XRD

Radix · native · gru_s4

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0389

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0049

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000201961	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000208801	-0.26%	0.00020255	-3.25%	0.0289	✓	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000203286	-0.03%	0.00020935	+2.95%	0.0381	✗	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000160879	+0.74%	0.00020335	+27.33%	0.2444	✓	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000156758	+0.81%	0.0001597	+2.70%	0.0170	✓	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000146274	+0.88%	0.0001555	+7.24%	0.0670	✓	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000202961	+0.48%	0.000145	-28.22%	0.3374	✗	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000269539	-0.10%	0.000202	-25.13%	0.2952	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000301371	-0.31%	0.0002698	-10.75%	0.1047	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000312599	-0.45%	0.0003023	-3.73%	0.0504	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000329856	-0.53%	0.000314	-5.31%	0.0344	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000315301	-0.44%	0.0003316	+4.70%	0.0313	✗	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000313984	-0.32%	0.0003167	+0.54%	0.0155	✗	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000305804	-0.16%	0.000315	+2.84%	0.0330	✗	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000315574	-0.17%	0.0003063	-3.10%	0.0221	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000331434	-0.38%	0.0003161	-4.99%	0.0624	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000332961	-0.52%	0.0003327	-0.60%	0.0221	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.00034595	-0.65%	0.0003347	-3.88%	0.0350	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000355314	-0.79%	0.0003482	-2.78%	0.0274	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000353583	-0.62%	0.00035815	+0.66%	0.0299	✗	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000364757	-0.72%	0.0003558	-3.16%	0.0226	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000375802	-0.87%	0.0003674	-3.09%	0.0259	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000376414	-0.79%	0.0003791	-0.08%	0.0198	✗	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000403514	-1.05%	0.0003794	-6.96%	0.0624	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000410618	-1.14%	0.0004078	-1.82%	0.0052	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000435921	-1.42%	0.00041535	-6.07%	0.0577	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000451077	-1.51%	0.0004422	-3.45%	0.0195	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000430882	-1.50%	0.000458	+4.70%	0.0641	✗	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000462731	-1.65%	0.00043745	-7.02%	0.0590	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000488583	-1.71%	0.0004705	-5.35%	0.0376	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000517453	-1.82%	0.0004971	-5.68%	0.0577	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000460164	-1.95%	0.00052705	+12.31%	0.1322	✗	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000537125	-1.64%	0.0004693	-14.06%	0.1009	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000516894	-1.58%	0.0005461	+3.98%	0.0545	✗	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000558151	-1.68%	0.0005252	-7.49%	0.0587	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000566976	-1.58%	0.0005677	-1.46%	0.0312	✗	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000498664	-0.94%	0.0005761	+14.44%	0.1457	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000548417	-1.30%	0.0005034	-9.40%	0.0819	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000499477	-1.06%	0.00055565	+10.06%	0.0928	✗	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000489194	-0.79%	0.00050485	+2.38%	0.0390	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000505888	-0.95%	0.0004931	-3.46%	0.0282	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000481198	-0.68%	0.00051075	+5.42%	0.0599	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000486779	-0.66%	0.0004845	-1.12%	0.0011	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000466337	-0.67%	0.00049	+4.37%	0.0410	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000475906	-0.77%	0.0004695	-2.11%	0.0143	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000430341	-0.73%	0.0004796	+10.63%	0.1058	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000476875	-1.12%	0.0004335	-10.12%	0.1016	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000467099	-1.08%	0.0004823	+2.14%	0.0346	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000496607	-1.05%	0.0004722	-5.92%	0.0497	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.0004743	-1.79%	0.0005019	+3.92%	0.0498	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000567249	-0.50%	0.00048295	-15.29%	0.1578	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000587595	-0.64%	0.0005701	-3.60%	0.0303	✓	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000618248	-0.71%	0.0005914	-5.03%	0.0465	✓	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000828062	-0.17%	0.0006227	-24.93%	0.2848	✓	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000865367	-0.21%	0.0008295	-4.35%	0.0423	✓	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000870085	-0.25%	0.0008672	-0.58%	0.0033	✓	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000809849	-0.31%	0.0008723	+7.37%	0.0760	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000816721	-0.30%	0.0008124	-0.83%	0.0062	✓	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000901334	-0.25%	0.0008192	-9.34%	0.0961	✓	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000924873	-0.25%	0.0009036	-2.55%	0.0227	✓	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000880786	-0.26%	0.0009272	+4.99%	0.0505	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000787822	-0.38%	0.0008831	+11.67%	0.1138	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000918875	-0.25%	0.0007908	-14.16%	0.1505	✓	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000920814	-0.34%	0.0009212	-0.30%	0.0035	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000961839	-0.47%	0.000924	-4.39%	0.0416	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001032	-0.71%	0.0009664	-7.03%	0.0803	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000886517	-0.49%	0.00104	+16.68%	0.1587	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000921816	-0.51%	0.0008909	-3.84%	0.0395	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000955267	-0.56%	0.0009265	-3.55%	0.0300	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000914749	-0.51%	0.0009606	+4.48%	0.0488	✗	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000933873	-0.54%	0.0009194	-2.08%	0.0141	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000974689	-0.59%	0.0009389	-4.24%	0.0375	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000921809	-0.54%	0.0009805	+5.79%	0.0621	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000903234	-0.54%	0.0009268	+2.06%	0.0270	✗	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000914575	-0.56%	0.0009081	-1.26%	0.0041	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000927293	-0.57%	0.0009197	-1.38%	0.0080	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000920607	-0.58%	0.0009326	+0.71%	0.0129	✗	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000908049	-0.56%	0.000926	+1.40%	0.0177	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000957178	-0.58%	0.0009132	-5.15%	0.0460	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000940924	-0.57%	0.0009628	+1.74%	0.0214	✗	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000975835	-0.59%	0.0009463	-3.60%	0.0326	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000978002	-0.60%	0.0009816	-0.23%	0.0038	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000944194	-0.55%	0.0009839	+3.63%	0.0389	✗	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000958707	-0.56%	0.0009494	-1.52%	0.0096	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000956725	-0.56%	0.0009641	+0.21%	0.0138	✗	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000959063	-0.53%	0.0009621	-0.22%	0.0005	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000972769	-0.53%	0.0009642	-1.41%	0.0090	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000988906	-0.56%	0.000978	-1.66%	0.0116	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001016	-0.62%	0.0009945	-2.69%	0.0160	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000985855	-0.66%	0.001022	+2.98%	0.0329	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001097	-1.25%	0.0009924	-10.64%	0.1006	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000822662	-0.40%	0.001111	+34.46%	0.3054	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000826232	-0.41%	0.000826	-0.43%	0.0052	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000807541	-0.39%	0.0008296	+2.33%	0.0292	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000830007	-0.37%	0.0008107	-2.69%	0.0309	✓	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000841062	-0.36%	0.0008331	-1.30%	0.0126	✓	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000859249	-0.37%	0.0008441	-2.12%	0.0171	✓	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000890405	-0.39%	0.0008624	-3.52%	0.0371	✓	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000872752	-0.36%	0.0008939	+2.06%	0.0232	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000861217	-0.35%	0.0008759	+1.35%	0.0233	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000848128	-0.33%	0.0008642	+1.56%	0.0206	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000842714	-0.31%	0.0008509	+0.66%	0.0096	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.00092146	-0.39%	0.0008453	-8.63%	0.0771	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000854162	-0.30%	0.0009251	+7.98%	0.0800	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000887097	-0.31%	0.0008567	-3.73%	0.0326	✓	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.00090757	-0.32%	0.0008899	-2.26%	0.0261	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000915565	-0.32%	0.0009105	-0.87%	0.0118	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000899083	-0.29%	0.0009185	+1.86%	0.0287	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.00090839	-0.30%	0.0009017	-1.03%	0.0029	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000929086	-0.33%	0.0009111	-2.26%	0.0219	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000895743	-0.27%	0.0009322	+3.79%	0.0372	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000878452	-0.24%	0.0008982	+2.00%	0.0190	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.00089069	-0.24%	0.0008806	-1.37%	0.0176	✓	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000887268	-0.22%	0.0008928	+0.40%	0.0031	✓	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000849736	-0.13%	0.0008892	+4.51%	0.0371	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000857675	-0.15%	0.0008508	-0.95%	0.0014	✓	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.00087018	-0.15%	0.000859	-1.43%	0.0171	✓	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000863957	-0.14%	0.0008715	+0.73%	0.0115	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000893389	-0.17%	0.0008652	-3.32%	0.0316	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.00091503	-0.17%	0.0008949	-2.37%	0.0241	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000943057	-0.21%	0.0009166	-3.01%	0.0193	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000970781	-0.23%	0.000945	-2.88%	0.0152	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001055	-0.30%	0.000973	-8.03%	0.0726	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001063	-0.30%	0.001058	-0.75%	0.0090	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001108	-0.35%	0.001066	-4.14%	0.0328	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.00109	-0.34%	0.001112	+1.65%	0.0151	✗	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001098	-0.34%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0075	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001087	-0.32%	0.001102	+1.10%	0.0233	✗	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001102	-0.33%	0.00109	-1.45%	0.0047	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001117	-0.35%	0.001106	-1.34%	0.0061	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001111	-0.33%	0.001121	+0.54%	0.0054	✗	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001124	-0.34%	0.001115	-1.15%	0.0157	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001099	-0.30%	0.001128	+2.36%	0.0211	✗	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001109	-0.32%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0066	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001108	-0.32%	0.001113	+0.09%	0.0091	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001122	-0.37%	0.001112	-1.29%	0.0077	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001093	-0.33%	0.001126	+2.69%	0.0390	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001056	-0.25%	0.001097	+3.59%	0.0393	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001035	-0.19%	0.001059	+2.12%	0.0074	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001028	-0.18%	0.001037	+0.68%	0.0098	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00108	-0.34%	0.00103	-4.98%	0.0310	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001052	-0.28%	0.001084	+2.75%	0.0315	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001013	-0.24%	0.001055	+3.94%	0.0616	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001037	-0.32%	0.001015	-2.40%	0.0180	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001076	-0.39%	0.00104	-3.70%	0.0157	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001066	-0.36%	0.00108	+0.93%	0.0145	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001084	-0.38%	0.00107	-1.65%	0.0163	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.00108	-0.38%	0.001088	+0.37%	0.0088	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001115	-0.43%	0.001084	-3.21%	0.0219	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001156	-0.54%	0.00112	-3.61%	0.0198	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001111	-0.43%	0.001162	+4.12%	0.0572	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001016	-0.24%	0.001116	+9.63%	0.0919	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001014	-0.21%	0.001018	+0.20%	0.0010	✓	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001061	-0.24%	0.001016	-4.51%	0.0552	✓	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.00107	-0.24%	0.001064	-0.84%	0.0139	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001078	-0.24%	0.001073	-0.74%	0.0057	✓	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001124	-0.28%	0.001081	-4.08%	0.0457	✓	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001145	-0.29%	0.001127	-1.83%	0.0138	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001145	-0.28%	0.001148	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001169	-0.31%	0.001148	-2.13%	0.0124	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.00119	-0.32%	0.001173	-1.76%	0.0063	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001206	-0.30%	0.001194	-1.32%	0.0065	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001219	-0.33%	0.00121	-1.06%	0.0218	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001243	-0.34%	0.001223	-1.92%	0.0063	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001246	-0.32%	0.001247	-0.24%	0.0113	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001242	-0.30%	0.00125	+0.32%	0.0101	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001255	-0.32%	0.001246	-1.03%	0.0203	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001241	-0.32%	0.001259	+1.12%	0.0104	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001257	-0.34%	0.001245	-1.27%	0.0109	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.00128	-0.30%	0.001261	-1.79%	0.0003	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.00127	-0.31%	0.001284	+0.78%	0.0046	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001282	-0.36%	0.001274	-1.01%	0.0198	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001258	-0.43%	0.001287	+1.90%	0.0070	✗	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001258	-0.47%	0.001263	-0.08%	0.0055	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001253	-0.52%	0.001264	+0.32%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001254	-0.59%	0.00126	-0.08%	0.0233	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001271	-0.61%	0.001261	-1.41%	0.0163	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001275	-0.66%	0.001279	-0.31%	0.0114	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.00132	-0.67%	0.001283	-3.46%	0.0140	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001355	-0.63%	0.001329	-2.57%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001342	-0.69%	0.001364	+0.96%	0.0021	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001318	-0.69%	0.001351	+1.81%	0.0221	✗	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001284	-0.67%	0.001327	+2.63%	0.0450	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001281	-0.68%	0.001293	+0.23%	0.0080	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001273	-0.76%	0.00129	+0.55%	0.0152	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001276	-0.77%	0.001283	-0.23%	0.0023	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001284	-0.75%	0.001286	-0.62%	0.0281	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001275	-0.77%	0.001294	+0.70%	0.0424	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001312	-0.76%	0.001285	-2.80%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001232	-0.74%	0.001322	+6.53%	0.0436	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001242	-0.73%	0.001241	-0.80%	0.0054	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.00123	-0.69%	0.001251	+0.97%	0.0073	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.00122	-0.68%	0.001239	+0.90%	0.0196	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001172	-0.47%	0.001228	+4.33%	0.0063	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001176	-0.54%	0.001177	-0.42%	0.0356	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001191	-0.53%	0.001182	-1.25%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001228	-0.53%	0.001197	-3.08%	0.0437	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001246	-0.52%	0.001235	-1.44%	0.0200	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001261	-0.57%	0.001253	-1.18%	0.0063	✗	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001309	-0.57%	0.001268	-3.72%	0.0809	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001216	-0.35%	0.001317	+7.95%	0.0825	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.00118	-0.18%	0.00122	+3.21%	0.0057	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001182	-0.14%	0.001182	-0.17%	0.0057	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001166	-0.06%	0.001184	+1.46%	0.0140	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.00117	-0.06%	0.001167	-0.34%	0.0171	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001202	-0.08%	0.001171	-2.66%	0.0244	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.00117	+0.08%	0.001203	+2.91%	0.0037	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001192	+0.11%	0.001169	-1.85%	0.0326	✗	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001247	+0.05%	0.001191	-4.41%	0.0396	✗	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001332	-0.05%	0.001246	-6.53%	0.0665	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001454	-0.28%	0.001333	-8.57%	0.0483	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001505	-0.41%	0.001458	-3.51%	0.0074	✗	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001517	-0.37%	0.001511	-0.79%	0.0160	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001534	-0.39%	0.001523	-1.10%	0.0020	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001517	-0.27%	0.00154	+1.25%	0.0332	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001576	-0.35%	0.001521	-3.80%	0.0180	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.00157	-0.41%	0.001581	+0.32%	0.0324	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001761	-0.43%	0.001576	-10.91%	0.1205	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001774	-0.47%	0.001769	-0.73%	0.0186	✗	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001836	-0.58%	0.001782	-3.52%	0.0120	✗	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001855	-0.63%	0.001847	-1.07%	0.0100	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001856	-0.61%	0.001867	+0.00%	0.0250	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001836	-0.59%	0.001867	+1.08%	0.0083	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001839	-0.62%	0.001847	-0.22%	0.0005	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001805	-0.63%	0.001851	+1.93%	0.0189	✗	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001809	-0.66%	0.001816	-0.27%	0.0013	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001794	-0.69%	0.001821	+0.83%	0.0112	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001867	-0.68%	0.001806	-3.94%	0.0586	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001826	-0.59%	0.00188	+2.34%	0.0128	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001926	-0.68%	0.001837	-5.26%	0.0253	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001924	-0.70%	0.001939	+0.05%	0.0217	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002066	-0.83%	0.001938	-6.96%	0.0194	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002145	-0.92%	0.002083	-3.79%	0.0020	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002062	-0.72%	0.002165	+4.24%	0.0201	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002214	-0.78%	0.002077	-6.90%	0.0560	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002189	-0.67%	0.002231	+1.23%	0.0299	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002474	-0.92%	0.002204	-11.73%	0.0967	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002418	-0.87%	0.002497	+2.38%	0.0148	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.00231	-0.79%	0.002439	+4.77%	0.0805	✗	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002314	-0.89%	0.002328	-0.30%	0.0138	✗	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002163	-0.64%	0.002335	+7.26%	0.0141	✗	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.00239	-0.92%	0.002177	-9.74%	0.0842	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002539	-1.37%	0.002412	-6.29%	0.0044	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002376	-1.85%	0.002574	+6.32%	0.0851	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001833	-0.46%	0.002421	+31.50%	0.2789	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001767	-0.32%	0.001841	+3.84%	0.0257	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001746	-0.26%	0.001773	+1.26%	0.0067	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001746	-0.25%	0.001751	+0.06%	0.0186	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001592	-0.00%	0.00175	+9.92%	0.1157	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.00159	+0.07%	0.001592	+0.19%	0.0002	✓	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00165	+0.04%	0.001589	-3.64%	0.0227	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001778	-0.04%	0.001649	-7.31%	0.0903	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001796	+0.05%	0.001779	-0.89%	0.0510	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001832	+0.05%	0.001795	-1.97%	0.0074	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001971	-0.12%	0.001831	-7.20%	0.0467	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001984	-0.15%	0.001973	-0.70%	0.0136	✗	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.002045	-0.19%	0.001987	-3.03%	0.0262	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002071	-0.19%	0.002049	-1.25%	0.0260	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.002045	-0.20%	0.002075	+1.27%	0.0337	✗	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001742	+0.45%	0.002049	+18.17%	0.0514	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002084	-0.31%	0.001734	-17.03%	0.0626	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002404	-0.74%	0.00209	-13.71%	0.1147	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002422	-0.85%	0.002422	-0.86%	0.0272	✗	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002247	-0.67%	0.002443	+8.00%	0.0683	✗	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002424	-0.82%	0.002262	-7.45%	0.0541	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.003016	-1.39%	0.002444	-20.08%	0.1854	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002977	-1.73%	0.003058	+0.96%	0.0288	✗	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002812	-1.99%	0.003029	+5.58%	0.0997	✗	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002542	-1.72%	0.002869	+10.94%	0.1209	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001913	-0.90%	0.002586	+33.99%	0.2981	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001917	-0.84%	0.00193	-0.16%	0.0002	✓	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002389	-1.38%	0.001933	-20.22%	0.2058	✓	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002506	-1.98%	0.002423	-5.24%	0.0328	✓	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002884	-4.87%	0.002557	-15.67%	0.1204	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002124	-2.40%	0.003032	+39.34%	0.3559	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001617	-1.26%	0.002176	+32.84%	0.2954	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001266	-0.59%	0.001638	+28.57%	0.2779	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001234	-0.56%	0.001274	+2.66%	0.0373	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001203	-0.56%	0.001241	+2.56%	0.0385	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001243	-0.59%	0.00121	-3.20%	0.0245	✓	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001243	-0.61%	0.00125	-0.08%	0.0058	✓	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001145	-0.55%	0.001251	+8.69%	0.0960	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001082	-0.49%	0.001151	+5.89%	0.0533	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001069	-0.34%	0.001087	+1.30%	0.0086	✓	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.00105	-0.33%	0.001073	+1.90%	0.0202	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001061	-0.31%	0.001053	-1.03%	0.0104	✓	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001292	-0.35%	0.001064	-17.96%	0.1935	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001422	-0.39%	0.001297	-9.17%	0.0887	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001438	-0.38%	0.001428	-1.04%	0.0044	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001477	-0.39%	0.001443	-2.70%	0.0019	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001475	-0.36%	0.001483	+0.20%	0.0069	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001507	-0.35%	0.00148	-2.12%	0.0395	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001507	-0.32%	0.001512	+0.00%	0.0051	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001508	-0.30%	0.001512	-0.07%	0.0036	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001495	-0.26%	0.001513	+0.93%	0.0006	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001487	-0.24%	0.001499	+0.54%	0.0037	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001496	-0.23%	0.001491	-0.53%	0.0054	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001527	-0.24%	0.001499	-2.09%	0.0310	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001549	-0.26%	0.001531	-1.42%	0.0043	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001544	-0.25%	0.001553	+0.32%	0.0051	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001505	-0.20%	0.001548	+2.65%	0.0233	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001514	-0.20%	0.001508	-0.59%	0.0052	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001542	-0.21%	0.001517	-1.81%	0.0120	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.0015	-0.16%	0.001545	+2.86%	0.0282	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001521	-0.17%	0.001502	-1.44%	0.0022	✓	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001559	-0.19%	0.001524	-2.43%	0.0219	✓	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001548	-0.17%	0.001562	+0.71%	0.0058	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001525	-0.15%	0.001551	+1.57%	0.0149	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001465	-0.05%	0.001527	+4.16%	0.0170	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001589	-0.14%	0.001466	-7.86%	0.0736	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001569	-0.13%	0.001591	+1.27%	0.0290	✗	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001702	-0.19%	0.001571	-7.86%	0.0937	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001759	-0.23%	0.001705	-3.29%	0.0147	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001772	-0.24%	0.001763	-0.73%	0.0141	✗	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001743	-0.21%	0.001776	+1.66%	0.0188	✗	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.00177	-0.22%	0.001747	-1.52%	0.0071	✗	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001807	-0.22%	0.001774	-2.04%	0.0229	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001843	-0.24%	0.001811	-1.95%	0.0116	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001855	-0.23%	0.001847	-0.65%	0.0220	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001864	-0.23%	0.001859	-0.48%	0.0048	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001901	-0.23%	0.001868	-1.94%	0.0276	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001947	-0.26%	0.001905	-2.41%	0.0211	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001935	-0.25%	0.001952	+0.62%	0.0345	✗	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001893	-0.25%	0.00194	+2.21%	0.0371	✗	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002106	-0.31%	0.001898	-10.18%	0.1261	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002019	-0.20%	0.002113	+4.45%	0.0083	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002082	-0.25%	0.002023	-3.07%	0.0154	✗	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002048	-0.21%	0.002087	+1.71%	0.0238	✗	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002099	-0.22%	0.002052	-2.47%	0.0220	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002151	-0.25%	0.002104	-2.41%	0.0176	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002236	-0.30%	0.002156	-3.88%	0.0451	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002123	-0.19%	0.002243	+5.45%	0.0245	✗	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002109	-0.17%	0.002127	+0.66%	0.0177	✗	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002065	-0.11%	0.002113	+2.23%	0.0084	✗	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002051	-0.05%	0.002067	+0.73%	0.0142	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002028	-0.02%	0.002052	+1.18%	0.0160	✗	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002112	-0.08%	0.002028	-4.07%	0.0255	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002127	-0.14%	0.002114	-0.75%	0.0504	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002373	-0.26%	0.00213	-10.47%	0.0923	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.00237	-0.25%	0.002379	+0.13%	0.0050	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002506	-0.34%	0.002376	-5.53%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002496	-0.33%	0.002515	+0.44%	0.0223	✗	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002486	-0.34%	0.002504	+0.36%	0.0041	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002537	-0.45%	0.002495	-2.12%	0.0396	✗	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002369	-0.30%	0.002549	+7.28%	0.0960	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002349	-0.30%	0.002376	+0.85%	0.0267	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002423	-0.36%	0.002356	-3.13%	0.0044	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002437	-0.36%	0.002432	-0.57%	0.0162	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002335	-0.26%	0.002446	+4.49%	0.0202	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002347	-0.28%	0.002341	-0.51%	0.0087	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.00229	-0.21%	0.002353	+2.53%	0.0051	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002314	-0.23%	0.002295	-1.03%	0.0207	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002341	-0.20%	0.002319	-1.15%	0.0367	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.00245	-0.30%	0.002346	-4.52%	0.0174	✗	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002551	-0.41%	0.002457	-4.06%	0.0092	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002568	-0.40%	0.002561	-0.66%	0.0082	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002527	-0.35%	0.002578	+1.66%	0.0143	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.00249	-0.29%	0.002536	+1.56%	0.0041	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002554	-0.34%	0.002497	-2.58%	0.0033	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002534	-0.37%	0.002563	+0.79%	0.0457	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002549	-0.38%	0.002543	-0.63%	0.0114	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002559	-0.37%	0.002559	-0.35%	0.0056	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002532	-0.26%	0.002568	+1.14%	0.0206	✓	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002584	-0.25%	0.002539	-2.01%	0.0254	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002644	-0.26%	0.002591	-2.26%	0.0318	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002548	-0.12%	0.002651	+3.92%	0.0083	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002611	-0.14%	0.002551	-2.45%	0.0137	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002762	-0.28%	0.002615	-5.60%	0.0278	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002748	-0.22%	0.00277	+0.58%	0.0143	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002602	-0.03%	0.002754	+5.80%	0.0395	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.00257	+0.03%	0.002603	+1.32%	0.0041	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002328	+0.30%	0.002569	+10.69%	0.1200	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002619	+0.03%	0.002321	-11.34%	0.0901	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002752	-0.10%	0.002618	-4.97%	0.0239	✓	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002863	-0.22%	0.002755	-3.97%	0.0126	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.00287	-0.21%	0.002869	-0.24%	0.0027	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002774	-0.02%	0.002876	+3.64%	0.0147	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003118	-0.30%	0.002775	-11.26%	0.0903	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003677	-0.75%	0.003127	-15.60%	0.0818	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003584	-0.76%	0.003705	+2.60%	0.0489	✗	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003528	-0.74%	0.003611	+1.60%	0.0038	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003607	-0.81%	0.003554	-2.26%	0.0191	✗	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003514	-0.79%	0.003636	+2.65%	0.0222	✗	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003712	-0.77%	0.003542	-5.32%	0.0576	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003844	-0.76%	0.003741	-3.41%	0.0285	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003949	-0.76%	0.003873	-2.66%	0.0370	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.00388	-0.72%	0.003979	+1.82%	0.0050	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003761	-0.53%	0.003908	+3.36%	0.0100	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003763	-0.52%	0.003781	-0.05%	0.0081	✗	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.00378	-0.43%	0.003783	-0.34%	0.0242	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003745	-0.30%	0.003796	+1.06%	0.0163	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.00382	-0.31%	0.003756	-1.98%	0.0167	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003825	-0.28%	0.003832	-0.10%	0.0061	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.004011	-0.59%	0.003836	-4.93%	0.0073	✗	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004087	-0.59%	0.004035	-1.85%	0.0287	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004103	-0.68%	0.004111	-0.48%	0.0106	✗	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004253	-0.88%	0.004131	-3.73%	0.0016	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004185	-0.99%	0.004291	+1.51%	0.0307	✗	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004534	-0.95%	0.004227	-7.65%	0.0707	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004541	-1.05%	0.004577	-0.26%	0.0248	✗	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.