SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

169

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0599

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0169

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.010976	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.010984	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010593	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010828	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010889	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011478	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011555	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011762	-2.05%	0.011185	-6.86%	0.0746	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011579	-1.97%	0.011175	-5.39%	0.0641	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.01251	-2.27%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1477	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012684	-2.36%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1423	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012621	-2.20%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1123	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012626	-2.27%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0602	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012604	-2.35%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0563	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012073	-2.20%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0102	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011975	-2.24%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0056	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012315	-2.22%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0654	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012443	-2.29%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0873	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012506	-2.35%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0620	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012354	-2.33%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0649	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012409	-2.55%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0609	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011913	-2.59%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0708	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012161	-2.70%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0104	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012087	-2.84%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0200	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012266	-3.07%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0119	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013354	-3.38%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0642	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.01337	-3.49%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0590	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013018	-3.38%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0266	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012513	-3.10%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0281	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.01214	-3.10%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0385	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012183	-3.06%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0499	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011831	-2.97%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.1034	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011254	-2.66%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1646	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011453	-2.71%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1508	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011477	-2.69%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1197	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.01052	-2.16%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.1060	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010445	-2.16%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0805	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010337	-2.22%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0661	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010421	-2.29%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0593	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009585	-1.71%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1367	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010544	-2.32%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0655	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010419	-1.85%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0819	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010156	-1.49%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0592	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.01074	-1.76%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0180	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.01102	-1.92%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0093	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010778	-1.58%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010625	-1.23%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0438	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010282	-0.92%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0787	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009724	+0.08%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.1158	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009601	+0.79%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1267	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008808	+0.28%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.2043	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008935	-0.01%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.2164	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008817	+0.26%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.2108	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008698	-0.08%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1824	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008392	+0.07%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1934	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008211	-0.29%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1466	✗	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.00815	+0.06%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1441	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008083	-0.62%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.1044	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007796	-0.63%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1506	✗	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007746	-0.69%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1320	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007744	-0.95%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1177	✗	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007607	-1.31%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0826	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007654	-1.06%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0793	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007076	-1.95%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0474	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006783	-3.22%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0466	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006375	-2.51%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0091	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006503	-2.56%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0270	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006488	-2.57%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0364	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006355	-2.47%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0184	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006232	-2.43%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0134	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006327	-2.32%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0190	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006375	-2.39%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0034	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006516	-2.53%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0162	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006622	-2.33%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0020	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006693	-2.43%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0301	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006672	-2.16%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0091	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006707	-1.87%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0154	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006424	-1.39%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0227	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006545	-1.36%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0184	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006561	-1.05%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0277	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006723	-0.84%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0007	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.00673	-0.89%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0041	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006693	-0.84%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0188	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006788	-1.05%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0293	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006959	-1.36%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0580	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006912	-1.55%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0530	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.00747	-1.91%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1228	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007554	-2.15%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1042	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008198	-2.29%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1578	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.0081	-2.40%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1558	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.00804	-2.43%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1370	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008234	-2.50%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1490	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008374	-2.40%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1395	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008441	-2.31%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0582	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008369	-2.29%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0554	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008217	-2.24%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0101	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008229	-1.98%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0169	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.00838	-1.75%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0201	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008256	-1.65%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0012	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008516	-1.66%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0151	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008542	-1.71%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0135	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008416	-1.63%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0339	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008441	-1.68%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0209	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008619	-1.78%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0445	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008608	-1.74%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0049	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.00853	-1.61%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0267	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008448	-1.71%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0198	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008518	-1.98%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0099	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008509	-1.52%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0373	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008517	-1.42%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0051	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.00858	-1.38%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0099	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008594	-1.34%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0104	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008542	-1.42%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0169	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008338	-1.21%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0131	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008062	-0.96%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0155	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008467	-1.21%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0499	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008216	-1.01%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0244	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008329	-0.91%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0137	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008551	-1.03%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0276	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008246	-0.88%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0170	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008332	-0.86%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0318	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.00866	-1.08%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0141	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009158	-1.52%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0004	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008966	-1.21%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0109	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009371	-1.36%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0350	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009199	-1.30%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009164	-1.25%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0419	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009373	-1.23%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0500	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008748	-0.76%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0539	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008815	-0.79%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0947	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008925	-0.84%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0611	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.00856	-0.64%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.1078	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008536	-0.51%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0889	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008528	-0.49%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0966	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008291	-0.11%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0821	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008584	-0.24%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0422	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009074	-0.61%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0751	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008728	-0.37%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008672	+0.14%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0721	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008861	+0.13%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0784	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009597	-0.65%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1092	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010434	-1.01%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1845	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010193	-1.14%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0694	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010819	-1.74%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0193	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011595	-2.56%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0621	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011442	-1.66%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0025	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.01154	-1.66%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0044	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011357	-1.50%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0463	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011885	-1.69%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0942	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012108	-1.72%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0326	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012663	-1.91%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0219	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012509	-1.74%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0163	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.01285	-1.79%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0427	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012557	-1.59%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0272	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013255	-1.89%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0639	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.01276	-1.50%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012624	-1.30%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012823	-1.25%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013215	-1.41%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013579	-1.60%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014485	-1.86%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015615	-2.10%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.01526	-2.12%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1406	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016159	-2.30%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1865	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016097	-2.17%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1546	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016092	-1.97%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015798	-2.00%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015735	-2.02%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015446	-1.99%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015764	-1.90%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015654	-1.98%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015598	-2.08%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0303	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015145	-2.23%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015364	-2.26%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015276	-2.33%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015299	-2.43%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0177	✓	1.00