NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s4

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4839

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0715

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.017654	-15.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.01764	-16.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.016911	-13.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.016362	-12.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.015853	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.017221	-13.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.016746	-11.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.017742	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.019076	-14.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.018881	-13.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.020311	-17.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.021871	-19.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.019875	-15.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.017612	-12.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.020128	-14.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.020551	-17.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.020595	-18.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.017386	-12.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.017084	-11.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.017257	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.017956	-11.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.020061	-12.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.021432	-11.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.020641	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.020024	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.026301	-14.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.026753	-14.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.026394	-14.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.026256	-14.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.030167	-17.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.034218	-17.49%	0.021	-49.36%	0.4215	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.03148	-18.50%	0.02115	-45.24%	0.4299	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.035739	-17.87%	0.01957	-55.03%	0.6131	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.039901	-17.09%	0.018735	-61.07%	0.7765	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.032718	-15.68%	0.01787	-53.94%	0.6835	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.033018	-16.24%	0.01995	-49.39%	0.5876	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.029827	-17.39%	0.01899	-47.40%	0.5528	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.032238	-18.65%	0.02035	-48.65%	0.5092	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.042521	-17.01%	0.02241	-56.26%	0.7428	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.041776	-17.97%	0.02193	-56.94%	0.7178	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.031394	-13.30%	0.024565	-32.16%	0.3525	✓	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.029085	-12.38%	0.027275	-17.83%	0.1696	✓	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.027209	-11.65%	0.02348	-23.75%	0.2226	✓	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.033774	-12.49%	0.020085	-47.96%	0.5754	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.030035	-9.43%	0.023665	-28.63%	0.3129	✓	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.029891	-9.08%	0.024845	-24.43%	0.2773	✓	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020278	-2.98%	0.025125	+20.22%	0.1117	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.021581	-4.12%	0.01995	-11.37%	0.1963	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018341	+0.83%	0.01937	+6.49%	0.0150	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.01655	-1.02%	0.01954	+16.87%	0.0212	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.019888	-4.84%	0.020375	-2.51%	0.1215	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016643	-1.90%	0.022815	+34.48%	0.2059	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015577	-2.70%	0.024225	+51.31%	0.3111	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.01517	-1.81%	0.022935	+48.45%	0.2975	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014059	-0.40%	0.02204	+56.15%	0.3035	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016939	+0.92%	0.030865	+83.88%	0.5177	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016725	+0.69%	0.031395	+89.01%	0.5281	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.01964	-1.31%	0.03092	+55.38%	0.3352	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019692	-0.75%	0.0308	+55.24%	0.3374	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020259	-2.51%	0.036775	+76.97%	0.4213	✗	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020098	-2.44%	0.04147	+101.31%	0.5271	✗	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.020018	-0.56%	0.038625	+91.88%	0.5949	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.016928	-4.93%	0.043515	+144.40%	0.7637	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.013692	-5.83%	0.048125	+230.98%	1.0623	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014232	-6.92%	0.0388	+153.76%	0.6683	✗	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.014856	-9.86%	0.03942	+139.20%	0.6385	✗	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009531	-1.85%	0.036105	+271.83%	1.1828	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010123	-2.38%	0.03963	+282.16%	1.1941	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009342	-1.72%	0.051235	+439.03%	1.5439	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008897	-1.37%	0.050925	+464.58%	1.5737	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011543	-3.68%	0.03621	+202.13%	0.9779	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012122	-4.32%	0.033195	+162.00%	0.8529	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010609	-2.94%	0.030795	+181.75%	0.8708	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009616	-2.33%	0.038595	+292.03%	1.1600	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.009968	-2.71%	0.03316	+223.67%	0.9641	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010226	-2.84%	0.032875	+212.35%	0.9107	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010186	-3.18%	0.0209	+98.67%	0.4609	✗	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011197	-4.18%	0.02251	+92.64%	0.4600	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.011834	-4.14%	0.01819	+47.35%	0.1529	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011254	-3.02%	0.01672	+44.08%	0.1787	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.010954	-3.06%	0.0209	+84.96%	0.4256	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010738	-2.65%	0.016965	+53.81%	0.2176	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012298	-4.18%	0.01601	+24.74%	0.0439	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.011673	-4.55%	0.01545	+26.33%	0.0053	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012038	-4.20%	0.014115	+12.34%	0.1308	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012409	-4.54%	0.016785	+29.12%	0.0343	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.014431	-6.66%	0.01661	+7.44%	0.1776	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.014235	-7.68%	0.0199	+29.05%	0.0164	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.014356	-7.41%	0.01984	+27.96%	0.0346	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.014728	-7.78%	0.02078	+30.12%	0.1512	✗	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.014719	-8.58%	0.0206	+27.95%	0.1668	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.013296	-8.27%	0.02013	+38.88%	0.2449	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.011674	-6.83%	0.017805	+42.10%	0.3290	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.014307	-8.02%	0.01454	-6.53%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.016503	-8.93%	0.01529	-15.62%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.016873	-8.94%	0.01648	-11.06%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.017221	-8.30%	0.00971	-48.30%	0.5563	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.018623	-8.42%	0.01037	-49.00%	0.5736	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.020198	-8.42%	0.009505	-56.90%	0.7265	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.021367	-8.41%	0.00902	-61.34%	0.8381	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.016725	-7.65%	0.011985	-33.82%	0.3515	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.015625	-7.57%	0.01267	-25.05%	0.2064	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.016716	-7.49%	0.01093	-39.51%	0.4271	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.018601	-7.16%	0.009845	-50.86%	0.6474	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.019195	-7.00%	0.010245	-50.36%	0.6549	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.018968	-6.65%	0.010525	-48.20%	0.6307	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.021297	-6.55%	0.01052	-53.84%	0.7201	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.01944	-6.65%	0.011685	-43.89%	0.5184	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.02157	-6.54%	0.012345	-46.51%	0.5654	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.024931	-5.99%	0.011605	-56.24%	0.7707	✓	1.00