NIULAI

? · · gru_s4

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

72.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1814

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0451

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061781	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.0617	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057671	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058479	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059281	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064287	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.06638	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068542	-1.56%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1125	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.07294	-2.26%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1516	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070985	-1.49%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2046	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077239	-2.56%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2451	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078155	-2.40%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2473	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073381	-1.09%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1032	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.07282	-0.38%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0851	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071648	-0.05%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0014	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077418	-2.10%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0025	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075604	-1.56%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0172	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080163	-2.66%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0328	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.078768	-1.68%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0455	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085221	-2.66%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1076	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.095603	-3.69%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2201	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.10082	-3.82%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3366	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.101056	-3.88%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2747	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.1109	-4.27%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4026	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.10005	-3.83%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2276	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.101728	-3.89%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2442	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.100381	-3.76%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1435	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097059	-3.56%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0150	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.103252	-3.87%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0284	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.107977	-3.87%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0128	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.103898	-3.59%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1577	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097449	-3.60%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0069	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.103336	-4.24%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0313	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.113623	-5.01%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1415	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.100832	-5.12%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1020	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.094994	-5.53%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.110973	-7.30%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.112978	-7.58%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1495	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.107801	-7.93%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.124521	-7.71%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.116865	-7.08%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.112974	-6.93%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.077365	-1.55%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2898	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.095147	-6.83%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2668	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.07747	-5.12%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4678	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.083149	-8.65%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3874	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.111678	-7.37%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2218	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.076448	-9.12%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.5293	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.088741	-7.86%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3731	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.069355	-10.88%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.076835	-7.83%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2711	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.097634	-5.09%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.094309	-7.07%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055014	+0.13%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7643	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.05609	+0.05%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3820	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.