NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s4

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

110

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0961

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02273	0.022453	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-21	oos	0.02224	0.021858	-1.72%	0.02273	+2.20%	0.0355	✗	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020993	-0.74%	0.02224	+5.15%	0.0381	✗	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019532	-0.19%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0602	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018723	-0.06%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0470	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017898	+0.16%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0357	✓	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019896	-0.27%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1055	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.019022	+0.17%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0576	✓	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020357	+0.04%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0785	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.022354	-0.25%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0697	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021903	-0.12%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0013	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024412	-0.62%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0727	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026973	-1.11%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.1066	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023386	-0.40%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1476	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020123	+0.19%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1397	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023593	-0.30%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1358	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024685	-0.64%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0073	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024919	-0.82%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0003	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019972	+0.11%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2418	✓	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019432	+0.32%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0022	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019596	+0.28%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0154	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020425	+0.25%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0387	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022864	+0.22%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1370	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024276	+0.21%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0606	✗	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.023018	+0.36%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0479	✓	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.022085	+0.21%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0566	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030682	-0.59%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3317	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031188	-0.66%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0164	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030686	-0.76%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0283	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030561	-0.78%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0115	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036391	-1.04%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1354	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.040975	-1.19%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.1015	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038296	-0.85%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0166	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.043023	-1.13%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1065	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.047231	-1.86%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0884	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038469	-0.85%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1530	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.039027	-1.00%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0091	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035842	-0.73%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0861	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039255	-0.95%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0447	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.049865	-2.67%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2528	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.048726	-4.32%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0580	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035632	-1.60%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3562	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032799	-1.19%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0874	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030515	-0.91%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1162	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037577	-2.64%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.1962	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032333	-2.49%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1889	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031644	-3.74%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0698	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020759	-0.68%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4506	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022281	-1.02%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0668	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018158	-0.17%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2476	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.01671	-0.06%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0037	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020533	-1.76%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2036	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016934	-0.18%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2370	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015984	-0.16%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0393	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015439	-0.07%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0494	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014102	-0.09%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0822	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016733	-0.31%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1197	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016544	-0.40%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0112	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019608	-1.47%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1764	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019539	-1.52%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0279	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020328	-2.17%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0513	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.02004	-2.72%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0215	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019624	-2.51%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0772	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017265	-3.03%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0347	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014331	-1.44%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1513	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014889	-2.62%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1629	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015928	-3.35%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0473	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009696	-0.14%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5096	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010342	-0.27%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0607	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009492	-0.14%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0880	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.009014	-0.07%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0592	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011927	-0.49%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2795	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012553	-0.93%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0447	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.01088	-0.46%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1580	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009821	-0.24%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1245	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010218	-0.27%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0360	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010481	-0.42%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0231	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010507	-0.13%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0097	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011661	-0.20%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0971	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012319	-0.21%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0628	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011593	-0.11%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0528	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011299	-0.01%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0273	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.011041	+0.10%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0107	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012823	-0.09%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1496	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012229	-0.01%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0915	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012558	-0.05%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0454	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012993	-0.06%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0346	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015412	-0.31%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1737	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015381	-0.26%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0494	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015465	-0.26%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0310	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015907	-0.40%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.016	-0.62%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014423	-0.50%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1258	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012464	-0.52%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1574	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015504	-0.33%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018056	-0.35%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1573	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018465	-0.35%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018713	-0.36%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020251	-0.41%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021933	-0.56%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0609	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023161	-0.72%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018017	-0.52%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2156	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016796	-0.65%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0988	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017971	-0.55%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019952	-0.41%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020559	-0.39%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020242	-0.38%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022701	-0.39%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020738	-0.42%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022995	-0.37%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1057	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026395	-0.47%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1421	✓	1.00