SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

174

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0212

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0024

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010463	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010764	-0.08%	0.010474	-2.77%	0.0245	✓	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.011001	-0.11%	0.010772	-2.20%	0.0341	✓	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.011059	-0.09%	0.011014	-0.49%	0.0021	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011667	-0.15%	0.011069	-5.28%	0.0602	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011754	-0.17%	0.011685	-0.76%	0.0045	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011982	-0.22%	0.011774	-1.95%	0.0102	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011791	-0.18%	0.012009	+1.66%	0.0117	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.01276	-0.31%	0.011812	-7.72%	0.0598	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012942	-0.38%	0.0128	-1.47%	0.0267	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012857	-0.37%	0.012991	+0.67%	0.0323	✗	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012867	-0.40%	0.012905	-0.11%	0.0056	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012847	-0.46%	0.012919	+0.09%	0.0015	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012298	-0.38%	0.012907	+4.55%	0.0388	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.012195	-0.45%	0.012345	+0.78%	0.0301	✗	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012535	-0.46%	0.01225	-2.73%	0.0019	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012668	-0.52%	0.012594	-1.10%	0.0036	✓	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012739	-0.53%	0.012734	-0.56%	0.0077	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012583	-0.52%	0.012807	+1.25%	0.0014	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012659	-0.59%	0.012649	-0.67%	0.0034	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012158	-0.59%	0.012734	+4.12%	0.0501	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012422	-0.62%	0.01223	-2.15%	0.0299	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012361	-0.65%	0.012499	+0.47%	0.0121	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.01256	-0.74%	0.012441	-1.68%	0.0116	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013684	-0.99%	0.012654	-8.44%	0.0671	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013718	-0.98%	0.013821	-0.23%	0.0070	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013354	-0.89%	0.013853	+2.82%	0.0331	✗	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012823	-0.70%	0.013473	+4.34%	0.0528	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012449	-0.64%	0.012913	+3.07%	0.0365	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012488	-0.64%	0.012528	-0.32%	0.0238	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.012122	-0.59%	0.012568	+3.08%	0.0407	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.0115	-0.54%	0.012193	+5.47%	0.0078	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011703	-0.59%	0.011562	-1.79%	0.0113	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011723	-0.61%	0.011772	-0.19%	0.0004	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010716	-0.33%	0.011794	+9.70%	0.0390	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010642	-0.31%	0.010752	+0.72%	0.0076	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010534	-0.36%	0.010675	+0.98%	0.0061	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010626	-0.37%	0.010572	-0.87%	0.0271	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009741	-0.11%	0.010665	+9.37%	0.0743	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010761	-0.31%	0.009751	-9.66%	0.0932	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.0106	-0.14%	0.010795	+1.69%	0.0175	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010306	-0.04%	0.010615	+2.96%	0.0217	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010923	-0.08%	0.01031	-5.69%	0.0382	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.01122	-0.14%	0.010932	-2.69%	0.0241	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010946	-0.05%	0.011235	+2.59%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010762	+0.04%	0.010951	+1.80%	0.0320	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010383	+0.06%	0.010757	+3.66%	0.0296	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009737	+0.21%	0.010377	+6.80%	0.0619	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009552	+0.28%	0.009716	+2.01%	0.0353	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.00879	+0.07%	0.009525	+8.44%	0.0337	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.00893	-0.07%	0.008784	-1.70%	0.0153	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008788	-0.07%	0.008936	+1.61%	0.0299	✗	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008686	-0.21%	0.008794	+1.02%	0.0021	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008373	-0.16%	0.008705	+3.80%	0.0457	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008215	-0.25%	0.008386	+1.83%	0.0160	✗	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008134	-0.13%	0.008235	+1.10%	0.0420	✗	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008102	-0.38%	0.008145	+0.14%	0.0099	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007829	-0.21%	0.008134	+3.68%	0.0321	✗	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007778	-0.28%	0.007845	+0.58%	0.0142	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007794	-0.32%	0.0078	-0.24%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007669	-0.51%	0.007819	+1.44%	0.0108	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007698	-0.49%	0.007708	-0.36%	0.0174	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007197	-0.27%	0.007736	+7.20%	0.0031	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006977	-0.44%	0.007216	+2.98%	0.0199	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006529	-0.17%	0.007008	+7.16%	0.0003	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006661	-0.20%	0.00654	-2.02%	0.0217	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006646	-0.21%	0.006674	+0.23%	0.0227	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006504	-0.18%	0.006659	+2.21%	0.0267	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006376	-0.18%	0.006515	+2.00%	0.0209	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006465	-0.19%	0.006387	-1.39%	0.0045	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006517	-0.22%	0.006477	-0.82%	0.0063	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006663	-0.33%	0.006531	-2.30%	0.0179	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006759	-0.30%	0.006685	-1.40%	0.0044	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006827	-0.48%	0.00678	-1.17%	0.0093	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.00679	-0.44%	0.00686	+0.59%	0.0113	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006807	-0.40%	0.00682	-0.22%	0.0015	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006505	-0.16%	0.006835	+4.91%	0.0389	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006615	-0.30%	0.006515	-1.81%	0.0095	✓	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006627	-0.05%	0.006635	+0.08%	0.0082	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006779	-0.02%	0.00663	-2.21%	0.0323	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006787	-0.04%	0.00678	-0.15%	0.0005	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006749	-0.01%	0.00679	+0.59%	0.0070	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006857	-0.05%	0.00675	-1.60%	0.0146	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007047	-0.11%	0.00686	-2.76%	0.0067	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.007013	-0.09%	0.007055	+0.50%	0.0083	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007599	-0.20%	0.00702	-7.81%	0.0802	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007701	-0.24%	0.007615	-1.36%	0.0139	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008367	-0.27%	0.00772	-7.99%	0.0532	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008278	-0.26%	0.00839	+1.08%	0.0044	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008224	-0.20%	0.0083	+0.73%	0.0056	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008432	-0.16%	0.00824	-2.43%	0.0066	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008572	-0.10%	0.008445	-1.57%	0.0024	✗	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008633	-0.08%	0.00858	-0.69%	0.0009	✗	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008557	-0.09%	0.00864	+0.88%	0.0116	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008399	-0.07%	0.008565	+1.90%	0.0108	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008394	-0.01%	0.008405	+0.12%	0.0032	✗	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008531	+0.01%	0.008395	-1.58%	0.0312	✗	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008398	+0.04%	0.00853	+1.61%	0.0135	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008662	+0.03%	0.008395	-3.06%	0.0155	✗	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008693	+0.04%	0.00866	-0.35%	0.0007	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008556	+0.01%	0.00869	+1.58%	0.0322	✗	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008587	+0.03%	0.008555	-0.35%	0.0228	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008774	-0.01%	0.008585	-2.17%	0.0212	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008759	-0.01%	0.008775	+0.17%	0.0082	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008672	+0.02%	0.00876	+1.04%	0.0070	✗	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008601	+0.07%	0.00867	+0.87%	0.0090	✗	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008695	+0.06%	0.008595	-1.09%	0.0083	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008652	+0.14%	0.00869	+0.58%	0.0167	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008652	+0.14%	0.00864	+0.00%	0.0090	✗	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008712	+0.14%	0.00864	-0.69%	0.0174	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008721	+0.13%	0.0087	-0.11%	0.0130	✗	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008675	+0.12%	0.00871	+0.52%	0.0156	✗	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008453	+0.15%	0.008665	+2.67%	0.0044	✗	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008157	+0.20%	0.00844	+3.69%	0.0063	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008582	+0.14%	0.00814	-5.02%	0.0215	✗	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008314	+0.17%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.00842	+0.17%	0.0083	-1.25%	0.0057	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008652	+0.14%	0.008405	-2.72%	0.0277	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008337	+0.20%	0.00864	+3.85%	0.0302	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008422	+0.20%	0.00832	-1.01%	0.0116	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.00877	+0.18%	0.008405	-4.00%	0.0125	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009308	+0.09%	0.008755	-5.86%	0.0387	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009093	+0.19%	0.0093	+2.48%	0.0104	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009516	+0.17%	0.009075	-4.47%	0.0309	✗	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009339	+0.20%	0.0095	+1.93%	0.0047	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.0093	+0.22%	0.00932	+0.43%	0.0079	✗	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.00951	+0.21%	0.00928	-2.21%	0.0018	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008843	+0.32%	0.00949	+7.66%	0.0912	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008914	+0.32%	0.008815	-0.79%	0.0004	✓	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.009027	+0.31%	0.008885	-1.28%	0.0259	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008645	+0.35%	0.009	+4.47%	0.0182	✓	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.00861	+0.35%	0.008615	+0.41%	0.0151	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008601	+0.36%	0.00858	+0.12%	0.0019	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008334	+0.41%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0097	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008639	+0.40%	0.0083	-3.54%	0.0357	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009159	+0.32%	0.008605	-5.75%	0.0384	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008792	+0.37%	0.00913	+4.22%	0.0418	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008698	+0.44%	0.00876	+1.15%	0.0382	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.00889	+0.45%	0.00866	-2.15%	0.0228	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009689	+0.30%	0.00885	-8.39%	0.0431	✗	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010557	+0.17%	0.00966	-8.35%	0.0849	✗	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.01033	+0.19%	0.01054	+2.23%	0.0718	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.011014	+0.03%	0.01031	-6.36%	0.0377	✓	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011864	-0.30%	0.01101	-7.48%	0.0294	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011632	-0.03%	0.0119	+2.28%	0.0267	✗	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011731	-0.04%	0.011635	-0.85%	0.0162	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.01153	+0.00%	0.011735	+1.78%	0.0205	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.012084	-0.05%	0.01153	-4.63%	0.0312	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012308	-0.10%	0.01209	-1.87%	0.0123	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012884	-0.20%	0.01232	-4.57%	0.0173	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012707	-0.18%	0.01291	+1.41%	0.0106	✗	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.013057	-0.22%	0.01273	-2.71%	0.0316	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.01274	-0.15%	0.013085	+2.55%	0.0037	✗	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.01346	-0.37%	0.01276	-5.55%	0.0146	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012922	-0.26%	0.01351	+4.28%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012766	-0.18%	0.012955	+1.29%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012962	-0.18%	0.01279	-1.50%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013377	-0.21%	0.012985	-3.13%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013764	-0.26%	0.013405	-2.86%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014714	-0.31%	0.0138	-6.50%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015887	-0.39%	0.01476	-7.46%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015528	-0.40%	0.01595	+2.31%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016458	-0.49%	0.01559	-5.74%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016382	-0.44%	0.01654	+0.52%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.01635	-0.39%	0.016455	+0.24%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.016056	-0.40%	0.016415	+1.83%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015995	-0.41%	0.01612	+0.37%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015701	-0.38%	0.01606	+1.90%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.016012	-0.36%	0.01576	-1.93%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.01591	-0.37%	0.01607	+0.63%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015862	-0.42%	0.01597	+0.25%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.01542	-0.45%	0.01593	+2.84%	0.0162	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015647	-0.47%	0.01549	-1.46%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015568	-0.46%	0.01572	+0.51%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015603	-0.49%	0.01564	-0.26%	0.0226	✓	1.00