XRD

Radix · native · gru_s4

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2554

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0656

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000183772	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000193775	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000190427	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000152494	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000148972	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000139202	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000195038	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000250944	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000276696	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000284079	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000299221	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000285789	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000285548	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.0002795	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000287987	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000298869	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000297728	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.00030732	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.00031365	-12.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000313342	-11.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000321149	-12.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000327919	-13.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000328395	-13.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000347652	-14.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000351056	-15.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000368514	-16.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000379225	-17.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000359134	-17.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000384227	-18.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000405513	-18.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000430985	-18.23%	0.00020255	-61.57%	0.7742	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000374373	-20.23%	0.00020935	-55.39%	0.6042	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000441848	-19.09%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.7646	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.00042436	-19.20%	0.0001597	-69.59%	0.9734	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000458686	-19.20%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.0748	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.00046794	-18.77%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1384	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.00041768	-17.03%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.6910	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.00045643	-17.86%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.4833	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000417202	-17.36%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3048	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000412041	-16.44%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2384	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000424958	-16.80%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2240	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000407428	-15.91%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2180	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000412742	-15.77%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2376	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000395358	-15.79%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.2353	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000403915	-15.78%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.2307	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.00036392	-16.05%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.0732	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000401844	-16.68%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.1579	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000396013	-16.13%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.0994	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000428678	-14.59%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.1498	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000395267	-18.16%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.0909	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000525588	-7.81%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.3526	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000544964	-7.85%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.3565	✓	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000578637	-7.08%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.4134	✓	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000817106	-1.49%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.6936	✓	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000856447	-1.24%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7237	✓	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000860756	-1.32%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.6660	✓	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000802722	-1.19%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.5640	✓	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000810073	-1.11%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.6198	✓	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000900465	-0.35%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.6549	✓	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000928524	+0.14%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6309	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000880318	-0.32%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5185	✓	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000776766	-1.77%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.5082	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000920705	-0.05%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5215	✓	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000900166	-2.58%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5341	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000921813	-4.61%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.4890	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000971342	-6.56%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5573	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000833938	-6.39%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5324	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000866355	-6.49%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4825	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000897886	-6.53%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6202	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000860134	-6.45%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.5972	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000878721	-6.41%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.5835	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.00091698	-6.48%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6805	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000867076	-6.44%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6086	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000849162	-6.49%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6356	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000859658	-6.53%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6231	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000871829	-6.52%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7397	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000864533	-6.64%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6259	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000851093	-6.80%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6315	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000898795	-6.65%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6224	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000883389	-6.65%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6487	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000916595	-6.62%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5154	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000918389	-6.66%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4797	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000886866	-6.59%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.3973	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000901827	-6.46%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1250	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000901407	-6.31%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.0778	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000905258	-6.11%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0774	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000920246	-5.91%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1708	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000936964	-5.79%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1782	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000965643	-5.51%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1031	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.00093842	-5.44%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0514	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001038	-6.51%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2038	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.00078695	-4.73%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0549	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000790547	-4.71%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0943	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000772779	-4.68%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.1460	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000795219	-4.55%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1723	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.00080634	-4.47%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2540	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000824494	-4.40%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0793	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000854795	-4.37%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0867	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000838754	-4.24%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1401	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000829064	-4.07%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.1153	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000816904	-4.00%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1498	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000811677	-3.98%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1807	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000885254	-4.31%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0472	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000822241	-4.02%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0984	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000854197	-4.01%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0692	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000874736	-3.93%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0525	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000883601	-3.80%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0295	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000869639	-3.56%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0426	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000879813	-3.43%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0862	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000900591	-3.39%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0469	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000869876	-3.15%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.1187	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000854321	-2.98%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1356	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000865759	-3.03%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0846	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000863503	-2.89%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0928	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000829121	-2.55%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1144	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000835472	-2.74%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1226	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000848111	-2.68%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1165	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000842018	-2.68%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1445	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000869794	-2.81%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1300	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000890084	-2.89%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0814	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000915968	-3.07%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1713	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000940471	-3.34%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1463	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001016	-3.93%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2161	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001024	-3.92%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2540	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001065	-4.21%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2516	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001049	-4.09%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2249	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001057	-4.08%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2150	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001045	-4.09%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1534	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001059	-4.22%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1797	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001072	-4.36%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2065	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001068	-4.19%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2234	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001082	-4.12%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2334	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.00106	-3.84%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1371	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001069	-3.94%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2228	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.00107	-3.81%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.2006	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001082	-3.99%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1815	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001054	-3.96%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1318	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001019	-3.80%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1222	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001001	-3.46%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1140	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000994055	-3.49%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0811	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001037	-4.33%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1395	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.00101	-4.26%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1268	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.00097039	-4.40%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0418	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000984895	-5.30%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0018	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001017	-5.88%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0447	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001007	-5.86%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0416	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001024	-5.85%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0287	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001021	-5.83%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0338	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001053	-5.98%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0364	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001092	-6.06%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0364	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001052	-5.72%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0515	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000962647	-5.44%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1531	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000960856	-5.43%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2260	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001004	-5.60%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1867	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001015	-5.41%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2275	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001023	-5.39%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.2136	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001064	-5.58%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1834	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001084	-5.59%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1359	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001084	-5.56%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1318	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001109	-5.50%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1220	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.00113	-5.39%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.1131	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.00115	-4.92%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1327	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001158	-5.28%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0935	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001184	-5.08%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0915	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.00119	-4.76%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1280	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.00119	-4.49%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1416	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001199	-4.77%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0817	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001186	-4.77%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0495	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001201	-4.78%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0375	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.00123	-4.23%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0721	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001219	-4.31%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.1107	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001227	-4.65%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0719	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001196	-5.32%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0012	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001194	-5.52%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0392	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001186	-5.89%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0308	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001176	-6.76%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0558	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001189	-7.03%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0524	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001189	-7.32%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0526	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001235	-7.06%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.0549	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001279	-6.24%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.0551	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001257	-6.97%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1131	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001234	-7.03%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.1849	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001207	-6.68%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.1474	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001203	-6.78%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.0807	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001178	-8.15%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1121	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001176	-8.53%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1101	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.00118	-8.82%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.0880	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001175	-8.60%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.0400	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001221	-7.68%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.0656	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001133	-8.70%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0063	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001144	-8.52%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0161	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001136	-8.28%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0310	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.00113	-7.95%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0118	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001093	-7.12%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001092	-7.60%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0164	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001108	-7.45%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0082	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001142	-7.54%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0266	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001159	-7.54%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0576	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001169	-7.83%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0387	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001217	-7.63%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1344	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001138	-6.68%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0659	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001115	-5.70%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0450	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001119	-5.52%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0547	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001107	-5.12%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0462	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.00111	-5.19%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0261	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001141	-5.18%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0229	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001119	-4.27%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0056	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001142	-4.11%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0436	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001192	-4.36%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0597	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001272	-4.61%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1168	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001381	-5.30%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1528	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001425	-5.70%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1606	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001442	-5.33%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2218	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001457	-5.37%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2287	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001446	-4.91%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2505	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001497	-5.29%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2580	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001486	-5.70%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.1895	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001674	-5.36%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3545	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001681	-5.66%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3294	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001728	-6.42%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3500	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001737	-6.97%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3273	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001742	-6.71%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.3611	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001723	-6.72%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.3883	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001721	-7.04%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.3768	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001683	-7.33%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.3933	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001682	-7.61%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.3841	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001661	-8.04%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3252	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001731	-7.91%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.3667	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001701	-7.39%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.3923	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001782	-8.07%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3291	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001773	-8.51%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.3886	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001885	-9.52%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4087	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.001945	-10.15%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4068	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001894	-8.83%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.4603	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002027	-9.14%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5376	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002021	-8.29%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5582	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002263	-9.36%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6571	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002218	-9.07%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6233	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002117	-9.08%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5114	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002117	-9.32%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4369	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002006	-7.85%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.3933	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002194	-9.03%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4761	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002303	-10.51%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4573	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002164	-10.61%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.3838	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001717	-6.71%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1193	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001666	-6.02%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0815	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001651	-5.70%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1073	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001648	-5.80%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0353	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001511	-5.07%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1296	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001512	-4.87%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1262	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001563	-5.21%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1047	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001681	-5.52%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0453	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001704	-5.08%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0018	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001734	-5.30%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0053	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001852	-6.14%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0449	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001861	-6.34%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0233	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001914	-6.59%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0534	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001939	-6.56%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0187	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001911	-6.73%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0299	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001657	-4.46%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.0917	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001931	-7.61%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0594	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002198	-9.25%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0077	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002198	-10.01%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0401	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002047	-9.52%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.0950	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002195	-10.20%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1052	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002682	-12.29%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.1058	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002642	-12.77%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0298	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.0025	-12.86%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1184	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002277	-11.94%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1534	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001735	-10.13%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3926	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001745	-9.72%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3323	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002159	-10.88%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.1806	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002254	-11.84%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.1942	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002515	-17.07%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0244	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001929	-11.33%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0047	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001501	-8.35%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1961	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001186	-6.92%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5355	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001157	-6.77%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5682	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001128	-6.75%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.5025	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001169	-6.49%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4750	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001172	-6.28%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.5033	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001079	-6.25%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6722	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001016	-6.49%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.7643	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.00101	-5.84%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7653	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.000989789	-6.00%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8456	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001002	-5.83%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8273	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001227	-5.43%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6628	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001354	-5.19%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5996	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001372	-4.92%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.6142	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001414	-4.66%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.5311	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001415	-4.42%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5966	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001447	-4.27%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6746	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001451	-4.06%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6412	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001454	-3.90%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5726	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001444	-3.68%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.6263	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001439	-3.46%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7857	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001448	-3.37%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7747	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001479	-3.38%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6428	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001501	-3.35%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5322	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001497	-3.27%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2496	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001462	-3.08%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2865	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001472	-2.99%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4807	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001499	-2.96%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.5164	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001461	-2.74%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.7111	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001482	-2.76%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3767	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001518	-2.80%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0790	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001508	-2.75%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2078	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001486	-2.67%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2307	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001432	-2.33%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2542	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001549	-2.65%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.2953	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001529	-2.67%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2680	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001656	-2.88%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4599	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001708	-3.10%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5165	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001719	-3.19%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.4798	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001693	-3.12%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.4799	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001718	-3.16%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4597	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001754	-3.16%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.2882	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001785	-3.36%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2087	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001797	-3.32%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2250	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001805	-3.37%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2252	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001841	-3.34%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2594	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001886	-3.39%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2407	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001873	-3.45%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2002	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001834	-3.37%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1594	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002032	-3.83%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2773	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001961	-3.05%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.2874	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002016	-3.40%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2753	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.001986	-3.19%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2211	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002037	-3.20%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2392	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002086	-3.26%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2612	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002166	-3.41%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3298	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002067	-2.81%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3080	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002054	-2.81%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2781	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002015	-2.50%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.3003	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002007	-2.21%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3149	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001985	-2.10%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2766	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002062	-2.46%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.3029	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.00207	-2.82%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2659	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002291	-3.71%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3631	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.00229	-3.62%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.2985	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.00241	-4.16%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3584	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002398	-4.22%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2394	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002394	-4.05%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2356	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002433	-4.57%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2087	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002275	-4.26%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1304	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002254	-4.33%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1175	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002314	-4.85%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0834	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002331	-4.69%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.0927	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002243	-4.18%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0514	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.00225	-4.40%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0347	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002203	-4.00%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0032	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002217	-4.40%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0454	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002251	-4.06%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0359	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002332	-5.10%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0431	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002406	-6.06%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.1129	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002425	-5.94%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1280	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002392	-5.66%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.1048	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002366	-5.26%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0770	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002416	-5.73%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0957	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002384	-6.25%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1811	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002393	-6.49%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2446	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002401	-6.48%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2453	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002396	-5.63%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1927	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002449	-5.46%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1677	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002507	-5.42%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1610	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002435	-4.54%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1334	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002489	-4.81%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1389	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002613	-5.66%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0497	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002612	-5.17%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1093	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002492	-4.28%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1439	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002468	-3.93%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1715	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002246	-3.24%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2740	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002497	-4.61%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2040	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002602	-5.54%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1428	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002683	-6.49%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0467	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002687	-6.59%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0148	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002621	-5.55%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0161	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.0029	-7.25%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0697	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003389	-8.53%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.1825	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003287	-8.98%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1253	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003213	-9.59%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1138	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003294	-9.40%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1221	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003199	-9.67%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.0678	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003391	-9.36%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.1500	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003525	-8.98%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.1944	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003629	-8.80%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2266	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003552	-9.12%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2387	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003444	-8.90%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2582	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003445	-8.93%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2459	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003474	-8.49%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3201	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003455	-8.01%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3521	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003526	-7.98%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3739	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003529	-8.01%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3604	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003666	-9.15%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3195	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003738	-9.07%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3206	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003733	-9.63%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3175	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.003844	-10.43%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3000	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003749	-11.31%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2384	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004109	-10.22%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3159	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004092	-10.84%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3304	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.