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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
81.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5781
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0757
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.00262-4.19%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002614-3.90%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002617-3.96%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002922-4.98%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002576-4.43%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002579-4.29%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002629-4.24%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002657-3.91%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002757-2.74%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002668-2.97%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002746-2.81%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002744-3.40%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002698-3.29%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002662-3.02%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002806-2.90%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002868-2.46%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003138-3.43%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003028-3.25%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002929-3.35%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002848-2.80%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002909-3.37%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002877-2.81%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002863-1.78%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002958-1.41%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003097-1.37%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003366-1.58%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002914+0.65%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002842+1.51%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002896+1.98%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.003024+2.68%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.00301+3.96%0.002735-5.53%0.0491✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002592+2.85%0.00272+7.94%0.0297✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002696+2.52%0.002725+3.61%0.0042✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002932+1.29%0.003075+6.22%0.0349✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002606-2.04%0.002695+1.32%0.0195✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002347-2.20%0.002695+12.29%0.0812✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002386-2.80%0.002745+11.81%0.0672✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002515-1.18%0.002765+8.64%0.0566✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00251-2.73%0.002835+9.88%0.0532✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002616-3.13%0.00275+1.85%0.0003✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002655-3.27%0.002825+2.91%0.0048✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002524-3.10%0.00284+9.02%0.0456✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002842-0.64%0.00279-2.45%0.0636✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002705-0.56%0.002745+0.92%0.0189✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00263+0.20%0.00289+10.10%0.0521✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.0027+0.94%0.00294+9.91%0.0305✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00279+1.64%0.00325+18.40%0.0892✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002652+0.64%0.00313+18.79%0.0973✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002893+0.45%0.00303+5.21%0.0133✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002817-3.86%0.00293+0.00%0.0438✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003067-4.45%0.00301-6.23%0.1041✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002935-2.98%0.00296-2.15%0.0526✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00249-2.72%0.002915+13.87%0.0659✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002498-1.86%0.003+17.88%0.1203✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.0027-3.06%0.00314+12.75%0.0713✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002815-0.87%0.00342+20.42%0.1456✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002676-0.34%0.002895+7.82%0.0214✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002708+0.12%0.0028+3.51%0.0332✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002891+0.89%0.00284-0.87%0.0780✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003058+0.10%0.002945-3.60%0.1407✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002963+0.27%0.002895-2.03%0.1376✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003118+2.57%0.00252-17.11%0.2476✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002944-3.16%0.00263-13.49%0.2216✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002947-4.95%0.002895-6.61%0.1998✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002896-4.75%0.00266-12.50%0.3006✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003075-4.81%0.0024-25.70%0.4468✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002905-4.44%0.002455-19.24%0.3809✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002952-4.14%0.002545-17.37%0.3910✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.00282-3.60%0.00258-11.79%0.3115✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002824-3.44%0.0027-7.69%0.2801✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003062-4.01%0.002745-13.95%0.2943✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002844-3.41%0.002605-11.54%0.2240✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003265-4.67%0.00286-16.50%0.1744✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00292-3.94%0.00272-10.53%0.0837✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002965-4.05%0.002625-15.05%0.1225✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003164-4.40%0.002675-19.18%0.1703✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003537-5.06%0.002745-26.31%0.2676✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004496-9.72%0.002635-47.09%0.5436✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00289-3.35%0.00288-3.68%0.0318✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003062-3.71%0.00293-7.86%0.0166✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003166-3.78%0.00321-2.43%0.0386✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003133-3.59%0.003025-6.92%0.0006✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.00305-2.56%0.00256-18.21%0.1407✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003129-2.66%0.002545-20.84%0.1711✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003348-2.95%0.002785-19.28%0.1386✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003528-2.81%0.00284-21.76%0.1625✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003552-2.68%0.002685-26.44%0.2318✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003669-2.93%0.002705-28.44%0.2573✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003598-2.61%0.002865-22.46%0.1789✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00361-2.16%0.003055-17.21%0.1336✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003739-2.51%0.002955-22.95%0.1983✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003892-2.70%0.00304-24.00%0.2078✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003886-2.36%0.00304-23.62%0.2238✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003799-2.08%0.0031-20.10%0.1910✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004012-2.38%0.00304-26.03%0.2775✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003972-2.28%0.00323-20.54%0.2079✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004104-2.64%0.00304-27.88%0.3032✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004196-2.88%0.00308-28.70%0.3112✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004363-3.69%0.002925-35.43%0.4072✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00362-1.89%0.002925-20.73%0.2192✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004015-2.08%0.00319-22.20%0.2282✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004144-2.38%0.002945-30.62%0.3419✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004252-2.35%0.003425-21.35%0.2157✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004573-3.12%0.00304-35.59%0.4050✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005134-3.68%0.00309-42.03%0.5013✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004811-2.22%0.00331-32.72%0.3635✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005967-4.38%0.003725-40.30%0.4654✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007003-5.75%0.00498-32.97%0.3370✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007596-6.33%0.00299-63.13%0.9310✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007297-6.45%0.00318-59.23%0.8294✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007698-6.86%0.00329-60.19%0.8469✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007942-7.22%0.00325-62.03%0.8898✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007376-6.76%0.00313-60.43%0.8459✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007964-7.39%0.003215-62.62%0.8910✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008324-8.43%0.00345-62.05%0.8679✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006616-6.95%0.00363-48.95%0.5800✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00723-7.55%0.00365-53.32%0.6649✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007468-7.80%0.00378-53.33%0.6555✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007358-7.96%0.003695-53.78%0.6665✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007244-8.07%0.00369-53.17%0.6641✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007835-9.01%0.003835-55.46%0.7041✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008165-9.17%0.004-55.51%0.7033✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007881-9.31%0.00398-54.20%0.6671✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008582-9.95%0.00388-59.29%0.7888✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.00823-10.01%0.00411-55.06%0.6882✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008049-9.86%0.004065-54.48%0.6739✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008637-11.06%0.004215-56.59%0.7205✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009029-11.31%0.00432-57.56%0.7467✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008524-10.84%0.00453-52.62%0.6386✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007569-9.90%0.00369-56.07%0.7218✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008464-10.62%0.0041-56.71%0.7332✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006772-9.58%0.004245-43.32%0.4660✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006677-9.77%0.004355-41.15%0.4263✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006795-9.88%0.00472-37.40%0.3507✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005964-8.67%0.00533-18.38%0.1049✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00653-9.31%0.00492-31.67%0.2881✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007042-10.07%0.00624-20.31%0.1207✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007261-10.14%0.00743-8.04%0.0471✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.0071-10.01%0.00811+2.79%0.1504✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007804-11.72%0.0078-11.76%0.0068✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007983-12.18%0.008265-9.08%0.0260✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008445-13.39%0.00856-12.21%0.0103✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010287-17.90%0.00791-36.87%0.4655✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008002-14.74%0.0086-8.36%0.1342✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007626-14.41%0.00909+2.02%0.0012✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.008866-19.40%0.00711-35.36%0.3826✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006406-12.13%0.00782+7.27%0.0566✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.00656-12.83%0.0081+7.64%0.0718✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006687-12.82%0.007995+4.24%0.0149✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007634-14.51%0.00788-11.76%0.0428✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008433-15.37%0.00861-13.60%0.0352✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008995-15.54%0.00899-15.59%0.0228✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010155-16.59%0.00869-28.62%0.1687✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011382-17.70%0.00953-31.09%0.2081✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.010991-16.80%0.009145-30.77%0.2116✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.01447-18.27%0.00893-49.56%0.4987✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.016026-22.01%0.00971-52.75%0.4769✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.014057-19.40%0.01018-41.63%0.2732✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014715-19.24%0.00956-47.53%0.3833✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017408-23.28%0.0084-62.98%0.6847✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013776-19.86%0.00947-44.91%0.2794✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.01618-25.85%0.00749-65.67%0.6746✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005939-12.47%0.0074+9.06%0.4870✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004268-3.01%0.00754+71.36%0.9495✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002525+3.49%0.00653+167.62%1.3770✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002476+1.88%0.0072+196.30%1.4285✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002415+1.47%0.00783+228.99%1.5397✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002301+1.37%0.00808+255.95%1.6716✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002282+1.89%0.00789+252.23%1.6984✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002372+0.73%0.00884+275.37%1.5455✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002316+0.70%0.00909+295.22%1.5793✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002391-0.78%0.00975+304.56%1.5640✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002449-1.27%0.01253+405.24%1.7275✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002392-1.14%0.009385+287.81%1.4259✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002568-2.91%0.00891+236.86%1.2773✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002645-3.66%0.011+300.73%1.4569✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002799-5.11%0.00729+147.12%0.9939✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002783-4.69%0.007525+157.71%1.0346✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002939-5.81%0.00767+145.83%0.9959✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002648-3.72%0.00893+224.73%1.2207✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003048-6.80%0.009965+204.74%1.1908✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003127-6.94%0.01065+216.96%1.2460✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003186-7.52%0.012175+253.41%1.3756✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003033-7.24%0.01383+322.94%1.5024✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003249-8.72%0.01321+271.07%1.3824✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003236-8.72%0.017705+399.44%1.6625✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003192-8.15%0.02055+491.37%1.8468✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003239-8.23%0.01744+394.05%1.6794✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003469-9.67%0.01822+374.48%1.6200✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003287-8.81%0.02269+529.40%1.8767✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003255-9.08%0.01719+380.17%1.5752✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003201-9.58%0.02182+516.38%1.8562✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003565-11.20%0.006785+68.99%0.5023✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003606-12.37%0.0044+6.93%0.0737✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003537-12.55%0.00244-39.68%0.5043✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003374-12.35%0.00243-36.88%0.4565✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003505-13.02%0.00238-40.94%0.5200✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.00373-14.36%0.00227-47.88%0.6139✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003327-12.10%0.00224-40.82%0.5650✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003561-12.95%0.002355-42.42%0.5739✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.00368-12.38%0.0023-45.24%0.6427✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.00361-12.49%0.00241-41.58%0.5643✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003586-12.44%0.00248-39.44%0.5312✓1.00
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