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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
51.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0789
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0030
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.00273-0.20%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002715-0.18%0.002735+0.55%0.0103✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002719-0.21%0.00272-0.18%0.0133✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003058-0.57%0.002725-11.38%0.1131✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002689-0.21%0.003075+14.10%0.1265✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002689-0.21%0.002695+0.00%0.0036✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002739-0.23%0.002695-1.82%0.0087✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002759-0.21%0.002745-0.72%0.0118✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002831-0.14%0.002765-2.47%0.0053✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002746-0.14%0.002835+3.09%0.0165✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00282-0.17%0.00275-2.65%0.0070✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002834-0.21%0.002825-0.53%0.0104✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002785-0.17%0.00284+1.79%0.0160✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002742-0.12%0.00279+1.64%0.0092✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002886-0.15%0.002745-5.02%0.0358✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002937-0.11%0.00289-1.70%0.0047✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003241-0.29%0.00294-9.54%0.0952✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003124-0.21%0.00325+3.83%0.0482✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003023-0.22%0.00313+3.30%0.0152✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002923-0.24%0.00303+3.41%0.0333✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003005-0.17%0.00293-2.66%0.0214✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002957-0.10%0.00301+1.69%0.0036✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002915-0.01%0.00296+1.54%0.0163✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003+0.01%0.002915-2.83%0.0308✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00314-0.00%0.003-4.46%0.0346✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003413-0.20%0.00314-8.19%0.0840✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002899+0.12%0.00342+18.13%0.1616✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002805+0.18%0.002895+3.39%0.0350✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002846+0.19%0.0028-1.41%0.0162✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002949+0.15%0.00284-3.57%0.0172✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002898+0.11%0.002945+1.73%0.0207✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002528+0.31%0.002895+14.88%0.0800✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002637+0.25%0.00252-4.18%0.0445✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002896+0.03%0.00263-9.15%0.1003✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002656-0.15%0.002895+8.83%0.0382✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002399-0.05%0.00266+10.83%0.1011✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002452-0.12%0.0024-2.24%0.0280✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002545+0.01%0.002455-3.54%0.0058✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002577-0.12%0.002545-1.36%0.0279✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002695-0.19%0.00258-4.44%0.0382✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002739-0.22%0.0027-1.64%0.0149✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002599-0.21%0.002745+5.37%0.0466✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002852-0.29%0.002605-8.92%0.0712✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002719-0.05%0.00286+5.15%0.0524✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002627+0.08%0.00272+3.62%0.0415✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002678+0.11%0.002625-1.87%0.0064✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002749+0.14%0.002675-2.55%0.0328✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002637+0.07%0.002745+4.17%0.0386✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002879-0.03%0.002635-8.51%0.0731✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002921-0.32%0.00288-1.71%0.0606✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003188-0.68%0.00293-8.72%0.0834✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003004-0.70%0.00321+6.12%0.0812✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002555-0.18%0.003025+18.16%0.1545✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002541-0.15%0.00256+0.59%0.0145✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002778-0.23%0.002545-8.62%0.0927✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002835-0.18%0.002785-1.94%0.0123✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002683-0.09%0.00284+5.77%0.0425✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002704-0.05%0.002685-0.74%0.0128✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002865-0.01%0.002705-5.58%0.0521✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003053-0.07%0.002865-6.22%0.0795✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002954-0.02%0.003055+3.38%0.0249✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003041+0.04%0.002955-2.80%0.0128✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003036-0.13%0.00304+0.00%0.0704✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003094-0.18%0.00304-1.94%0.0792✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003035-0.15%0.0031+1.97%0.0687✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003223-0.20%0.00304-5.88%0.0624✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003035-0.15%0.00323+6.25%0.0325✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003076-0.13%0.00304-1.30%0.0086✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002923-0.07%0.00308+5.30%0.0515✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002924-0.05%0.002925+0.00%0.0089✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003186-0.11%0.002925-8.31%0.0858✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002944-0.03%0.00319+8.32%0.0816✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003418-0.21%0.002945-14.01%0.1477✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003038-0.07%0.003425+12.66%0.1209✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003088-0.06%0.00304-1.62%0.0157✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003306-0.11%0.00309-6.65%0.0677✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003713-0.32%0.00331-11.14%0.1156✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004852-2.57%0.003725-25.20%0.2641✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00299+0.01%0.00498+66.56%0.5114✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003179-0.04%0.00299-5.97%0.0599✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003286-0.11%0.00318-3.34%0.0329✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.00325-0.01%0.00329+1.23%0.0142✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003133+0.08%0.00325+3.83%0.0366✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003217+0.06%0.00313-2.64%0.0329✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003451+0.04%0.003215-6.81%0.0680✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003631+0.03%0.00345-4.96%0.0509✗-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003652+0.05%0.00363-0.55%0.0055✗-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00378-0.01%0.00365-3.44%0.0415✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003698+0.07%0.00378+2.30%0.0259✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003694+0.11%0.003695+0.14%0.0008✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003837+0.06%0.00369-3.78%0.0425✗-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.004+0.00%0.003835-4.13%0.0458✗-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00398+0.01%0.004+0.50%0.0034✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003885+0.13%0.00398+2.58%0.0282✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004113+0.08%0.00388-5.60%0.0567✗-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.00407+0.11%0.00411+1.11%0.0095✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004219+0.10%0.004065-3.56%0.0345✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004321+0.03%0.004215-2.43%0.0246✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004521-0.21%0.00432-4.64%0.0494✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00371+0.55%0.00453+22.76%0.1986✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004121+0.52%0.00369-10.00%0.1064✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004262+0.40%0.0041-3.42%0.0417✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004374+0.43%0.004245-2.53%0.0300✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004734+0.30%0.004355-7.73%0.0851✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005338+0.16%0.00472-11.44%0.1195✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004941+0.42%0.00533+8.33%0.0796✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00624-0.01%0.00492-21.15%0.2443✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007416-0.19%0.00624-16.02%0.1770✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008088-0.27%0.00743-8.38%0.0836✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007781-0.25%0.00811+3.97%0.0430✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00824-0.30%0.0078-5.63%0.0531✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008531-0.34%0.008265-3.45%0.0286✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007889-0.27%0.00856+8.22%0.0877✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008567-0.38%0.00791-8.02%0.0760✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009023-0.74%0.0086-5.39%0.0539✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007095-0.21%0.00909+27.85%0.2511✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007793-0.35%0.00711-9.08%0.0941✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008068-0.40%0.00782-3.46%0.0315✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007965-0.37%0.0081+1.31%0.0183✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007853-0.34%0.007995+1.46%0.0134✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00857-0.47%0.00788-8.48%0.0913✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008943-0.53%0.00861-4.23%0.0444✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008648-0.48%0.00899+3.45%0.0424✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009474-0.59%0.00869-8.81%0.0915✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009095-0.55%0.00953+4.21%0.0506✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008885-0.50%0.009145+2.41%0.0317✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009649-0.63%0.00893-8.03%0.0864✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010109-0.70%0.00971-4.62%0.0462✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00949-0.73%0.01018+6.49%0.0674✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008355-0.53%0.00956+13.81%0.1374✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009385-0.90%0.0084-11.30%0.1061✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007454-0.48%0.00947+26.44%0.2439✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007365-0.47%0.00749+1.22%0.0167✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007501-0.51%0.0074-1.86%0.0027✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006531+0.02%0.00754+15.47%0.1424✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007181-0.27%0.00653-9.31%0.1034✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007794-0.45%0.0072-8.05%0.0811✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008049-0.38%0.00783-3.09%0.0088✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007872-0.23%0.00808+2.41%0.0249✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008791-0.56%0.00789-10.75%0.1331✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009037-0.59%0.00884-2.75%0.0234✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009674-0.78%0.00909-6.77%0.0741✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012229-2.40%0.00975-22.19%0.3055✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009272-1.21%0.01253+33.51%0.2730✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008812-1.10%0.009385+5.33%0.0608✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010574-3.88%0.00891-19.00%0.1670✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007265-0.34%0.011+50.89%0.4135✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007476-0.65%0.00729-3.12%0.0323✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007624-0.59%0.007525-1.89%0.0269✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008829-1.13%0.00767-14.11%0.1466✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009825-1.41%0.00893-10.39%0.0945✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010499-1.41%0.009965-6.43%0.0517✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011942-1.92%0.01065-12.53%0.1133✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013454-2.72%0.012175-11.97%0.1044✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012918-2.21%0.01383+4.69%0.0683✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017104-3.39%0.01321-25.39%0.2576✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019298-6.09%0.017705-13.84%0.0859✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016658-4.48%0.02055+17.83%0.2118✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017352-4.76%0.01744-4.28%0.0077✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020958-7.63%0.01822-19.70%0.1371✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016126-6.19%0.02269+32.00%0.3520✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019723-9.61%0.01719-21.22%0.1471✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006405-5.60%0.02182+221.59%1.2427✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004228-3.92%0.006785+54.20%0.4935✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002438-0.07%0.0044+80.33%0.5989✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002428-0.08%0.00244+0.41%0.0229✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002377-0.14%0.00243+2.10%0.0132✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002271+0.02%0.00238+4.85%0.0436✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002241+0.03%0.00227+1.34%0.0412✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002355-0.02%0.00224-4.88%0.0562✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002301+0.03%0.002355+2.39%0.0107✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.00241-0.00%0.0023-4.56%0.0624✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002479-0.05%0.00241-2.82%0.0267✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002421+0.02%0.00248+2.48%0.0188✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002642-0.10%0.00242-8.51%0.1125✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00274-0.18%0.002645-3.64%0.0425✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002942-0.26%0.002745-6.95%0.0621✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002913-0.23%0.00295+1.03%0.0260✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003107-0.41%0.00292-6.41%0.0456✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002746-0.16%0.00312+13.45%0.1152✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00326-0.31%0.00275-15.90%0.1724✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003347-0.40%0.00327-2.68%0.0129✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003432-0.38%0.00336-2.47%0.0221✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003259-0.33%0.003445+5.35%0.0326✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003544-0.45%0.00327-8.15%0.0865✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003527-0.51%0.00356+0.42%0.0165✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003462-0.37%0.003545+2.01%0.0487✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003513-0.48%0.003475-1.56%0.0068✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003813-0.69%0.00353-8.07%0.1029✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00359-0.41%0.00384+6.52%0.0629✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003565-0.42%0.003605+0.70%0.0023✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.00352-0.56%0.00358+1.13%0.0205✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003991-0.59%0.00354-11.83%0.1757✓1.10
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