MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s4

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1042

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000346888	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000364872	+0.46%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0534	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000359802	+0.66%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000419132	+0.25%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1571	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000436444	+0.14%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000457341	-0.21%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000445358	-1.67%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0363	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000415285	-8.47%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000487481	-12.93%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000548406	-17.72%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000506037	-28.02%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.2988	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.00031073	+0.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317693	+0.22%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0542	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000320006	+0.25%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0300	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397622	-0.02%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0846	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000402555	+0.04%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0029	✗	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000398698	+0.07%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0083	✗	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447834	-0.04%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1352	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000492479	-0.15%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0210	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485467	-0.15%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0571	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000469422	-0.10%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0308	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000465344	-0.08%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0163	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000500549	-0.15%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0226	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.00054083	-0.27%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0036	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000518222	-0.48%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0378	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000542669	-0.23%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0281	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.0005497	-0.25%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0081	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000508579	-0.12%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0436	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000499621	-0.12%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0397	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000498946	-0.09%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0079	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000548578	-0.26%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0908	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000540733	-0.23%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0864	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000498488	-0.06%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0306	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000509523	-0.09%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0159	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000501286	-0.04%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0237	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000520831	-0.15%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0143	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000535633	-0.40%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0375	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.00049093	+0.11%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0043	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000514296	+0.02%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0298	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.0005338	-0.02%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0595	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487401	+0.33%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0492	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000569426	-0.10%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0894	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000588683	-0.26%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1514	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000616976	-0.47%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0263	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000627376	-0.50%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0917	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000617807	-0.53%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0419	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000661997	-0.44%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1739	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000628236	-0.01%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0230	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000812186	-1.89%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0154	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.00068011	+0.02%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0472	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000709643	-0.05%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0994	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000595481	+0.74%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1869	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000651928	+0.61%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1153	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000595873	+0.89%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2487	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000693649	+0.56%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0579	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000757549	+0.26%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0734	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000791952	+0.25%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0362	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000803439	+0.30%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0314	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000821492	+0.18%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0501	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000687125	+1.05%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1192	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000652432	+1.36%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0067	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000698921	+1.29%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0764	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.00074912	+1.23%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0707	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000720074	+1.42%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0777	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000820429	+1.29%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1475	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000900549	+1.19%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1363	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001097	+0.64%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1673	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001411	+0.07%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3328	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001373	+0.20%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0876	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001551	+0.05%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1595	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001572	+0.12%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0140	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001474	+0.30%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0651	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001602	+0.13%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0850	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001447	+0.46%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1035	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001348	+0.59%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1090	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001753	-0.42%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1400	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001419	+0.61%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0882	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001724	+0.24%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1033	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002048	-0.10%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1175	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002387	-0.53%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0803	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.00249	-0.40%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0675	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002345	+0.22%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0127	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002724	+0.13%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1277	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003104	+0.13%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1166	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004077	-0.80%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2108	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004542	-1.05%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0966	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004961	-1.17%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1046	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006236	-2.41%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2245	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006399	-3.48%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0719	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.00481	-1.44%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2126	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004987	-2.59%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0478	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.00713	-2.32%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2519	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009263	-1.97%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2462	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010725	-1.70%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2446	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013411	-2.25%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1913	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.01022	-1.44%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1900	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012979	-1.38%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2852	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016497	-1.69%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2259	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015754	-1.60%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0648	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019537	-1.87%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1950	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020244	-1.97%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0854	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017537	-2.35%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2490	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022277	-2.38%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1547	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025733	-2.67%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0437	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022316	-2.46%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0504	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019785	-2.25%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1412	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020263	-2.86%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0034	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016095	-2.45%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2227	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012653	-1.54%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1965	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012613	-1.54%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0103	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013068	-1.67%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0411	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011054	-1.30%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2124	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.0151	-2.77%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2822	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011885	-2.74%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2574	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007882	-0.23%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4543	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008968	-1.01%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.00983	-1.41%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.00987	-1.30%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008373	-0.32%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1809	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007527	+0.10%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1320	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006857	+0.54%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0978	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007661	+0.01%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1203	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011	-1.61%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3338	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.01348	-1.75%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1290	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015667	-2.63%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1330	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012154	-1.83%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2648	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010568	-1.60%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009714	-1.18%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010834	-1.42%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011653	-1.91%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.00934	-0.54%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1947	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009299	-0.65%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011376	-1.33%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1563	✓	1.00