8=======>

2022-06-12 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2725
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.9%
in alpha space · 75.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6533-2.17%1.61-4.73%0.1030✗0.77153k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.1168-1.17%0.941-16.73%0.2087✗2.2710.6M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0381-1.13%0.9-14.29%0.0213✓0.73183k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2638-0.92%3.225-2.09%0.1414✗0.923.7M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.7108-0.71%1.458-15.38%0.1104✗1.615.1M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0263.008-0.60%3.286+8.59%0.2311✗0.854.3M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022958-0.53%0.01967-14.77%0.0512✓0.62637k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.4858-0.46%5.3088-3.68%0.0186✗0.31235k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.1443-0.46%11.71-4.02%0.3149✗2.10252k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.6585-0.45%3.335-9.25%0.0439✗0.826.4M2022-06-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.073362-0.44%0.0647-12.20%0.0418✗1.001,6002022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1964-0.44%1.0426-13.24%0.0061✓0.799702022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.5916-0.43%6.79+2.57%0.1441✗0.682.0M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.845465-0.42%0.776-8.60%0.1049✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.052293-0.39%0.0486-7.43%0.0631✗0.8157k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.7925-0.39%24.51-12.15%0.0338✗0.959.1M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.783-0.39%1.7211-3.84%0.1608✗1.173.4M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.075852-0.37%0.063701-16.33%0.0226✓0.91682k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,614.28-0.31%22,471.70-15.83%0.0060✓0.9729k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.149935-0.31%0.136-9.57%0.1861✗1.693.4M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0767-0.30%2.0689-0.68%0.2028✗1.233.3M2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.8189-0.29%4.17+8.88%0.2259✗0.821.9M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.5398-0.29%3.52-0.85%0.1582✗0.981.7M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065513-0.28%0.0561-14.61%0.0738✗1.37153k2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.6268-0.28%4.54-2.16%0.1325✗0.901.6M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050527-0.28%0.04329-14.56%0.0425✗1.1815k2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202435-0.28%0.189-6.90%0.2737✗2.041.1M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.31358-0.28%0.25719-18.21%0.0656✗1.5814k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043581-0.27%0.03724-14.78%0.0326✗1.133,6542022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.082777-0.27%0.0833+0.36%0.3230✗1.89409k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008648-0.26%0.00763-12.00%0.0629✗1.122,4432022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.102-0.26%3.092-0.58%0.1825✗1.111.8M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6932-0.25%2.414-10.59%0.0733✗1.0963k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.202-0.25%2.75-14.33%0.0432✗1.17722k2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.05302-0.25%0.04897-7.86%0.2694✗2.081.8M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8475-0.24%4.2445-12.65%0.0278✓0.632.1M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.207492-0.24%0.1835-11.78%0.1324✗1.52585k2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.995589-0.24%0.80971-18.87%0.0090✗1.296,0082022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.585562-0.23%0.5649-3.75%0.2067✗1.452.8M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078621-0.23%0.0654-17.01%0.0664✓0.70274k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.73136-0.22%0.7-4.50%0.2909✗2.002.7M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1906-0.22%4.2+0.00%0.1581✗0.931.5M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050091-0.22%0.048-4.38%0.2736✗1.8923k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.00944-0.21%0.00971+2.64%0.2769✗1.4813.3M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018112-0.21%0.01829+0.77%0.4211✗2.4632.1M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.1719-0.21%46.677-3.31%0.1502✗1.091.1M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero159.28158.9581-0.20%132.56-16.78%0.0086✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2115-0.20%1.912-13.72%0.1972✗2.052.9M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.1603-0.20%65.48-17.45%0.0528✗1.453.6M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.0938-0.20%11.706-17.11%0.0021✓1.105.3M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.296982-0.20%0.252041-15.30%0.1022✗1.592.3M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.09-0.20%4.53-11.18%0.1596✗1.65405k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.155998-0.19%0.1335-14.59%0.0121✗1.00268k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.422459-0.19%0.38009-10.20%0.0087✗0.68249k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.424-0.19%2.0821-14.26%0.2046✗2.1313k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022359-0.18%0.018258-18.49%0.0038✗1.2310k2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4814-0.18%1.255-15.43%0.1550✗1.92236k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3554-0.18%2.313-1.97%0.2231✗1.443.0M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000040978-0.18%0.00003827-6.77%0.1995✗1.603.0M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008166-0.17%0.00733-10.39%0.0346✗0.85153k2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2252-0.17%1.808-18.89%0.0863✗1.7697k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.119704-0.16%0.1013-15.51%0.0965✗1.5749k2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041651-0.16%0.039006-6.50%0.2036✗1.6131k2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,512.47-0.16%22,460.97-15.42%0.0016✓1.00538.8M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023043-0.16%0.01883-18.41%0.0185✓1.10151k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.144-0.16%1.8846-12.24%0.1244✗1.5155k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0904-0.16%0.939069-14.01%0.0734✗1.3348k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.513592-0.16%0.45073-12.38%0.2567✗2.313.1M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012705-0.15%0.012961+1.86%0.1368✗0.70324k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.188416-0.15%0.1611-14.63%0.1087✗1.58751k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.372459-0.15%0.332-10.99%0.1093✗1.3415k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.449364-0.14%0.392-12.89%0.1732✗1.854,3562022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.042241-0.14%0.0358-15.37%0.0936✗1.55383k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.306712-0.13%0.28493-7.23%0.1751✗1.49105k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.709078-0.13%0.68-4.23%0.2573✗1.79198k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.249677-0.13%0.2205-11.80%0.1258✗1.4931k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.43250.431946-0.13%0.3584-17.13%0.0705✗1.541.1M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003675-0.13%0.00331-10.05%0.1231✗1.364,6932022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.4393-0.13%8.03-4.97%0.2939✗2.052.7M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.15024-0.13%0.13259-11.86%0.1941✗1.91260k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.57-0.12%14.4-13.20%0.0968✗1.422.3M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063411-0.11%0.054172-14.67%0.0644✗1.331.3M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.231341-0.11%0.1992-13.99%0.0654✗1.28100k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash46.0545.9998-0.11%42.59-7.51%0.1458✗1.33837k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109381-0.11%0.149+36.07%0.6029✗1.753.2M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010059-0.11%0.00905-10.13%0.0922✗1.181.5M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7184-0.10%1.52-11.63%0.1088✗1.38270k2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113392-0.10%0.107-5.73%0.2447✗1.814,0262022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107108-0.09%0.0991-7.56%0.1390✗1.296,7702022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.952215-0.08%0.778-18.36%0.0129✓1.131.0M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4378-0.08%1.2396-13.86%0.0789✗1.361.7M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.324342-0.08%0.3039-6.38%0.1786✗1.4614.4M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.659475-0.08%0.6-9.09%0.1160✗1.2663k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.099922-0.08%0.0926-7.40%0.2299✗1.831.1M2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.421408-0.08%0.37168-11.87%0.1704✗1.7761k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0849-0.07%2.7762-10.07%0.1208✗1.3533k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.3138-0.07%8.14-12.66%0.0546✗1.13281k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.23155-0.06%0.195-15.84%0.0817✗1.51432k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.48961-0.06%0.4636-5.37%0.2318✗1.7149.8M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.788475-0.06%0.82849+5.02%0.3623✗1.87789k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003178-0.05%0.00285-10.38%0.1098✗1.312.1M2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111341-0.05%0.1066-4.31%0.2575✗1.805.4M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4163-0.05%1.318-6.99%0.2431✗1.88342k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.052-0.05%3.662-9.67%0.1549✗1.532.6M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008586-0.05%0.00000802-6.64%0.1847✗1.51850k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.30e-7-0.05%8.10e-7-12.90%0.0160✗0.925.5M2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.3895-0.05%7.032-4.88%0.2153✗1.5813.5M2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.288-0.05%3.88-9.56%0.2340✗1.991.5M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.029986-0.05%0.0291-3.00%0.2526✗1.69221k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004048-0.04%0.00359-11.36%0.1785✗1.78213k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.057895-0.04%0.04562-21.24%0.0108✓1.3649k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.118507-0.04%0.106761-9.95%0.0984✗1.2110.3M2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051779-0.04%0.0508-1.93%0.2954✗1.881.6M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1296-0.04%0.97-14.16%0.1453✗1.781.1M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.285448-0.04%0.25822-9.57%0.1601✗1.55453k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0096-0.04%0.88-12.87%0.0628✗1.2068k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4192-0.03%2.19-9.50%0.2505✗2.09294k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.2952-0.03%1.997-13.02%0.1081✗1.481.1M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8647.8447-0.03%43.45-9.21%0.1319✗1.3617.5M2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.281512-0.03%0.2574-8.59%0.1586✗1.486.2M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1846-0.03%1.149-3.04%0.2717✗1.80826k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6343-0.03%5.442-3.44%0.2626✗1.7810.6M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7935-0.03%1.586-11.59%0.0445✗1.00623k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000824783-0.03%0.000828+0.36%0.3032✗1.791.8M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.062985-0.02%0.0519-17.62%0.0542✗1.48403k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.405314-0.02%0.3765-7.13%0.2328✗1.83146k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97145.9402-0.02%126.93-13.04%0.0758✗1.294.4M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1471-0.02%14.12-6.80%0.2218✗1.7465k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012286-0.02%0.01281+4.25%0.2522✗1.262.0M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.663895-0.02%0.591-10.99%0.2676✗2.291.8M2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.489948-0.01%0.447-8.78%0.1981✗1.73116k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3399-0.01%1.29-3.73%0.3030✗2.04580k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.4287-0.01%13.49-6.51%0.2258✗1.752.3M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144291-0.01%0.1272-11.85%0.1436✗1.61169k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6355-0.00%1.4008-14.36%0.0857✗1.44894k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.672-0.00%5.329-6.05%0.2093✗1.622.5M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.277004+0.00%0.256-7.58%0.1375✓1.29847k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097403+0.00%0.0914-6.16%0.1734✓1.42733k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.2707+0.00%16.09-6.83%0.2274✓1.7847.8M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.41890.418916+0.00%0.347-17.16%0.0485✓1.41165k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029292+0.01%0.02635-10.04%0.1602✓1.5917k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006871+0.01%0.00632-8.01%0.1250✓1.25607k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.650083+0.01%0.599-7.85%0.1266✓1.24365k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.979154+0.02%0.858-12.36%0.2236✓2.12319k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum70.370.3118+0.02%59.74-15.02%0.1557✓1.907.4M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2612+0.02%5.917-5.48%0.2097✓1.5932.8M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.581+0.02%49.66+0.18%0.2137✓1.272.0M2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.097224+0.02%0.0945-2.78%0.2278✓1.53795k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1896+0.03%2.042-6.72%0.2276✓1.78139k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,433.58+0.03%1,207.82-15.73%0.0193✓1.14340.5M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.911384+0.03%0.845884-7.16%0.1617✓1.41120k2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3632+0.03%8.36-10.68%0.1050✓1.30502k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.118342+0.04%0.1305+10.31%0.3824✓1.701,7522022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.5865+0.04%14.6487-5.98%0.2119✓1.64222k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.630231+0.04%0.662+5.08%0.3639✓1.88578k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.057321+0.04%0.0599+4.54%0.3994✓2.12141k2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.203795+0.05%0.1607-21.11%0.0174✓1.52196k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.5749+0.05%28.58-6.48%0.2114✓1.67103.2M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.340173+0.05%0.301-11.47%0.2097✓1.98530k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.864444+0.05%0.718-16.90%0.0623✓1.485.1M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.2212+0.05%35.73-13.28%0.1301✓1.6330k2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0647+0.07%6.495-8.00%0.1770✓1.5615.2M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.8164+0.07%46.08-9.26%0.1366✓1.401.0M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.003420.003422+0.07%0.00303-11.40%0.1563✓1.66628k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,011.31+0.08%4,951.67-17.56%0.0277✓1.323.6M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.489562+0.11%0.493+0.82%0.3104✓1.81886k2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.946101+0.12%0.853-9.74%0.0639✓1.001.4M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2482+0.18%1.145-8.11%0.2101✓1.7773k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.02e-7+0.19%3.58e-7-10.76%0.0421✓0.941.0M2022-06-13
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.645702+0.26%0.545-15.37%0.0021✓1.007.3M2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000069733+0.39%0.00006043-13.00%0.3803✓3.132.0M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.9141+0.75%3.485-10.30%0.2644✓2.2717.0M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.