MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s4
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +7d
assessed
120
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
64.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3192
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1012
actual -0.1811
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000281946 | -12.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000262107 | -17.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000314261 | -13.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000289973 | -18.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000345263 | -17.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000341726 | -21.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000335437 | -26.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000295904 | -34.66% | 0.000324 | -28.46% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000278571 | -38.60% | 0.0003162 | -30.31% | 0.0970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000343224 | -38.69% | 0.0003632 | -35.13% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.00042238 | -36.63% | 0.00035745 | -46.37% | 0.1681 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000418508 | -40.47% | 0.0004181 | -40.53% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000308257 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000314467 | -0.80% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000316805 | -0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000390923 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000395519 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000391315 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000439342 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000482153 | -2.24% | 0.00031 | -37.15% | 0.1869 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000475673 | -2.17% | 0.000317 | -34.80% | 0.3085 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000460228 | -2.06% | 0.0003192 | -32.07% | 0.2506 | ✓ | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000456307 | -2.02% | 0.0003977 | -14.60% | 0.1617 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.00048937 | -2.38% | 0.0004024 | -19.73% | 0.1811 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.00052648 | -2.92% | 0.0003984 | -26.54% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000503494 | -3.30% | 0.000448 | -13.96% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000529105 | -2.72% | 0.0004932 | -9.32% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000535246 | -2.88% | 0.0004862 | -11.78% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000496218 | -2.55% | 0.0004699 | -7.72% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000486551 | -2.73% | 0.0004657 | -6.90% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000485401 | -2.80% | 0.0005013 | +0.38% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000531254 | -3.41% | 0.0005423 | -1.40% | 0.0559 | ✓ | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000524995 | -3.14% | 0.0005207 | -3.93% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000487779 | -2.21% | 0.0005439 | +9.04% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000497839 | -2.38% | 0.0005511 | +8.06% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000491043 | -2.09% | 0.0005092 | +1.54% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000509544 | -2.31% | 0.0005002 | -4.10% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.00052352 | -2.66% | 0.0004994 | -7.14% | 0.0496 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000486471 | -0.80% | 0.00055 | +12.15% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000508585 | -1.09% | 0.000542 | +5.41% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000528172 | -1.07% | 0.0004988 | -6.57% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000487454 | +0.34% | 0.00051 | +4.98% | 0.1292 | ✗ | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000564008 | -1.05% | 0.0005015 | -12.02% | 0.1760 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000581104 | -1.54% | 0.0005216 | -11.62% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000607746 | -1.96% | 0.0005378 | -13.24% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000616672 | -2.19% | 0.0004904 | -22.22% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.00060673 | -2.31% | 0.0005142 | -17.21% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000652389 | -1.88% | 0.0005339 | -19.70% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000621649 | -1.06% | 0.0004858 | -22.68% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000787241 | -4.90% | 0.00057 | -31.14% | 0.0943 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000672894 | -1.04% | 0.0005902 | -13.21% | 0.1369 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000704841 | -0.73% | 0.0006199 | -12.69% | 0.2091 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.00059437 | +0.55% | 0.0006305 | +6.67% | 0.1135 | ✗ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.00064904 | +0.16% | 0.0006211 | -4.15% | 0.2564 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000587446 | -0.53% | 0.0006649 | +12.58% | 0.1721 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000678046 | -1.70% | 0.0006283 | -8.92% | 0.1145 | ✗ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000723645 | -4.23% | 0.0008278 | +9.56% | 0.2037 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.00075365 | -4.60% | 0.00068 | -13.92% | 0.2792 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000761536 | -4.93% | 0.00071 | -11.36% | 0.3640 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000762177 | -7.05% | 0.0005911 | -27.91% | 0.2489 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000599062 | -11.90% | 0.000648 | -4.71% | 0.5325 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000543029 | -15.64% | 0.0005906 | -8.25% | 0.3324 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000569107 | -17.52% | 0.0006898 | -0.03% | 0.3408 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000597615 | -19.24% | 0.0007556 | +2.11% | 0.2296 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000506196 | -28.70% | 0.00079 | +11.27% | 0.4796 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000618302 | -23.67% | 0.000801 | -1.11% | 0.3050 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.00069928 | -21.43% | 0.00082 | -7.87% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.00091 | -16.51% | 0.00068 | -37.61% | 0.2498 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001299 | -7.89% | 0.0006437 | -54.35% | 0.6959 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001188 | -13.27% | 0.00069 | -49.64% | 0.4829 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001407 | -9.26% | 0.00074 | -52.26% | 0.6291 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001409 | -10.27% | 0.00071 | -54.78% | 0.7262 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.00124 | -15.64% | 0.00081 | -44.90% | 0.4615 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001381 | -13.70% | 0.00089 | -44.38% | 0.4415 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001082 | -24.85% | 0.00109 | -24.31% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.000866459 | -35.34% | 0.00141 | +5.22% | 0.5622 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001291 | -26.66% | 0.00137 | -22.16% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.000840993 | -40.36% | 0.00155 | +9.93% | 0.6529 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001133 | -34.12% | 0.00157 | -8.72% | 0.4645 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001484 | -27.61% | 0.00147 | -28.29% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001839 | -23.36% | 0.0016 | -33.33% | 0.1207 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.001957 | -21.70% | 0.00144 | -42.40% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.00175 | -25.23% | 0.00134 | -42.74% | 0.1544 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002204 | -18.96% | 0.00176 | -35.29% | 0.2064 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002625 | -15.34% | 0.00141 | -54.52% | 0.4673 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003687 | -10.28% | 0.00172 | -58.15% | 0.6419 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004102 | -10.64% | 0.00205 | -55.34% | 0.6227 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004522 | -9.91% | 0.0024 | -52.19% | 0.6573 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005911 | -7.50% | 0.0025 | -60.88% | 0.8628 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005855 | -11.69% | 0.00234 | -64.71% | 0.7722 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003679 | -24.62% | 0.00272 | -44.26% | 0.2996 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.003878 | -24.26% | 0.0031 | -39.45% | 0.2615 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006376 | -12.65% | 0.00411 | -43.70% | 0.4464 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.008801 | -6.87% | 0.00459 | -51.43% | 0.6691 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.010398 | -4.69% | 0.00502 | -53.99% | 0.8412 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.01309 | -4.59% | 0.00639 | -53.43% | 0.8059 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.009861 | -4.91% | 0.00663 | -36.07% | 0.6431 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.012661 | -3.79% | 0.00488 | -62.92% | 1.1760 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.016088 | -4.12% | 0.00512 | -69.49% | 1.3416 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.01537 | -4.00% | 0.0073 | -54.40% | 1.0295 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.018933 | -4.91% | 0.00945 | -52.54% | 0.9660 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.019563 | -5.26% | 0.01091 | -47.17% | 0.8148 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.017169 | -4.40% | 0.01372 | -23.61% | 0.4050 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.021617 | -5.27% | 0.01037 | -54.56% | 0.7217 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.02464 | -6.81% | 0.01316 | -50.23% | 0.3855 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.021463 | -6.19% | 0.01678 | -26.66% | 0.1253 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.019101 | -5.63% | 0.01601 | -20.90% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.019361 | -7.18% | 0.01991 | -4.55% | 0.1360 | ✗ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.015548 | -5.77% | 0.02065 | +25.15% | 0.4169 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.012342 | -3.96% | 0.01796 | +39.77% | 0.3571 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.012286 | -4.09% | 0.02282 | +78.14% | 0.5196 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.01272 | -4.29% | 0.02644 | +98.95% | 0.4661 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.010777 | -3.78% | 0.02288 | +104.29% | 0.6142 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.014663 | -5.58% | 0.02024 | +30.33% | 0.2905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.011619 | -4.92% | 0.02086 | +70.70% | 0.5440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007753 | -1.86% | 0.0165 | +108.86% | 0.7424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.008794 | -2.94% | 0.01285 | +41.83% | 0.4306 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.009657 | -3.14% | 0.01281 | +28.49% | 0.3372 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009717 | -2.83% | 0.01329 | +32.90% | 0.3360 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.008272 | -1.52% | 0.0112 | +33.33% | 0.3192 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.007462 | -0.77% | 0.01553 | +106.52% | 0.7548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006742 | -1.15% | 0.01222 | +79.18% | 0.6322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.007527 | -1.73% | 0.0079 | +3.13% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010871 | -2.77% | 0.00906 | -18.96% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.013356 | -2.65% | 0.00997 | -27.33% | 0.2187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.015514 | -3.58% | 0.01 | -37.85% | 0.3262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.012051 | -2.66% | 0.0084 | -32.15% | 0.2670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.010437 | -2.82% | 0.00752 | -29.98% | 0.2858 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009515 | -3.20% | 0.00682 | -30.62% | 0.2963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010686 | -2.76% | 0.00766 | -30.30% | 0.3060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011536 | -2.90% | 0.01118 | -5.89% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.00904 | -3.73% | 0.01372 | +46.11% | 0.3237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008962 | -4.25% | 0.01609 | +71.90% | 0.4989 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.011132 | -3.46% | 0.01238 | +7.37% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 1.00 |