O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s4

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0797

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0148

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.424514	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.423912	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.430672	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.401391	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.420217	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.43736	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.450776	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.447534	-1.75%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0432	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.453253	-1.70%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0625	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.465068	-1.72%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0560	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.47527	-1.84%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1544	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.471821	-1.84%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0870	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.46917	-1.91%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0413	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.443746	-1.26%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0415	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.44854	-1.33%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0122	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.463537	-1.75%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0071	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.492259	-2.14%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0231	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.49594	-2.23%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0029	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.501552	-2.25%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0246	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.50153	-2.19%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0356	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.509853	-2.03%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1138	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.528013	-2.04%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1292	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.541523	-2.09%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1361	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.553982	-2.14%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1083	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.519133	-1.91%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0388	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.528821	-1.93%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0447	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.533726	-1.83%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0425	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.539527	-1.61%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0389	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.543565	-1.42%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0116	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.538381	-1.30%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0327	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.552587	-1.10%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0488	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.540056	-0.87%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0022	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.544214	-1.06%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0339	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.560774	-1.07%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0539	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.567275	-0.99%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0589	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.554521	-0.78%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0690	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.535588	-0.09%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0536	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.528996	+0.42%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0506	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.547815	+0.32%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0870	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.514976	+1.77%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0237	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.54799	+1.17%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0037	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.555808	+1.45%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0043	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.544292	+2.22%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0283	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.540814	+3.01%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0125	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.54951	+2.96%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0136	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.559333	+2.70%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0151	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.553131	+3.32%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0536	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.552363	+3.26%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0061	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.569175	+2.72%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0134	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.576446	+2.80%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0320	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.558488	+1.56%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0720	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.564552	+1.19%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0671	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.560362	+1.31%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0341	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.538763	+0.91%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0342	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.53497	+0.73%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0168	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.456396	+0.91%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1750	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.44218	+1.28%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2266	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.451342	+0.94%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2177	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.449197	+0.68%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2300	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.433012	+0.68%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2497	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.443161	+0.36%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1871	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.437282	+0.20%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1800	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.512299	+0.03%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1194	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.477106	-0.72%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1652	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.479721	-1.32%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1936	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.475519	-1.82%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.3000	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.449632	-1.87%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2889	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.44118	-1.84%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2578	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.446656	-1.94%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2677	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.433739	-1.89%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.0983	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.436546	-1.96%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0752	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.430641	-1.98%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0133	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.436682	-2.07%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0818	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.443291	-2.18%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0224	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.460898	-2.37%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0125	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.456468	-2.45%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0332	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.465445	-2.50%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0156	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.468676	-2.50%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0353	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.477402	-2.55%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0607	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.491309	-2.61%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0870	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.485674	-2.60%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0778	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.467552	-2.56%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0161	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.502075	-2.67%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1142	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.483615	-2.59%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0552	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.488808	-2.74%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0069	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.466495	-2.59%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0342	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.473563	-2.80%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0589	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.469544	-2.55%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0649	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.466341	-2.40%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0706	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.49629	-2.70%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0772	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.473906	-2.48%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0778	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.527655	-3.21%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0413	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.574581	-2.89%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1363	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.601724	-2.96%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1564	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.60658	-3.13%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.1971	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.572047	-2.96%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.1938	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.558245	-2.91%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0797	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.549774	-2.94%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1274	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.507847	-2.68%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0510	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.540273	-2.83%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0699	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.539874	-2.88%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.511142	-2.69%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1568	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.526588	-2.96%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0982	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.546254	-3.03%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.537011	-3.04%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.554025	-3.13%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0692	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.537272	-3.09%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.540647	-3.25%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.514547	-3.38%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.535386	-3.29%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.588545	-3.44%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.521752	-3.40%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.539329	-3.32%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.540148	-3.20%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.489882	-2.99%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0528	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.517875	-3.21%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.470515	-3.58%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0958	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.404732	-5.35%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3582	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.434958	-4.82%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1754	✗	1.00