SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +7d
assessed
92
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
40.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0226
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0103
actual -0.0008
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 771.035 | 760.1885 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 769.995 | 759.9214 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 760.7535 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 756.6717 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 755.9167 | -1.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 749.1306 | -1.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 750.9696 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 760.3788 | -1.42% | 771.035 | -0.04% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 757.0102 | -1.44% | 769.995 | +0.25% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 768.0451 | -1.35% | 771.485 | -0.91% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 766.3405 | -1.52% | 768.255 | -1.27% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 769.4871 | -1.47% | 767.73 | -1.70% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 767.2888 | -1.51% | 760.825 | -2.34% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 767.7422 | -1.45% | 762.325 | -2.14% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 763.659 | -1.45% | 771.365 | -0.46% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 767.8071 | -1.29% | 768.04 | -1.26% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 772.3218 | -0.98% | 778.575 | -0.18% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 767.8894 | -0.93% | 778.155 | +0.40% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 764.252 | -0.86% | 780.995 | +1.31% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 763.1138 | -1.01% | 779.025 | +1.05% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 763.1873 | -0.86% | 779.035 | +1.20% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 758.9197 | -0.81% | 774.915 | +1.28% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 758.5056 | -0.96% | 777.815 | +1.56% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 759.2087 | -0.90% | 779.94 | +1.81% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 759.3337 | -0.90% | 775.085 | +1.16% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 763.6241 | -0.82% | 770.915 | +0.13% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 764.1394 | -0.80% | 770.925 | +0.08% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 765.5971 | -0.82% | 769.8 | -0.27% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 760.6959 | -0.72% | 765.105 | -0.14% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 762.35 | -0.70% | 765.845 | -0.24% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 768.7694 | -0.61% | 766.09 | -0.96% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 768.7103 | -0.65% | 766.2 | -0.97% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 757.223 | -0.80% | 769.91 | +0.87% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 755.5502 | -0.94% | 770.34 | +1.00% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 759.1883 | -0.50% | 771.89 | +1.16% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 769.2315 | +0.88% | 766.21 | +0.49% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 766.9988 | +1.19% | 767.7 | +1.28% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 769.0041 | +1.37% | 773.525 | +1.97% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 772.6389 | +1.52% | 773.705 | +1.66% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 774.1664 | +1.86% | 763.305 | +0.43% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 781.3247 | +2.13% | 762.725 | -0.30% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 784.4084 | +2.54% | 763.025 | -0.26% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 776.8588 | +2.51% | 762.5 | +0.61% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 782.2343 | +2.50% | 757.98 | -0.68% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 782.7493 | +2.22% | 758.605 | -0.93% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 787.5758 | +2.41% | 761.035 | -1.04% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 787.6641 | +2.30% | 760.005 | -1.29% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 788.6766 | +2.25% | 765.035 | -0.82% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 786.197 | +2.12% | 764.985 | -0.63% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 787.6555 | +2.00% | 757.865 | -1.85% | 0.0329 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 774.8884 | +1.22% | 763.135 | -0.31% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 769.7625 | +1.01% | 765.76 | +0.48% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 774.0888 | +0.84% | 769.03 | +0.18% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 769.4847 | +0.39% | 769.955 | +0.45% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 774.1787 | +0.43% | 771.335 | +0.06% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 772.8327 | +0.48% | 769.845 | +0.09% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 774.7304 | +0.65% | 772.18 | +0.32% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 771.2801 | +0.10% | 765.52 | -0.64% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 762.868 | -0.30% | 762.065 | -0.40% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 759.9987 | -0.50% | 767.635 | +0.50% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 759.1146 | -0.90% | 766.5 | +0.06% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 756.6185 | -1.14% | 770.89 | +0.73% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 759.2396 | -0.98% | 769.17 | +0.32% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 749.3517 | -1.80% | 769.72 | +0.87% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 751.0636 | -2.50% | 770.475 | +0.02% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 745.8555 | -2.80% | 765.15 | -0.29% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 750.9106 | -2.90% | 763.8 | -1.23% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 754.8722 | -2.93% | 766.01 | -1.50% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 753.693 | -3.01% | 765.34 | -1.51% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 752.7114 | -3.07% | 766.75 | -1.27% | 0.0363 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 752.5389 | -3.34% | 763.06 | -1.99% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 747.8748 | -3.24% | 770.3 | -0.34% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 746.3154 | -3.27% | 767.375 | -0.54% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 746.998 | -3.38% | 773.335 | +0.03% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 745.5008 | -3.22% | 777.65 | +0.95% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 748.4097 | -3.29% | 777.08 | +0.42% | 0.0453 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 748.4762 | -3.24% | 776.58 | +0.39% | 0.0447 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 745.5053 | -3.16% | 778.54 | +1.13% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 749.4881 | -2.91% | 772.95 | +0.13% | 0.0494 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 750.2195 | -3.03% | 771.53 | -0.27% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 736.1025 | -3.02% | 773.14 | +1.86% | 0.0421 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 731.7869 | -2.49% | 770.34 | +2.65% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 726.5299 | -2.50% | 773.83 | +3.85% | 0.0295 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 727.5278 | -2.41% | 773.54 | +3.76% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 727.4043 | -2.32% | 769.85 | +3.38% | 0.0638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 717.143 | -2.27% | 771.95 | +5.20% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 726.5167 | -2.30% | 773.64 | +4.04% | 0.0597 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 722.5495 | -2.35% | 759.05 | +2.58% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 727.5364 | -2.47% | 750.47 | +0.61% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 724.5792 | -2.40% | 745.165 | +0.38% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 722.4958 | -2.39% | 745.49 | +0.72% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 722.4721 | -2.36% | 744.68 | +0.64% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 730.5935 | -2.27% | 733.825 | -1.83% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 733.166 | -2.15% | 743.59 | -0.76% | 0.0551 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 726.0874 | -2.32% | 739.94 | -0.45% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 729.5253 | -2.29% | 745.955 | -0.09% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 728.0274 | -2.27% | 742.375 | -0.34% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 728.333 | -2.16% | 740.185 | -0.57% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 735.0465 | -2.08% | 739.95 | -1.43% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |