PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s4

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

61.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0907

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.58605	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.584933	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.607059	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.620743	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.618683	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.604005	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.638224	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.584181	-1.33%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0079	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.577973	-1.13%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0109	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.612963	-1.67%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0118	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.607021	-1.57%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0430	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.662355	-2.26%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0364	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.663987	-2.28%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0668	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.646595	-2.19%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0174	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.627558	-2.11%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0611	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.641585	-2.55%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0819	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.640086	-2.69%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0108	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.718755	-3.01%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1273	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.781939	-3.92%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1265	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.698344	-2.77%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0176	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.724244	-3.05%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0809	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.681514	-2.92%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0442	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.692015	-3.48%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0482	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.659245	-3.07%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0126	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.646103	-3.66%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1250	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.630428	-3.91%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2429	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.599948	-2.87%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1780	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.635504	-3.94%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1591	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.599916	-3.05%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1543	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.562537	-2.99%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2478	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.563712	-2.54%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2049	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.557699	-2.81%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2078	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.501821	-2.09%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2464	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.526107	-2.29%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1399	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.526017	-2.32%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2083	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.503713	-2.25%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1551	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.503446	-2.32%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0910	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.476915	-2.10%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1404	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.485651	-2.23%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1264	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.466447	-1.72%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0727	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.471968	-1.82%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1123	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.477993	-2.46%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1017	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.475688	-3.37%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0809	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.464986	-2.77%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1136	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.434207	-0.89%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1275	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.444093	-0.98%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1158	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.425941	+0.70%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1253	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.418863	+0.83%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1504	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.415181	+0.85%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1772	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.413712	+1.23%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1965	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.40716	+0.26%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1574	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.413956	+0.01%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0529	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413082	+0.13%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0805	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416042	-0.24%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0066	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.423555	-0.35%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0250	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.418452	-0.39%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0226	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416296	+0.07%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0220	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40799	-0.10%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0016	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418036	-0.48%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0057	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.44295	-1.02%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0698	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404809	-0.47%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0300	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391487	-0.28%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0790	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419157	-0.34%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0034	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.394105	-0.83%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0451	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.392207	-1.38%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0253	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.381338	-1.69%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0842	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.363212	-1.44%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1898	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361746	-1.58%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0984	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370663	-1.50%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0366	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364341	-1.32%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1191	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.372711	-1.41%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0525	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.373654	-1.38%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0530	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.385632	-1.54%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0031	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.393906	-1.71%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0683	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.401512	-1.81%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0822	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.386325	-1.66%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0202	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386595	-1.68%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0418	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38825	-1.70%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0242	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.387888	-1.65%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0191	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394507	-1.72%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0053	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.406884	-1.91%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0170	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.430872	-2.12%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0577	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.435488	-2.14%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1106	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.426454	-2.10%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0884	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.441137	-2.24%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1092	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.424596	-2.22%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0750	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.417285	-2.21%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0391	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392724	-1.44%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0550	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.373755	-1.15%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1679	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380977	-1.28%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1591	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380157	-1.37%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1392	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.374919	-1.35%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1862	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361113	-0.83%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1910	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339451	-0.54%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2373	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.322947	-0.43%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2139	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347613	-0.65%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0822	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.3637	-0.78%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0607	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391017	-0.96%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0150	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390034	-0.91%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0304	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384	-0.84%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0580	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380737	-0.88%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1149	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386953	-0.97%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1889	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410646	-1.22%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1635	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.411775	-1.28%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1200	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.408911	-1.28%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0343	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.388708	-1.09%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0107	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394557	-1.24%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0263	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.408169	-1.53%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0655	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.39941	-1.53%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0166	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.386482	-1.16%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0724	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415115	-1.19%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0026	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419337	-1.19%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0175	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411945	-1.06%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0520	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.41196	-0.97%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0371	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.413887	-0.87%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0116	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.448124	-1.47%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1052	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.452253	-1.66%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1515	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.453575	-1.36%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0814	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424264	-0.83%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0030	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.430964	-0.84%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0369	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.454	-1.07%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0866	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.494953	-1.41%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1729	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.532362	-1.70%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1634	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.541207	-1.78%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1685	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.548082	-1.87%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1821	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.553391	-1.91%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2628	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.588309	-2.44%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3058	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.542174	-1.76%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1640	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.547718	-1.80%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0847	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.572714	-2.06%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0546	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.571369	-1.91%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0352	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.581073	-1.99%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0395	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.602432	-2.33%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0656	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.544976	-1.56%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1017	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.576466	-1.69%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0513	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.572714	-1.61%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0364	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.592067	-1.76%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0193	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.623036	-2.05%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0725	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.630656	-2.09%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0715	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.632141	-2.27%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0314	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.603113	-1.68%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0842	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.59979	-1.61%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0064	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.595348	-1.68%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0162	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.618145	-2.15%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0379	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.612633	-2.06%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1427	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.60602	-1.95%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1968	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.597893	-1.83%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2037	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.61367	-2.03%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0955	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.62545	-2.12%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1231	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.598305	-1.71%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1408	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.606512	-1.76%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1206	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.607058	-1.66%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0752	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.639617	-1.96%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.627341	-1.78%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.646533	-2.07%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.620671	-1.73%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0707	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.568862	-1.05%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0800	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.623563	-1.75%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.70496	-2.39%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.741373	-2.83%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.695182	-2.33%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.722187	-2.45%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.685987	-2.34%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.747877	-2.48%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2158	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.780219	-2.52%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1461	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.878227	-3.58%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.94495	-5.81%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1817	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.822953	-5.00%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.617845	-2.27%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1675	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.