NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s4

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

103

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

68.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0263

actual -0.0286

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.019862	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.019937	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.018932	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018333	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017784	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019515	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018908	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020177	-0.85%	0.021	+3.19%	0.0219	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.021787	-2.78%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0271	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021665	-1.21%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.1032	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023478	-4.42%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.1960	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.025513	-6.46%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3297	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023089	-1.66%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1281	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020601	+2.57%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0889	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023409	-1.08%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.1129	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.02387	-3.93%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0255	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.023992	-4.51%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0252	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.020324	+1.87%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2358	✓	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.020091	+3.72%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3358	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.020306	+3.92%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.1772	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.021086	+3.49%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0032	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.023449	+2.78%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0139	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024786	+2.32%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0307	✗	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.023799	+3.77%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.0147	✓	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.022802	+3.46%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.1712	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.029305	-5.05%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4199	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.029697	-5.41%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4263	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.029255	-5.38%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.3704	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.029044	-5.70%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2260	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.033809	-8.07%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.2889	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.038172	-7.95%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.4560	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.035484	-8.13%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5354	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.040066	-7.93%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3173	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.044418	-7.70%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4044	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.036276	-6.50%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.2831	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.036732	-6.82%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3026	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.033492	-7.24%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.0668	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.036397	-8.16%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0122	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.047411	-7.46%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.2766	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.046499	-8.69%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1315	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.034164	-5.65%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2808	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.031512	-5.07%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.2113	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029344	-4.71%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3345	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.036473	-5.50%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0410	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.031793	-4.12%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2372	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031222	-5.03%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5617	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.02066	-1.15%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9491	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022101	-1.82%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5387	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018346	+0.86%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.6924	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016823	+0.61%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.5842	✓	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020289	-2.92%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6217	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016908	-0.33%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6616	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015922	-0.55%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6654	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015459	+0.06%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2653	✓	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014223	+0.77%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4174	✓	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016768	-0.10%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0614	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016542	-0.41%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0467	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.01952	-1.91%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.0922	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019472	-1.85%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1290	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020217	-2.71%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2319	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.019937	-3.22%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2806	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019506	-3.10%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.3125	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017116	-3.87%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1799	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014149	-2.69%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0052	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014779	-3.34%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0939	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015575	-5.49%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1695	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.00963	-0.83%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.5974	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010257	-1.09%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5381	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009437	-0.71%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.5839	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008972	-0.54%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5634	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.01179	-1.63%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1351	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012418	-1.99%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.1932	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010788	-1.30%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4153	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009752	-0.95%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0337	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.01013	-1.12%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0589	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010394	-1.25%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0533	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010395	-1.19%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.1262	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.01149	-1.67%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0634	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012136	-1.69%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0525	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.01147	-1.16%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0559	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011182	-1.05%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1507	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010957	-0.66%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.1031	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012645	-1.48%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.2171	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012039	-1.56%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1246	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012393	-1.37%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0750	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012803	-1.52%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0411	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015062	-2.57%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2555	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.014953	-3.03%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2306	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015076	-2.76%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2705	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015504	-2.92%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1691	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015544	-3.45%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2347	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014047	-3.09%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012341	-1.51%	0.013	+3.75%	0.0930	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.01511	-2.86%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0465	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.017484	-3.51%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1357	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.017874	-3.54%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1344	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018174	-3.23%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.019645	-3.39%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2189	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021258	-3.62%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4039	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022442	-3.81%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6060	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017644	-2.57%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1723	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016503	-2.38%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0788	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.01759	-2.66%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019458	-2.88%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020072	-2.75%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.019813	-2.49%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022169	-2.72%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020238	-2.82%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022424	-2.84%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.2850	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.025809	-2.68%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3673	✓	1.00