SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

146

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

66.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1825

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0435

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.010635	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.010681	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010283	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010484	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010563	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011116	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011193	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.01137	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011166	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012035	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012157	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.01212	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012103	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012069	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011551	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011481	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.011834	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.011955	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012018	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.011864	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.011866	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011383	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011592	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011506	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.011643	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.012637	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.012624	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012301	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.011877	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.011527	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.01159	-7.79%	0.011185	-11.01%	0.0132	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011265	-7.61%	0.011175	-8.35%	0.0215	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.01068	-7.63%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0136	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.010862	-7.74%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0063	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.010879	-7.76%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0028	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.009927	-7.68%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.1000	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.009852	-7.71%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.1111	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.009722	-8.04%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.1295	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.009815	-7.97%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.1446	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.008968	-8.03%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2832	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.009905	-8.24%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.2209	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.009842	-7.29%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1981	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.009628	-6.61%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.2221	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010221	-6.51%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1873	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010497	-6.57%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.1270	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010295	-5.99%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.1283	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010208	-5.10%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.1516	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.009884	-4.75%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1877	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009347	-3.80%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.2413	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009237	-3.02%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2756	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008476	-3.51%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.3240	✗	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008646	-3.24%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.2599	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008606	-2.14%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.3186	✗	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008526	-2.06%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.3120	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008293	-1.11%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.3622	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008163	-0.88%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.4506	✗	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008208	+0.77%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.4749	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008164	+0.38%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.4409	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007866	+0.27%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.4259	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007852	+0.67%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.4032	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007813	-0.08%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3735	✗	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007704	-0.05%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.3443	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007781	+0.58%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.3609	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007003	-2.96%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.4145	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006556	-6.46%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.4285	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006071	-7.17%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.4020	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006185	-7.33%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3746	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006154	-7.59%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3474	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006025	-7.53%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3444	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.00591	-7.47%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2919	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006006	-7.28%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3753	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006047	-7.41%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3454	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006177	-7.59%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.3058	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006308	-6.97%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.3221	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006418	-6.45%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.3476	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006434	-5.66%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.3118	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006487	-5.10%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2676	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006201	-4.82%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2766	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006351	-4.28%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1941	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006381	-3.76%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1391	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006593	-2.76%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0678	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006597	-2.85%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0843	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006571	-2.65%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0403	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006645	-3.13%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0328	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006813	-3.42%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0067	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006735	-4.07%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0180	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007238	-4.95%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1370	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007289	-5.58%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1308	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.0079	-5.83%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2037	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.007782	-6.24%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2246	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007722	-6.28%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.1994	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.007907	-6.37%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2109	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008069	-5.96%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2276	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008158	-5.58%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2243	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008091	-5.54%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2088	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.007945	-5.48%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.1946	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.00801	-4.58%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.1772	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008218	-3.66%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.1922	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008087	-3.67%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2033	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008346	-3.63%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2381	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008368	-3.70%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2300	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008248	-3.59%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2537	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008276	-3.60%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2097	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008446	-3.75%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2222	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008438	-3.68%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2197	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008403	-3.08%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2396	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008335	-3.03%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2460	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008406	-3.27%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2719	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008383	-2.97%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2447	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008401	-2.76%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2453	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008484	-2.48%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2312	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008527	-2.10%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2459	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008496	-1.95%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2542	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008293	-1.74%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2441	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008018	-1.50%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2435	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008427	-1.67%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2510	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008179	-1.45%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1507	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008284	-1.44%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1385	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.00852	-1.39%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1108	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008239	-0.98%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0744	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008367	-0.45%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0709	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008703	-0.59%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0722	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.00919	-1.18%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.1046	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008985	-0.99%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0938	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009354	-1.53%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.1045	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009182	-1.48%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1084	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009146	-1.44%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1175	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009336	-1.62%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0811	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008735	-0.91%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0070	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.0088	-0.95%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0113	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008898	-1.13%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0109	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008532	-0.96%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0410	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008483	-1.13%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0084	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008462	-1.26%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0326	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008208	-1.11%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0177	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008492	-1.31%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0058	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.008956	-1.91%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0268	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008604	-1.78%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0096	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008521	-1.61%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0439	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008704	-1.65%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0543	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009428	-2.41%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0682	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010206	-3.17%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1328	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.009989	-3.11%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0381	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.01053	-4.36%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0453	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.01121	-5.80%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0121	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011063	-4.91%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0423	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011152	-4.97%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0124	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.010974	-4.82%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0334	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.01146	-5.21%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0256	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011646	-5.47%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0224	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012144	-5.93%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0191	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.011995	-5.78%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0129	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012309	-5.93%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0122	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012032	-5.71%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0264	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012673	-6.19%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0218	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012208	-5.76%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0706	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012086	-5.50%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012311	-5.19%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.01268	-5.41%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.1984	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.01303	-5.58%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2187	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.01389	-5.90%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2489	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.014998	-5.97%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3246	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014599	-6.35%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3101	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015456	-6.55%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3537	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.01545	-6.11%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3362	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015517	-5.47%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3025	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015193	-5.75%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2632	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015121	-5.85%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3094	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.014846	-5.80%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2653	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015212	-5.34%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2532	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015074	-5.61%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2075	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.014983	-5.94%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1311	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014496	-6.42%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.014711	-6.42%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.1915	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.014619	-6.53%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1444	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.014606	-6.85%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.1937	✓	1.00