PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s4

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.597022	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.59464	-0.22%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0053	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.617772	-0.28%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0447	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.631974	-0.34%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0288	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629595	-0.41%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0086	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.613071	-0.28%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0256	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.649714	-0.56%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0543	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.590899	-0.19%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1056	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.583775	-0.13%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0096	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.621643	-0.27%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0500	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.615165	-0.25%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0030	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.674651	-0.45%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0780	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.67632	-0.46%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0030	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.658354	-0.42%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0291	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.638738	-0.37%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0288	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.655055	-0.51%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0112	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.654618	-0.48%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0203	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.735856	-0.70%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1109	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.802774	-1.36%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0756	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.714045	-0.59%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1216	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.741136	-0.79%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0326	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696958	-0.72%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0712	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.708976	-1.11%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0170	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674406	-0.84%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0616	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.662105	-1.27%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0258	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.646553	-1.46%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0429	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613206	-0.72%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0673	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.651407	-1.53%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0552	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613149	-0.91%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0778	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.57447	-0.94%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0743	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.574595	-0.66%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0214	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.56843	-0.94%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0203	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510334	-0.43%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0820	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535583	-0.53%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0435	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535495	-0.56%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0031	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.51277	-0.49%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0198	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512553	-0.55%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0040	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484656	-0.51%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0586	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493275	-0.70%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0008	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472601	-0.42%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0429	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478226	-0.51%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0053	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.48516	-1.00%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0095	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.48386	-1.71%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0095	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.471156	-1.48%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0526	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436067	-0.46%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0930	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445966	-0.57%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0151	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423728	+0.17%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0628	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416185	+0.19%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0138	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412482	+0.19%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0063	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409731	+0.25%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0122	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.40641	+0.08%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0085	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414019	+0.03%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0190	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412758	+0.05%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0066	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416921	-0.03%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0139	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424819	-0.05%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0165	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419856	-0.06%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0109	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416006	+0.00%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0187	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.408239	-0.04%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0144	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419152	-0.21%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0278	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445019	-0.55%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0563	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.40606	-0.16%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0937	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392575	-0.01%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0335	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420358	-0.06%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0654	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397204	-0.05%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0506	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396851	-0.21%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0046	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386837	-0.27%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0232	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367913	-0.16%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0526	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366881	-0.18%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0021	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375656	-0.17%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0215	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368746	-0.12%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0202	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377445	-0.16%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0215	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378347	-0.15%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0008	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390902	-0.19%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0309	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399732	-0.25%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0193	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407667	-0.30%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0142	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.392027	-0.21%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0423	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.39236	-0.21%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0012	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.394108	-0.21%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0041	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393646	-0.19%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0045	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400561	-0.21%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0176	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413698	-0.27%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0325	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.438465	-0.39%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0554	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.443195	-0.41%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0094	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433657	-0.45%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0260	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448569	-0.59%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0234	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431212	-0.70%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0439	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423435	-0.77%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0252	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397453	-0.25%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0708	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377587	-0.14%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0576	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385061	-0.22%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0208	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384135	-0.34%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0041	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378524	-0.40%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0207	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363885	-0.07%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0466	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341605	+0.09%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0653	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324782	+0.13%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0464	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350146	+0.07%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0781	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366642	+0.03%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0464	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394715	-0.02%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0772	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393569	-0.01%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0027	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387325	+0.02%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0196	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384191	+0.02%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0089	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390702	-0.01%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0285	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415347	-0.08%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0556	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416636	-0.11%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0021	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413727	-0.11%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0094	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392777	-0.06%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0503	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398898	-0.15%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0178	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413379	-0.27%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0310	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404513	-0.27%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0265	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390685	-0.08%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0363	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419946	-0.04%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0730	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.424223	-0.04%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0116	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416323	-0.01%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0162	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.41597	-0.01%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0034	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417467	-0.01%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0075	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.453461	-0.29%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0802	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.45775	-0.47%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0075	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458767	-0.24%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0032	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427899	+0.02%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0721	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434703	+0.02%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0164	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458841	-0.01%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0533	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501572	-0.10%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0900	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540613	-0.17%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0760	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549855	-0.21%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0142	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55721	-0.23%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0127	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562612	-0.27%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0062	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.599428	-0.59%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0601	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550904	-0.18%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0916	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556806	-0.17%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0079	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.583033	-0.29%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0440	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.581297	-0.21%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0057	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591277	-0.27%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0157	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.613776	-0.49%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0356	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552976	-0.11%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1092	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.585342	-0.18%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0612	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.581216	-0.15%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0095	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.60158	-0.19%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0299	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.634101	-0.31%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0503	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.641482	-0.41%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0152	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.643141	-0.57%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0020	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612127	-0.21%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0726	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608413	-0.19%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0096	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.6043	-0.20%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0287	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.629572	-0.34%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0043	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.623832	-0.27%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0343	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.616581	-0.25%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0163	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.607634	-0.23%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0133	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.624274	-0.34%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0233	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.636579	-0.38%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.607401	-0.21%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0708	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.616026	-0.22%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.6161	-0.19%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.650405	-0.31%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.636964	-0.27%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.6577	-0.38%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.630027	-0.25%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0459	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.574642	-0.04%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.63348	-0.19%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.719304	-0.40%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.757926	-0.66%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.708831	-0.42%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0858	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.736396	-0.53%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.699699	-0.38%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0341	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.763154	-0.49%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.795522	-0.61%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.898223	-1.38%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1095	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.974965	-2.81%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.845516	-2.40%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1652	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.629744	-0.39%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3166	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.