NIULAI
? · · gru_s4
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
92.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3084
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1556
actual -0.2998
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06254 | 0.060341 | -3.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.060106 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.056379 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.056875 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.05745 | -3.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.061651 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.063124 | -6.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.064879 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.068415 | -8.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.06663 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.071894 | -9.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.072523 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.06792 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.067196 | -8.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.065863 | -8.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.071293 | -9.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.069598 | -9.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.074123 | -9.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.072772 | -9.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.079005 | -9.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.088679 | -10.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.093316 | -10.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.093486 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.102468 | -11.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.092697 | -10.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.094249 | -10.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.09299 | -10.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.090055 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.095872 | -10.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.100946 | -10.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.09748 | -9.55% | 0.06254 | -41.97% | 0.3829 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.090177 | -10.79% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.3984 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.095421 | -11.58% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5094 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.104302 | -12.81% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.5936 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.091661 | -13.75% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.4967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.085876 | -14.59% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.098437 | -17.77% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.4621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.100127 | -18.10% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.094906 | -18.95% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.109881 | -18.56% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.4783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.103986 | -17.32% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.3519 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.100874 | -16.89% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.071317 | -9.25% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.085235 | -16.54% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.1941 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.06996 | -14.32% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.072858 | -19.95% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.100028 | -17.03% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.066522 | -20.92% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.1312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.079294 | -17.67% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.05902 | -24.16% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.3053 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.068664 | -17.63% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.2767 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.092213 | -10.36% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.091861 | -9.48% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.055323 | +0.70% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.057095 | +1.85% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5183 | ✓ | 1.00 |