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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
65.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2422
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0161
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002706-1.80%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002719-1.67%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002674-1.68%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002678-1.73%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003001-2.39%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002647-1.78%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002648-1.74%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002697-1.77%0.002755+0.36%0.0029✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.00272-1.64%0.002765+0.00%0.0122✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002797-1.36%0.00272-4.06%0.0258✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002712-1.37%0.002725-0.91%0.0036✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002785-1.42%0.003075+8.85%0.1148✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002794-1.61%0.002695-5.11%0.0216✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002748-1.52%0.002695-3.41%0.0093✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002707-1.37%0.002745+0.00%0.0096✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002848-1.46%0.002765-4.33%0.0142✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002901-1.33%0.002835-3.57%0.0005✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003191-1.81%0.00275-15.38%0.1065✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003078-1.67%0.002825-9.74%0.0537✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002979-1.68%0.00284-6.27%0.0272✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002883-1.60%0.00279-4.78%0.0106✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002961-1.61%0.002745-8.80%0.0403✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002919-1.37%0.00289-2.36%0.0070✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002886-1.01%0.00294+0.86%0.0030✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002972-0.93%0.00325+8.33%0.0646✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00311-0.95%0.00313-0.32%0.0156✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003376-1.28%0.00303-11.40%0.1119✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002886-0.31%0.00293+1.21%0.0103✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002799-0.03%0.00301+7.50%0.0672✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002842+0.06%0.00296+4.23%0.0506✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002946+0.04%0.002915-1.02%0.0184✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.0029+0.18%0.003+3.63%0.0711✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002536+0.63%0.00314+24.60%0.1795✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002641+0.42%0.00342+30.04%0.2252✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002888-0.25%0.002895+0.00%0.0326✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002629-1.18%0.0028+5.26%0.0202✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002375-1.03%0.00284+18.33%0.0926✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002423-1.29%0.002945+19.96%0.0797✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002529-0.64%0.002895+13.75%0.0434✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002547-1.26%0.00252-2.33%0.0590✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002661-1.46%0.00263-2.59%0.0565✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002703-1.53%0.002895+5.46%0.0302✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002565-1.53%0.00266+2.11%0.0386✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002833-0.93%0.0024-16.08%0.1423✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002708-0.45%0.002455-9.74%0.0671✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002626+0.05%0.002545-3.05%0.0219✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002683+0.30%0.00258-3.55%0.0001✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002755+0.36%0.0027-1.64%0.0088✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002633-0.09%0.002745+4.17%0.0680✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002869-0.39%0.002605-9.55%0.0494✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002872-1.99%0.00286-2.39%0.0158✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003127-2.58%0.00272-15.26%0.1520✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002956-2.28%0.002625-13.22%0.1254✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002521-1.54%0.002675+4.49%0.0176✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002511-1.34%0.002745+7.86%0.0695✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002737-1.71%0.002635-5.39%0.0609✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002806-1.19%0.00288+1.41%0.0141✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002659-0.98%0.00293+9.12%0.1175✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002682-0.86%0.00321+18.67%0.1932✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002847-0.64%0.003025+5.58%0.0656✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003028-0.87%0.00256-16.20%0.1672✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002932-0.78%0.002545-13.87%0.1565✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003031-0.29%0.002785-8.39%0.0786✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.00299-1.64%0.00284-6.58%0.1483✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003035-2.09%0.002685-13.39%0.2775✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002982-1.90%0.002705-11.02%0.3499✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003166-1.97%0.002865-11.30%0.3429✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002986-1.77%0.003055+0.49%0.2220✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003028-1.69%0.002955-4.06%0.2507✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002882-1.48%0.00304+3.93%0.1912✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002883-1.43%0.00304+3.93%0.1147✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003137-1.67%0.0031-2.82%0.0952✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002904-1.41%0.00304+3.23%0.0328✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003358-1.96%0.00323-5.69%0.0406✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002991-1.61%0.00304+0.00%0.0184✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003039-1.64%0.00308-0.32%0.0134✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003251-1.78%0.002925-11.63%0.1053✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003643-2.19%0.002925-21.48%0.2188✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.0047-5.62%0.00319-35.94%0.3868✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002952-1.26%0.002945-1.51%0.0037✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003136-1.40%0.003425+7.70%0.0893✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.00324-1.51%0.00304-7.60%0.0612✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.00321-1.22%0.00309-4.92%0.0329✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003105-0.81%0.00331+5.75%0.0693✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003184-0.96%0.003725+15.86%0.1556✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003415-1.03%0.00498+44.35%0.3799✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003591-1.06%0.00299-17.63%0.1825✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003615-0.96%0.00318-12.88%0.1290✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003734-1.21%0.00329-12.96%0.1341✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003661-0.92%0.00325-12.04%0.1248✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003662-0.75%0.00313-15.18%0.1605✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003798-0.95%0.003215-16.17%0.1679✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003954-1.15%0.00345-13.75%0.1441✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003936-1.10%0.00363-8.79%0.0906✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003853-0.69%0.00365-5.93%0.0590✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004076-0.82%0.00378-8.03%0.0733✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004038-0.67%0.003695-9.10%0.0903✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004187-0.66%0.00369-12.46%0.1258✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00429-0.70%0.003835-11.23%0.1085✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004471-1.30%0.004-11.70%0.1056✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003744+1.46%0.00398+7.86%0.0668✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00416+1.46%0.00388-5.37%0.0652✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004279+0.81%0.00411-3.18%0.0385✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004393+0.88%0.004065-6.66%0.0726✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004729+0.18%0.004215-10.70%0.1161✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005303-0.51%0.00432-18.95%0.2027✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004952+0.66%0.00453-7.93%0.0794✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006152-1.41%0.00369-40.87%0.5012✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007268-2.18%0.0041-44.82%0.5838✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007911-2.46%0.004245-47.66%0.6220✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.00761-2.44%0.004355-44.17%0.5559✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008049-2.61%0.00472-42.89%0.5286✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008327-2.72%0.00533-37.73%0.4412✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.00772-2.41%0.00492-37.80%0.4415✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00837-2.67%0.00624-27.44%0.2811✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008786-3.35%0.00743-18.26%0.1544✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.00696-2.11%0.00811+14.06%0.1720✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007617-2.59%0.0078-0.26%0.0393✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007878-2.74%0.008265+2.04%0.0602✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007777-2.72%0.00856+7.07%0.1048✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007659-2.81%0.00791+0.38%0.0287✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008317-3.40%0.0086-0.12%0.0148✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.00867-3.56%0.00909+1.11%0.0282✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008382-3.54%0.00711-18.18%0.1841✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009155-3.93%0.00782-17.94%0.1805✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008789-3.89%0.0081-11.43%0.0999✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008594-3.76%0.007995-10.47%0.0881✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009286-4.37%0.00788-18.85%0.1843✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009721-4.50%0.00861-15.42%0.1368✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009147-4.31%0.00899-5.96%0.0272✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008089-3.70%0.00869+3.45%0.0595✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009072-4.20%0.00953+0.63%0.0484✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007262-3.04%0.009145+22.10%0.2302✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007178-3.00%0.00893+20.68%0.2148✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007323-2.88%0.00971+28.78%0.2975✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00646-1.08%0.01018+55.90%0.4742✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00703-2.37%0.00956+32.78%0.3264✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007589-3.08%0.0084+7.28%0.1190✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.00785-2.85%0.00947+17.20%0.2148✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007689-2.55%0.00749-5.07%0.0091✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008495-3.91%0.0074-16.29%0.1401✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008718-4.09%0.00754-17.05%0.1604✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009275-4.87%0.00653-33.03%0.3738✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011539-7.91%0.0072-42.54%0.6154✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008855-5.65%0.00783-16.57%0.2585✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.00845-5.16%0.00808-9.32%0.2095✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009972-9.35%0.00789-28.27%0.3761✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007141-2.04%0.00884+21.26%0.1143✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007301-2.98%0.00909+20.80%0.1224✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007418-3.29%0.00975+27.12%0.1852✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008461-5.25%0.01253+40.31%0.3674✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009365-6.02%0.009385-5.82%0.0101✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009995-6.15%0.00891-16.34%0.1196✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011332-6.92%0.011-9.65%0.0318✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012717-8.05%0.00729-47.29%0.5651✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012241-7.33%0.007525-43.04%0.4924✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.01615-8.78%0.00767-56.68%0.7456✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018002-12.40%0.00893-56.55%0.7016✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015679-10.10%0.009965-42.86%0.4516✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016338-10.33%0.01065-41.55%0.4225✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.01945-14.28%0.012175-46.34%0.4573✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.01513-11.99%0.01383-19.55%0.0713✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018123-16.94%0.01321-39.46%0.3062✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006125-9.73%0.017705+160.94%1.1150✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004123-6.29%0.02055+367.05%1.6867✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002431-0.35%0.01744+614.75%2.0596✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002415-0.63%0.01822+649.79%2.0681✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002361-0.80%0.02269+853.36%2.2847✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002258-0.54%0.01719+657.27%2.0098✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002229-0.48%0.02182+874.11%2.3236✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002338-0.74%0.006785+188.11%1.0706✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002285-0.65%0.0044+91.30%0.6329✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002387-0.94%0.00244+1.24%0.0219✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002452-1.11%0.00243-2.02%0.0331✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002397-0.96%0.00238-1.65%0.0308✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002606-1.49%0.00227-14.18%0.1844✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002696-1.78%0.00224-18.40%0.2565✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002885-2.22%0.002355-20.17%0.2601✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002859-2.10%0.0023-21.23%0.2489✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003039-2.59%0.00241-22.76%0.2305✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.0027-1.83%0.00248-9.82%0.0976✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00318-2.74%0.00242-25.99%0.2828✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003263-2.88%0.002645-21.28%0.1851✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003341-3.01%0.002745-20.32%0.1655✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003176-2.89%0.00295-9.79%0.0733✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003439-3.39%0.00292-17.98%0.1824✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003424-3.43%0.00312-11.99%0.1532✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003366-3.15%0.00275-20.86%0.2264✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003414-3.29%0.00327-7.37%0.0477✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003692-3.86%0.00336-12.50%0.1352✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003484-3.36%0.003445-4.44%0.0555✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003457-3.43%0.00327-8.66%0.0845✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003408-3.73%0.00356+0.56%0.0247✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003848-4.16%0.003545-11.71%0.1285✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003923-4.67%0.003475-15.55%0.1612✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003854-4.71%0.00353-12.73%0.1491✓1.12
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