PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s4

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0369

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.5498	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.550512	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.571406	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.583706	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.582615	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.567921	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.601897	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.550957	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.545113	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.582575	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.57541	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.630186	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.63123	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.614442	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.596127	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.61062	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.610874	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.686127	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.745177	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.667064	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.691766	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.65314	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.662174	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.632732	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.620844	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.607168	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.579571	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.612928	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.58054	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.546595	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.549016	-5.08%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.1000	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.545001	-5.03%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.1084	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.488746	-4.64%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2253	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.510812	-5.13%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2123	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.510045	-5.28%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2073	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.485252	-5.83%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2043	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.484488	-6.00%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2657	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.459893	-5.60%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2194	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.471024	-5.18%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1991	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.452209	-4.72%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2902	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.458524	-4.61%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2744	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.465336	-5.04%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3456	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.46337	-5.88%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3538	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.456201	-4.61%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3506	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.426512	-2.65%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3940	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.435821	-2.83%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3958	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.417158	-1.38%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4315	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.410873	-1.09%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5621	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.407646	-0.98%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6614	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408559	-0.03%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5484	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.399894	-1.53%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5997	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.406793	-1.72%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5200	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.40841	-1.00%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5469	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.411761	-1.27%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4800	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.420398	-1.09%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4494	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.418047	-0.49%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4286	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.423301	+1.76%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3632	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.416192	+1.91%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4457	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.427089	+1.68%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3498	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.452807	+1.19%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2306	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.41306	+1.56%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3140	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.398088	+1.40%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3410	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.426202	+1.33%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1780	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.392557	-1.22%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3059	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.386513	-2.81%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3138	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.372311	-4.02%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3143	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.35514	-3.63%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3570	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.352274	-4.16%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3079	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.362036	-3.79%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2939	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.357202	-3.25%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2619	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.365467	-3.33%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2578	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.366606	-3.24%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2693	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.377685	-3.57%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2361	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.385161	-3.89%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1785	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.39238	-4.04%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0727	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.377723	-3.85%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1307	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.378029	-3.86%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0823	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.379459	-3.92%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0509	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.379591	-3.75%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0320	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.385761	-3.90%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0005	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.396479	-4.42%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0266	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.419477	-4.71%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0635	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.423739	-4.78%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0770	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.416587	-4.36%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0464	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.431983	-4.27%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0543	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.418475	-3.63%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0188	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.412691	-3.28%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0102	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.388838	-2.41%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0279	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.372069	-1.59%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0937	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.379395	-1.69%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1326	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380332	-1.33%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0369	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.376773	-0.86%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0127	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362693	-0.40%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1149	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340954	-0.10%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1338	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324511	+0.05%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1934	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347828	-0.59%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1090	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363399	-0.86%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0149	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.388737	-1.54%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0523	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.388391	-1.32%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0290	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383132	-1.06%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0306	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.379589	-1.17%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0018	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.384918	-1.49%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0206	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.407057	-2.08%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0378	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.408167	-2.14%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0188	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.405689	-2.05%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0053	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387184	-1.48%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0094	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.393385	-1.53%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0087	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.405463	-2.18%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0290	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.39671	-2.19%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0077	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.384302	-1.71%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0422	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.41056	-2.27%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0091	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.414896	-2.24%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0560	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.40863	-1.85%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0815	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.409646	-1.53%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0535	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.412273	-1.25%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0737	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.446151	-1.90%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0324	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.450362	-2.07%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0603	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.450056	-2.13%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1274	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.421074	-1.57%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1145	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.427109	-1.72%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1075	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.448563	-2.25%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1540	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.486609	-3.08%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2457	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.521036	-3.79%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3551	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.529188	-3.96%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4339	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.535249	-4.16%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4994	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.540783	-4.14%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4336	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.572899	-4.99%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4448	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.529197	-4.11%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2925	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.533739	-4.31%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3031	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.55681	-4.78%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3623	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.555213	-4.68%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3681	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.564437	-4.80%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3664	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.583971	-5.32%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3401	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.530052	-4.25%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2398	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.558993	-4.67%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3067	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.554827	-4.69%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3487	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.572162	-5.07%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3574	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.600262	-5.63%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3703	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.606438	-5.85%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4108	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.60658	-6.22%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4461	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.5786	-5.67%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3157	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.574497	-5.76%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2934	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.569227	-5.99%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2724	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.589282	-6.71%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2592	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.583203	-6.77%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1743	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.576685	-6.70%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0935	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.568629	-6.64%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0696	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.583634	-6.83%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1000	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.594765	-6.92%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1156	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.568087	-6.67%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.576812	-6.57%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.577719	-6.41%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0656	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.610008	-6.50%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.597205	-6.50%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0960	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.616745	-6.58%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0893	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.591035	-6.42%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1528	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.538683	-6.30%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3124	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.594695	-6.30%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1026	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.67387	-6.69%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.708641	-7.12%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.667703	-6.20%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.697243	-5.82%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0677	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.659949	-6.04%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1538	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.720922	-6.00%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.75547	-5.61%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.846623	-7.05%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.897305	-10.56%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.791154	-8.67%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.597724	-5.45%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3484	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.