O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s4

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

84.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1284

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0420

actual -0.1449

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.405668	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.406934	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.413616	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.385867	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.403758	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.419731	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.432917	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.429274	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.433512	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.44595	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.45529	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.452049	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.448779	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.42276	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.426954	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.441956	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.471907	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.475109	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.481823	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.480882	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.491367	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.510883	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.524106	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.535698	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.501265	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.512102	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.518254	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.526413	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.53312	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.528382	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.546664	-2.16%	0.43434	-22.27%	0.2110	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.5356	-1.69%	0.43252	-20.61%	0.1991	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.531843	-3.31%	0.439245	-20.14%	0.2047	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.548809	-3.18%	0.407545	-28.10%	0.3020	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.555153	-3.11%	0.42721	-25.44%	0.2708	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.537225	-3.87%	0.445015	-20.37%	0.2287	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.518509	-3.27%	0.4589	-14.39%	0.1697	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.511689	-2.87%	0.455525	-13.53%	0.1828	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.533173	-2.36%	0.46111	-15.56%	0.1790	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.496558	-1.87%	0.47322	-6.48%	0.1083	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.531699	-1.84%	0.48416	-10.61%	0.1358	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.541103	-1.24%	0.480645	-12.27%	0.1787	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.529279	-0.60%	0.47832	-10.17%	0.1606	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.527715	+0.51%	0.449425	-14.40%	0.2014	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.538182	+0.83%	0.454605	-14.82%	0.1999	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.546657	+0.37%	0.47178	-13.37%	0.1868	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.542066	+1.25%	0.503025	-6.04%	0.1240	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.542143	+1.35%	0.50726	-5.17%	0.1227	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.561664	+1.36%	0.513105	-7.40%	0.1550	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.572627	+2.11%	0.51275	-8.56%	0.1436	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.555652	+1.04%	0.5204	-5.37%	0.1383	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.565953	+1.44%	0.539035	-3.38%	0.1238	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.565991	+2.33%	0.55308	-0.01%	0.0744	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.547611	+2.56%	0.566075	+6.02%	0.0278	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.544883	+2.60%	0.52923	-0.35%	0.0827	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.46748	+3.36%	0.53924	+19.23%	0.0763	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.456969	+4.67%	0.543685	+24.53%	0.1284	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.468067	+4.68%	0.548345	+22.64%	0.1014	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.466901	+4.65%	0.55141	+23.59%	0.1005	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.452814	+5.29%	0.54546	+26.83%	0.1245	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.461227	+4.45%	0.55875	+26.53%	0.0937	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.455207	+4.31%	0.54479	+24.84%	0.0692	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.531192	+3.72%	0.550025	+7.39%	0.0049	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.482601	+0.42%	0.566845	+17.95%	0.0749	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.477666	-1.75%	0.572975	+17.86%	0.0370	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.467273	-3.52%	0.55887	+15.39%	0.0230	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.440731	-3.81%	0.536045	+16.99%	0.0046	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.431007	-4.10%	0.52681	+17.21%	0.0239	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.434422	-4.62%	0.54605	+19.88%	0.0333	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.422366	-4.46%	0.506	+14.45%	0.0600	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.425055	-4.54%	0.541645	+21.65%	0.0022	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.41907	-4.61%	0.54789	+24.71%	0.0286	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.424219	-4.86%	0.53246	+19.41%	0.0009	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.429862	-5.14%	0.525035	+15.86%	0.0463	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.445629	-5.60%	0.53373	+13.06%	0.0472	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.440365	-5.89%	0.54462	+16.39%	0.0240	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.448498	-6.05%	0.53535	+12.14%	0.0786	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.451148	-6.15%	0.53493	+11.28%	0.0912	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.459171	-6.28%	0.55411	+13.10%	0.0644	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.471631	-6.51%	0.56077	+11.16%	0.1190	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.46569	-6.61%	0.549935	+10.29%	0.0749	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.448136	-6.61%	0.55791	+16.27%	0.0230	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.480208	-6.91%	0.55311	+7.22%	0.1514	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.46258	-6.82%	0.53392	+7.55%	0.1334	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.467982	-6.89%	0.5311	+5.67%	0.1373	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.446733	-6.71%	0.452265	-5.56%	0.2537	✓	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.453372	-6.95%	0.4366	-10.39%	0.3465	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.449197	-6.77%	0.44712	-7.20%	0.2947	✓	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.446626	-6.52%	0.446145	-6.63%	0.2713	✓	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.474535	-6.96%	0.43008	-15.68%	0.4270	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.452665	-6.85%	0.44159	-9.13%	0.3299	✓	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.503964	-7.56%	0.4364	-19.95%	0.3900	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.548377	-7.32%	0.51216	-13.44%	0.2998	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.574472	-7.36%	0.48057	-22.50%	0.3030	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.576853	-7.88%	0.48616	-22.36%	0.2565	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.544056	-7.71%	0.484325	-17.84%	0.1163	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.531624	-7.54%	0.45821	-20.31%	0.1419	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.5227	-7.72%	0.449445	-20.65%	0.1282	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.48293	-7.46%	0.455485	-12.72%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.515481	-7.29%	0.4421	-20.49%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.515329	-7.29%	0.44526	-19.90%	0.1218	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.48596	-7.48%	0.439325	-16.36%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.501257	-7.63%	0.445895	-17.83%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.520178	-7.66%	0.45317	-19.56%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.512099	-7.54%	0.47207	-14.77%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.527041	-7.85%	0.467935	-18.18%	0.1460	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.510635	-7.90%	0.47738	-13.89%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.514283	-7.97%	0.4807	-13.98%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.489459	-8.09%	0.489915	-8.00%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.509961	-7.89%	0.50446	-8.88%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.558912	-8.30%	0.49863	-18.19%	0.1201	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.495387	-8.28%	0.47985	-11.16%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.511986	-8.22%	0.51585	-7.53%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.511999	-8.24%	0.496455	-11.03%	0.0775	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.463143	-8.29%	0.5026	-0.48%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.491784	-8.08%	0.47888	-10.50%	0.0868	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.44366	-9.09%	0.487225	-0.16%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.373974	-12.54%	0.48183	+12.68%	0.1926	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.406204	-11.12%	0.4778	+4.55%	0.0771	✓	1.00