567-0.14%2.0691+0.47%0.0380✗0.862.1M2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.362-0.15%1.344-1.47%0.0417✗1.4793k2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.275587-0.15%0.271-1.81%0.0224✗1.05746k2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019815-0.15%0.020523+3.42%0.0763✗1.101,8282022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002746-0.15%0.002578-6.25%0.0228✓1.081.6M2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0253-0.15%3.02-0.33%0.0254✗0.731.1M2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.8225-0.15%4.68-3.11%0.0270✗1.531.4M2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.6552-0.16%52.59-2.14%0.0162✗0.971.9M2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.257-0.16%1.232-2.14%0.0335✗1.444.3M2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.267981-0.16%0.25771-3.99%0.0092✗1.29480k2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.269064-0.16%0.2636-2.19%0.0260✗1.253.2M2022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.217343-0.16%0.2149-1.29%0.0343✗1.22731k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6855-0.17%2.54-5.58%0.0131✓1.14659k2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.104122-0.17%0.1011-3.07%0.0139✗1.16515k2022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.54407-0.17%0.529-2.94%0.0093✗1.003.2M2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.039142-0.17%0.0395+0.74%0.0487✗1.063,1732022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.15972-0.17%0.1481-7.44%0.0229✓1.41717k2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.182576-0.18%0.1806-1.26%0.0265✗1.004,1902022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1309-0.18%5.15+0.19%0.0537✗1.34386k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.5534-0.18%8.074+6.70%0.1181✗1.3815.0M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.6982-0.18%47.39+5.83%0.1148✗1.5128k2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.579-0.18%51.952-6.70%0.0358✓0.851.1M2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.5002-0.19%2.506+0.04%0.0493✗1.26873k2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.880541-0.19%0.83384-5.49%0.0030✓1.38655k2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6189-0.20%10-6.02%0.0001✓1.61427k2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.507992-0.20%0.478-6.09%0.0076✓1.42109k2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.502877-0.20%0.4913-2.50%0.0240✗1.27719k2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4183-0.21%1.3775-3.07%0.0198✗1.31654k2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2414-0.21%1.241-0.24%0.0569✗1.53169k2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2811-0.21%2.227-2.58%0.0446✗1.843.0M2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.0094-0.21%0.00916-2.76%0.0112✗0.996.4M2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.592-0.22%3.56-1.11%0.0152✗0.651.2M2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.490088-0.23%0.4743-3.44%0.0104✗1.15154k2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023346-0.23%0.0226-3.42%0.0334✗1.7628.8M2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.044028-0.23%0.04378-0.79%0.0315✗0.9911k2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4343-0.23%2.29-6.15%0.0252✓0.96157k2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014587-0.23%0.014373-1.70%0.0052✗0.53469k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.9071-0.23%0.90067-0.94%0.0376✗1.204,6812022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.666-0.24%1.61-3.59%0.0087✗1.15202k2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.103053-0.24%0.1051+1.74%0.0583✗1.037,0862022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.462745-0.25%0.4613-0.56%0.0342✗1.00100k2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.840897-0.25%0.827-1.90%0.0518✗1.83886k2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024379-0.25%0.02439-0.20%0.0378✗1.002,1812022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.39171-0.26%0.39987+1.82%0.0702✗1.33143k2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.02747-0.29%0.02703-1.89%0.0349✗1.3726k2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.051347-0.30%0.0515+0.00%0.0281✗0.6728k2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.799619-0.30%0.796-0.75%0.0287✗0.891.6M2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6351-0.30%1.68+2.44%0.0854✗1.56405k2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010279-0.30%0.00001-3.01%0.0203✗1.281.0M2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018361-0.32%0.01895+2.88%0.0617✗0.81369k2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.7847-0.33%5.7902-0.24%0.0090✗0.21255k2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045547-0.34%0.0454-0.66%0.0494✗1.41272k2022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.136619-0.34%0.13699-0.07%0.0401✗1.008412022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.6172-0.34%4.521-2.42%0.0468✗1.8216.0M2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.880.876989-0.34%0.83-5.68%0.0280✓0.73159k2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.257102-0.35%0.243-5.81%0.0061✗1.671.2M2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.998649-0.35%0.8969-10.51%0.0499✓1.542.8M2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.3068-0.36%8.39-10.17%0.0590✓1.20398k2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.7116-0.37%1.857+8.09%0.1329✗1.37953k2022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270464-0.38%0.2701-0.52%0.0360✗1.001.0M2022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1187-0.39%1.068-4.90%0.0040✓1.131.5M2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.095817-0.40%0.0887-7.80%0.0250✓1.40179k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.240695-0.42%0.2312-4.34%0.0097✗1.34392k2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.040513-0.46%0.0387-4.91%0.0037✓1.32192k2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.9956-0.48%2.958-1.73%0.0124✗0.675.2M2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.696228-0.50%0.65455-6.46%0.0006✓1.6799k2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4224-0.53%1.45+1.40%0.0337✗0.39637k2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.797024-0.53%0.7298-8.92%0.0482✓1.073.6M2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.434203-0.55%0.3997-8.45%0.0191✓1.70210k2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.84629-0.55%0.843-0.94%0.0724✗2.0423.8M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.791-0.58%2.6694-4.91%0.0207✗1.7512k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9417-0.62%2.61-11.82%0.0583✓1.64314k2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52290.51917-0.71%0.4754-9.08%0.0388✓1.321.2M2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.3649-0.77%3.173-6.43%0.0362✓0.603.2M2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.01018-0.78%0.00943-8.09%0.0397✓0.981.2M2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.729783-0.80%0.714-2.95%0.0175✗1.0573k2022-07-01
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.416757-0.89%0.2924-30.46%0.3170✓1.009832022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.066307-0.92%0.06323-5.51%0.0178✓0.801,8752022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.705256-1.22%0.744+4.20%0.1123✗1.572,9032022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03861.0165-2.13%1.327+27.77%0.3205✗1.44190k2022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000110617-2.17%0.00013124+16.07%0.2424✗1.91969k2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5823.328-5.09%20.56-16.35%0.0876✓1.04230k2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.