O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s4

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

117

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.0028

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.442512	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.438741	-0.11%	0.44305	+0.87%	0.0113	✗	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.407539	-0.00%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0679	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.426952	-0.06%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0455	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.444567	-0.10%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0439	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.458339	-0.12%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0287	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.454935	-0.13%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0127	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.460491	-0.13%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0144	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.472454	-0.16%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0141	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.483137	-0.21%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0299	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.479487	-0.24%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0240	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.476692	-0.34%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0025	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.448941	-0.11%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0606	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.454236	-0.08%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0171	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.470949	-0.18%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0239	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.501413	-0.32%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0457	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.505541	-0.34%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0036	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.511318	-0.35%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0032	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.51128	-0.29%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0076	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.519166	-0.24%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0139	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.537702	-0.25%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0305	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.551705	-0.25%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0315	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.564415	-0.29%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0198	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.528149	-0.20%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0681	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.537978	-0.23%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0091	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.54255	-0.21%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0065	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.547511	-0.15%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0093	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.550803	-0.11%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0024	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.545055	-0.07%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0115	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.558452	-0.05%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0061	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.544855	+0.01%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0274	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.550079	+0.01%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0498	✗	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.566769	-0.01%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0294	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.572907	-0.01%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0135	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.559338	+0.08%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0124	✗	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.537361	+0.25%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0374	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.528654	+0.35%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0080	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.54743	+0.25%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0116	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.508833	+0.56%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0570	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.543865	+0.41%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0677	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.550347	+0.45%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0165	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.535554	+0.58%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0163	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.528715	+0.70%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0245	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.537451	+0.70%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0218	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.548177	+0.65%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0204	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.539485	+0.77%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0218	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.539064	+0.77%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0119	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.557996	+0.70%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0438	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.564963	+0.75%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0038	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.552614	+0.49%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0262	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.56015	+0.40%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0174	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.555472	+0.43%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0168	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.53554	+0.30%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0228	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.532231	+0.21%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0092	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.454466	+0.49%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1517	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.439261	+0.61%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0570	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.449322	+0.49%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0431	✗	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.448018	+0.42%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0078	✗	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.43206	+0.46%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0375	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.443227	+0.37%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0453	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.4379	+0.34%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0001	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.512814	+0.13%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1476	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.480949	+0.08%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0062	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.486046	-0.02%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0603	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.483835	-0.10%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0792	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.4577	-0.11%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0527	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.44889	-0.12%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0108	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.454778	-0.16%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0083	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.441468	-0.14%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0304	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.444569	-0.16%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0031	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.43863	-0.16%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0147	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.445078	-0.18%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0107	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.452168	-0.22%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0067	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.470627	-0.31%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0204	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.466276	-0.35%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0135	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.475614	-0.37%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0166	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.479001	-0.35%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0151	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.488083	-0.37%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0090	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.50257	-0.37%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0360	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.496814	-0.36%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0041	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.478112	-0.36%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0427	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.513808	-0.40%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0836	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.494602	-0.37%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0433	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.500129	-0.49%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0340	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.477002	-0.39%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0350	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.484919	-0.47%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0136	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.479805	-0.42%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0121	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.47568	-0.44%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0504	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.507676	-0.46%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0864	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.484029	-0.40%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0471	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.541828	-0.61%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0871	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.587695	-0.67%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0536	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.615777	-0.70%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0313	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.621864	-0.69%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0306	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.585778	-0.63%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0556	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.571365	-0.63%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0337	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.562872	-0.63%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0021	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.519131	-0.52%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.552653	-0.60%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.55243	-0.62%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.522935	-0.45%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0183	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.539625	-0.55%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.560143	-0.57%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.550678	-0.57%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.568788	-0.55%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.55174	-0.48%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.555684	-0.56%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.529571	-0.56%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.550728	-0.52%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.606055	-0.57%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.537596	-0.47%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1165	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.555342	-0.45%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0445	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.555845	-0.39%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0215	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.504198	-0.16%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0771	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.533103	-0.36%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.486974	-0.21%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.427863	+0.06%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1392	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.456524	-0.10%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0643	✓	1.00