SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +30d
assessed
68
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
57.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0509
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0240
actual -0.0494
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 742.0488 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 743.1159 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 737.959 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 735.2582 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 727.6525 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 730.6605 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 741.1911 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 738.0517 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 751.1189 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 746.5962 | -4.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 751.1868 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 747.7234 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 748.8548 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 743.7863 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 752.4836 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 763.4624 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 761.6443 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 758.2158 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 753.1726 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 755.91 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 752.8964 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 748.8726 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 750.6558 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 750.8458 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 757.505 | -1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 758.1307 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 759.0382 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 756.0426 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 758.5655 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.5925 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 772.5098 | -0.15% | 771.235 | -0.32% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 744.651 | -2.44% | 771.485 | +1.07% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 748.879 | -1.82% | 768.255 | +0.73% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 752.2942 | -1.41% | 767.73 | +0.62% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 741.7951 | -2.72% | 760.825 | -0.22% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 738.8424 | -2.52% | 762.325 | +0.57% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 739.7357 | -2.49% | 771.365 | +1.68% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 746.1521 | -1.96% | 768.04 | +0.92% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 744.4372 | -2.05% | 778.575 | +2.44% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 751.5291 | -1.77% | 778.155 | +1.71% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 757.8972 | -0.93% | 780.995 | +2.09% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 752.8707 | -0.66% | 779.025 | +2.79% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 764.0012 | +0.11% | 779.035 | +2.08% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 768.5257 | +0.36% | 774.915 | +1.20% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 777.6767 | +1.12% | 777.815 | +1.14% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 782.7126 | +1.66% | 779.94 | +1.30% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 789.1305 | +2.31% | 775.085 | +0.49% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 791.0047 | +2.75% | 770.915 | +0.14% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 800.905 | +3.72% | 770.925 | -0.16% | 0.0421 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 780.6523 | +1.98% | 769.8 | +0.56% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 779.2264 | +2.25% | 765.105 | +0.40% | 0.0262 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 788.3232 | +2.70% | 765.845 | -0.23% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 782.7656 | +2.12% | 766.09 | -0.05% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 796.0294 | +3.26% | 766.2 | -0.61% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 804.1082 | +4.54% | 769.91 | +0.10% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 824.0507 | +7.06% | 770.34 | +0.08% | 0.0715 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 820.4648 | +6.49% | 771.89 | +0.18% | 0.0661 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 814.3723 | +6.43% | 766.21 | +0.14% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 822.5209 | +7.69% | 767.7 | +0.51% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 821.8026 | +7.28% | 773.525 | +0.98% | 0.0694 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 818.3458 | +6.93% | 773.705 | +1.09% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 831.71 | +8.47% | 763.305 | -0.45% | 0.0888 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 774.6355 | +1.52% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 743.5483 | -3.47% | 763.025 | -0.94% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 722.2469 | -5.88% | 762.5 | -0.64% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 725.7116 | -6.16% | 757.98 | -1.99% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 727.0413 | -6.51% | 758.605 | -2.45% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 725.1025 | -6.69% | 761.035 | -2.06% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 723.8452 | -6.79% | 760.005 | -2.13% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 724.2087 | -6.98% | 765.035 | -1.73% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 719.3255 | -6.94% | 764.985 | -1.03% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 717.8991 | -6.95% | 757.865 | -1.77% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 718.8775 | -7.02% | 763.135 | -1.29% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 718.1251 | -6.78% | 765.76 | -0.59% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 721.2585 | -6.79% | 769.03 | -0.62% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 721.3541 | -6.75% | 769.955 | -0.46% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 717.7395 | -6.77% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 721.7115 | -6.51% | 769.845 | -0.27% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 722.7493 | -6.58% | 772.18 | -0.19% | 0.1719 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 708.6195 | -6.64% | 765.52 | +0.85% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 702.8277 | -6.35% | 762.065 | +1.55% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 698.4805 | -6.26% | 767.635 | +3.02% | 0.1301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 700.0321 | -6.10% | 766.5 | +2.82% | 0.1213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 701.8639 | -5.75% | 770.89 | +3.52% | 0.0958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 692.4608 | -5.64% | 769.17 | +4.82% | 0.0923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 701.2497 | -5.69% | 769.72 | +3.51% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 696.2412 | -5.91% | 770.475 | +4.13% | 0.1144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 700.984 | -6.03% | 765.15 | +2.57% | 0.0962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 697.9638 | -5.98% | 763.8 | +2.89% | 0.1156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 695.4715 | -6.04% | 766.01 | +3.49% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 696.6717 | -5.85% | 765.34 | +3.43% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 706.9475 | -5.43% | 766.75 | +2.57% | 0.0887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 711.3854 | -5.06% | 763.06 | +1.84% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 703.8904 | -5.30% | 770.3 | +3.63% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 704.5173 | -5.64% | 767.375 | +2.78% | 0.0855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 703.2589 | -5.59% | 773.335 | +3.82% | 0.0999 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 703.7914 | -5.46% | 777.65 | +4.46% | 0.1165 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 711.45 | -5.23% | 777.08 | +3.52% | 0.1001 | ✗ | 1.00 |