SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
48.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0065
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0025
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 769.8278 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 770.099 | -0.18% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 766.4996 | -0.23% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 766.1167 | -0.21% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 759.2988 | -0.20% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 760.839 | -0.19% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 769.9516 | -0.18% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 766.5192 | -0.20% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 777.1547 | -0.18% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 776.3788 | -0.23% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 779.3116 | -0.22% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 777.3874 | -0.21% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0037 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 777.5683 | -0.19% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 773.4919 | -0.18% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 776.578 | -0.16% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 779.1943 | -0.10% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0010 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 774.2534 | -0.11% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 770.3185 | -0.08% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 770.1624 | -0.10% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 769.3314 | -0.06% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0018 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 764.7163 | -0.05% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 765.2433 | -0.08% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 765.6141 | -0.06% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 765.7357 | -0.06% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 769.5402 | -0.05% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 769.9936 | -0.04% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 771.5209 | -0.05% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 765.9557 | -0.03% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 767.356 | -0.04% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 773.032 | -0.06% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 772.9183 | -0.10% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0013 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 762.5509 | -0.10% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 760.2997 | -0.32% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 761.3268 | -0.22% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 764.8644 | +0.31% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 760.6657 | +0.35% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 761.4179 | +0.37% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 764.0752 | +0.40% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 763.4081 | +0.45% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 768.7822 | +0.49% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 769.1983 | +0.55% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 761.8355 | +0.52% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 767.0534 | +0.51% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 769.1753 | +0.45% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 772.6582 | +0.47% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 773.3767 | +0.44% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 774.6697 | +0.43% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 772.982 | +0.41% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 775.1715 | +0.39% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 767.462 | +0.25% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 763.6676 | +0.21% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 768.7864 | +0.15% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 766.7981 | +0.04% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 770.8707 | -0.00% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 768.8756 | -0.04% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 768.4863 | -0.16% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0034 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 767.5893 | -0.37% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 760.8173 | -0.57% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 757.9888 | -0.76% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 759.0222 | -0.91% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 757.671 | -1.00% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 758.8724 | -1.03% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 756.3113 | -0.88% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 764.2341 | -0.79% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 762.3071 | -0.66% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 767.9727 | -0.69% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 772.325 | -0.68% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 771.4594 | -0.72% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 770.6191 | -0.77% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 771.1264 | -0.95% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 766.1041 | -0.89% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 764.5266 | -0.91% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 765.4872 | -0.99% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 763.4362 | -0.90% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 766.4852 | -0.95% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 766.3706 | -0.93% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 763.1419 | -0.87% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 766.4475 | -0.71% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 767.3387 | -0.81% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 752.9046 | -0.81% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 747.2754 | -0.43% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 741.6629 | -0.47% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 742.2787 | -0.43% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 741.8115 | -0.39% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 731.0231 | -0.38% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 740.7679 | -0.38% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 737.1928 | -0.37% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 743.0228 | -0.39% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 739.5849 | -0.38% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 737.4653 | -0.37% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 737.2642 | -0.36% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 744.8914 | -0.35% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 746.7988 | -0.33% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 740.1092 | -0.43% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 744.0997 | -0.34% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 742.5198 | -0.32% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 742.2863 | -0.29% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 748.6233 | -0.28% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |